June WASDEs typically provide few surprises and little market movement. Taken individually, not one of USDA’s new estimates and projections is very surprising. Collectively, they emphasize a trend that markets have been slow to acknowledge, which is that U.S. and world supplies of grain and soybeans have declined in 2017/18 and are almost certain to decrease further in 2018/19. This has sponsored a generally bullish reaction from futures markets. The tables below show the key numbers from the June WASDE released today. Please note that all those for 2018/19 (except for U.S. wheat production) are USDA projections rather than estimates.
USDA estimates combined U.S. ending stocks of corn, soybeans and wheat will be 3.687 billion bush...
What You Need to Know Today: USDA reports are delayed until Tuesday due to the federal holiday on Monday. Over the weekend, President Trump announced a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. Russia warmly welcomed and confirmed this ceasefire by conducting more strikes against Ukraine. Specific...
On Saturday, 10 October, at a campaign rally in Clarksville, Tennessee, President Trump said that the U.S. and Mexico would come to terms on a new trade deal, and he said Canada does not need to be part of the deal. Trump called the coming agreement with Mexico “great” but gave no d...
Key Takeaways: The United States has steadily lost global wheat export market share since the 1970s, falling from the world's leading exporter to a projected fifth place in 2026/27. The rapid expansion of Black Sea wheat exports, driven by improved productivity and export infrastructure, has r...
