World Perspectives

Weaker Consumer Finances Darken Economic Outlook, Despite Interest Rate Cuts

The past two weeks have seen the typical influx of macroeconomic data releases, most of which helped prompt the Federal Reserve to issue its 50-bps interest rate cut on Wednesday. While the interest rate cut was initially viewed as a positive signal (lower interest rates generally increase economic activity), history suggests rate cuts can precede market corrections or recessions. This is highly dependent on other factor at play in the economy, which WPI attempts to examine here.  WPI looks at macroeconomics through three primary lenses: national-level factors, consumer income and finances, and consumer spending. The first, national-level factors, includes items such as stock market valuation, the Treasury yield curve, and the inflati...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grain Futures Buying Demand; Livestock Futures Buying Time

Bears were in control of the CBOT again on Monday with technical pressure and bearish fundamental headlines driving prices lower. Soybeans and wheat were the downside leaders for the day as funds accelerated their exit from long positions in these markets amid the chart weakness. Corn futures s...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.3975/bushel, down $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.2075/bushel, down $0.085 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $10.7175/bushel, down $0.05 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soymeal closed at $303.5/short ton, up $1 fr...

European Revival; The Worm Turns

European Revival The transatlantic relationship is rapidly evolving and the story is told by some recent headlines… The U.S. has already swamped Europe with its technology and now it wants to own the EU’s energy market as well.  European diplomats in Washington message the Tr...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Grain Futures Buying Demand; Livestock Futures Buying Time

Bears were in control of the CBOT again on Monday with technical pressure and bearish fundamental headlines driving prices lower. Soybeans and wheat were the downside leaders for the day as funds accelerated their exit from long positions in these markets amid the chart weakness. Corn futures s...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Summary of Futures

Mar 26 Corn closed at $4.3975/bushel, down $0.01 from yesterday's close.  Mar 26 Wheat closed at $5.2075/bushel, down $0.085 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soybeans closed at $10.7175/bushel, down $0.05 from yesterday's close.  Jan 26 Soymeal closed at $303.5/short ton, up $1 fr...

European Revival; The Worm Turns

European Revival The transatlantic relationship is rapidly evolving and the story is told by some recent headlines… The U.S. has already swamped Europe with its technology and now it wants to own the EU’s energy market as well.  European diplomats in Washington message the Tr...

Farmer Bridge Assistance Program Early Details

The USDA will base the $12 billion in farmer payments it recently announced under the Farmer Bridge Assistance (FBA) program on 2025 planted acreage. The department announced that acreage reports, as of 19 December, by 5 p.m., should be “accurate.” Payment rates will be announced th...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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