June WASDEs typically provide few surprises and little market movement. Taken individually, not one of USDA’s new estimates and projections is very surprising. Collectively, they emphasize a trend that markets have been slow to acknowledge, which is that U.S. and world supplies of grain and soybeans have declined in 2017/18 and are almost certain to decrease further in 2018/19. This has sponsored a generally bullish reaction from futures markets. The tables below show the key numbers from the June WASDE released today. Please note that all those for 2018/19 (except for U.S. wheat production) are USDA projections rather than estimates.

USDA estimates combined U.S. ending stocks of corn, soybeans and wheat will be 3.687 billion bush...