Market Commentary: Looking for Demand Amidst Ample Supplies
Grain and oilseed trading was mostly in the red today, with livestock markets trading higher. Volume was higher today in soymeal, but otherwise it was modest and even relatively low in corn. Markets tend to drift when lacking any major new directional inputs. USDA’s weekly Export Sa...
Summary of Futures
Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2375/bushel, down $0.03 from yesterday's close. Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.2425/bushel, down $0.04 from yesterday's close. Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.375/bushel, down $0.0625 from yesterday's close. Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $284.7/short ton, down $1...
Market Commentary: Markets Hopeful but Guarded on China; CBOT Falls on Demand Worries
Technical selling, disappointment with the USDA’s latest policy moves, and favorable rains across the Midwest took a bearish toll on the CBOT markets Wednesday. The Federal Reserve, as expected, cut interest rates today and signaled a more dovish approach for the next several months, whic...
Summary of Futures
Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2675/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close. Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.2825/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close. Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.4375/bushel, down $0.06 from yesterday's close. Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $285.7/short ton, down...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grains Market: 8–12 September 2025 Bearish sentiment in the Russian grains markets eased during the second week of September, with prices stabilizing in some regions. Proximity to ports continues to offer premiums as export activity gains momentum. Most grains are experiencing sol...
Market Commentary: Perfect Micro-Storm for Grains
The CBOT was higher on Tuesday in a continuation of the post-WASDE exuberance. Rather than USDA’s world balance sheets providing a reason to rally, however, it was the Crop Progress report, rumors of new export business, and progress in a U.S.-China trade agreement that motivated the day&...
WPI Crop Progress and Conditions App (Updated 16 September)
Update for 28 April 2025: Last year, users pointed out differences between the 5-year averages reported in this app and what USDA estimates in its weekly report. The difference exists because WPI calculates average based on the last 5 years of observations for the current week. In cases where o...
Summary of Futures
Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.295/bushel, up $0.0625 from yesterday's close. Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.34/bushel, up $0.09 from yesterday's close. Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.4975/bushel, up $0.07 from yesterday's close. Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $286.1/short ton, up $0.4 from yes...
Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis
Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region Turkey’s courts have surprised the grain/oilseed industry by ruling that an arbitration award like a recent one on a FOSFA contract cannot be enforced in Turkey. This decision will be of concern to sellers and buyers using b...
Market Commentary: Waiting for Confirmation or Contradiction
The CBOT was mostly in the red to start the week with the bullishness from Friday’s WASDE report failing to trigger enthusiasm from bulls this week. Corn and soybeans both tried to rally and follow Friday’s bullish action, but quickly triggered farmer/hedge selling and profit taking...
Summary of Futures
Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2325/bushel, down $0.0675 from yesterday's close. Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.25/bushel, up $0.015 from yesterday's close. Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.4275/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close. Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $285.7/short ton, down $2.9...
Mercosur Regional Analysis
Corn Argentina’s 2024/25 corn harvest is virtually complete, with only isolated fields still being collected. Final output is expected to exceed 50 MMT. Attention now shifts to the 2025/26 crop, where planted area is projected at 7.8 million hectares — surpassed only by the 20...
European Market Analysis
Milling Wheat Global wheat futures all hit new contract lows last week with strong Russian exports (at cheaper prices), larger global production estimates, and few weather risks driving the bearish momentum. Markets managed to pare back those losses, however, by the week’s end and a...
CFTC COT Report Analysis
Friday’s CFTC report showed managed money traders embarking on a second straight week of net short selling across the ag space as they slightly expanded a relatively neutral position. The expansion of the short position came mostly from selling in soybeans, soyoil, and SRW wheat, with min...
Market Commentary: USDA Surprises; Market Marches Its Own Beat
While there was some red flashing early in today’s trading session, by the close all major grain and oilseed contracts were in the green. Ahead of USDA’s September WASDE report, the trade was focused on yield cuts, which had also been the principal output of various private sector c...
WASDE Corn - Sep 2025
Corn – USDA’s Sep 2025 outlook is for greater supplies, larger exports, and a slight reduction in ending stocks by 7 million bushels to 2.1 billion. The seasonal average price for corn received by producers is unchanged at $3.90 per bushel. World corn ending stocks are down 1.1 mill...
Summary of Futures
Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.3/bushel, up $0.1025 from yesterday's close. Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.235/bushel, up $0.02 from yesterday's close. Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.4625/bushel, up $0.1275 from yesterday's close. Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $288.6/short ton, up $0.9 from ye...
AP Quant: WASDE Corn
WPI offers the following PDF of key supply and demand tables and charts relating to the USDA’s latest WASDE report. This is not an all-inclusive compilation of relevant market factors, only those which we feel are of top priority. WPI will seek to expand the offerings in this report and w...
Market Commentary: Calm, Confident, But Correct?
The trading before a major WASDE report always entails differing vibes. It is more volatile when there is wide variance in expectations, and more subdued when the mood is more sublime. This might count as the latter except where it wasn’t. The volume trading corn, wheat and so...
Summary of Futures
Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.1975/bushel, up $0.0275 from yesterday's close. Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.215/bushel, up $0.065 from yesterday's close. Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.335/bushel, up $0.0825 from yesterday's close. Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $287.7/short ton, up $1.9 from...
Market Commentary: Calm for the Day but Geopolitics Hint at Looming Volatility
The CBOT was solidly in the red on Wednesday while cattle futures regained some of their former strength. Markets had to process multiple headlines at the national/international political level, which led to some mild risk-off trade. Mostly, however, for grains, the looming WASDE dominated the...
Summary of Futures
Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.17/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close. Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.15/bushel, down $0.0525 from yesterday's close. Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.2525/bushel, down $0.06 from yesterday's close. Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $285.8/short ton, down $3.2...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grains Market: 1–5 September 2025 Bearish sentiments prevailed across both the European and Asian parts of Russia. The market is under pressure as stocks and yields are better than expected especially in Volga Valley and Black Soil region. Siberia and Urals harvesting campaign is...
European Market Analysis
Regional News The U.S. is not the only country suffering from tight cattle supplies and rising beef values, as the EU is battling the same problem. Across the EU, there is a shortage of slaughter cattle that continues to intensify and drive prices higher. Germany is seeing slightly greate...
Market Commentary: Looking for Demand Amidst Ample Supplies
Grain and oilseed trading was mostly in the red today, with livestock markets trading higher. Volume was higher today in soymeal, but otherwise it was modest and even relatively low in corn. Markets tend to drift when lacking any major new directional inputs. USDA’s weekly Export Sa...
Summary of Futures
Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2375/bushel, down $0.03 from yesterday's close. Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.2425/bushel, down $0.04 from yesterday's close. Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.375/bushel, down $0.0625 from yesterday's close. Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $284.7/short ton, down $1...
Market Commentary: Markets Hopeful but Guarded on China; CBOT Falls on Demand Worries
Technical selling, disappointment with the USDA’s latest policy moves, and favorable rains across the Midwest took a bearish toll on the CBOT markets Wednesday. The Federal Reserve, as expected, cut interest rates today and signaled a more dovish approach for the next several months, whic...
Summary of Futures
Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2675/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close. Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.2825/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close. Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.4375/bushel, down $0.06 from yesterday's close. Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $285.7/short ton, down...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grains Market: 8–12 September 2025 Bearish sentiment in the Russian grains markets eased during the second week of September, with prices stabilizing in some regions. Proximity to ports continues to offer premiums as export activity gains momentum. Most grains are experiencing sol...
Market Commentary: Perfect Micro-Storm for Grains
The CBOT was higher on Tuesday in a continuation of the post-WASDE exuberance. Rather than USDA’s world balance sheets providing a reason to rally, however, it was the Crop Progress report, rumors of new export business, and progress in a U.S.-China trade agreement that motivated the day&...
WPI Crop Progress and Conditions App (Updated 16 September)
Update for 28 April 2025: Last year, users pointed out differences between the 5-year averages reported in this app and what USDA estimates in its weekly report. The difference exists because WPI calculates average based on the last 5 years of observations for the current week. In cases where o...
Summary of Futures
Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.295/bushel, up $0.0625 from yesterday's close. Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.34/bushel, up $0.09 from yesterday's close. Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.4975/bushel, up $0.07 from yesterday's close. Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $286.1/short ton, up $0.4 from yes...
Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis
Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region Turkey’s courts have surprised the grain/oilseed industry by ruling that an arbitration award like a recent one on a FOSFA contract cannot be enforced in Turkey. This decision will be of concern to sellers and buyers using b...
Market Commentary: Waiting for Confirmation or Contradiction
The CBOT was mostly in the red to start the week with the bullishness from Friday’s WASDE report failing to trigger enthusiasm from bulls this week. Corn and soybeans both tried to rally and follow Friday’s bullish action, but quickly triggered farmer/hedge selling and profit taking...
Summary of Futures
Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.2325/bushel, down $0.0675 from yesterday's close. Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.25/bushel, up $0.015 from yesterday's close. Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.4275/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close. Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $285.7/short ton, down $2.9...
Mercosur Regional Analysis
Corn Argentina’s 2024/25 corn harvest is virtually complete, with only isolated fields still being collected. Final output is expected to exceed 50 MMT. Attention now shifts to the 2025/26 crop, where planted area is projected at 7.8 million hectares — surpassed only by the 20...
European Market Analysis
Milling Wheat Global wheat futures all hit new contract lows last week with strong Russian exports (at cheaper prices), larger global production estimates, and few weather risks driving the bearish momentum. Markets managed to pare back those losses, however, by the week’s end and a...
CFTC COT Report Analysis
Friday’s CFTC report showed managed money traders embarking on a second straight week of net short selling across the ag space as they slightly expanded a relatively neutral position. The expansion of the short position came mostly from selling in soybeans, soyoil, and SRW wheat, with min...
Market Commentary: USDA Surprises; Market Marches Its Own Beat
While there was some red flashing early in today’s trading session, by the close all major grain and oilseed contracts were in the green. Ahead of USDA’s September WASDE report, the trade was focused on yield cuts, which had also been the principal output of various private sector c...
WASDE Corn - Sep 2025
Corn – USDA’s Sep 2025 outlook is for greater supplies, larger exports, and a slight reduction in ending stocks by 7 million bushels to 2.1 billion. The seasonal average price for corn received by producers is unchanged at $3.90 per bushel. World corn ending stocks are down 1.1 mill...
Summary of Futures
Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.3/bushel, up $0.1025 from yesterday's close. Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.235/bushel, up $0.02 from yesterday's close. Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.4625/bushel, up $0.1275 from yesterday's close. Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $288.6/short ton, up $0.9 from ye...
AP Quant: WASDE Corn
WPI offers the following PDF of key supply and demand tables and charts relating to the USDA’s latest WASDE report. This is not an all-inclusive compilation of relevant market factors, only those which we feel are of top priority. WPI will seek to expand the offerings in this report and w...
Market Commentary: Calm, Confident, But Correct?
The trading before a major WASDE report always entails differing vibes. It is more volatile when there is wide variance in expectations, and more subdued when the mood is more sublime. This might count as the latter except where it wasn’t. The volume trading corn, wheat and so...
Summary of Futures
Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.1975/bushel, up $0.0275 from yesterday's close. Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.215/bushel, up $0.065 from yesterday's close. Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.335/bushel, up $0.0825 from yesterday's close. Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $287.7/short ton, up $1.9 from...
Market Commentary: Calm for the Day but Geopolitics Hint at Looming Volatility
The CBOT was solidly in the red on Wednesday while cattle futures regained some of their former strength. Markets had to process multiple headlines at the national/international political level, which led to some mild risk-off trade. Mostly, however, for grains, the looming WASDE dominated the...
Summary of Futures
Dec 25 Corn closed at $4.17/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close. Dec 25 Wheat closed at $5.15/bushel, down $0.0525 from yesterday's close. Nov 25 Soybeans closed at $10.2525/bushel, down $0.06 from yesterday's close. Dec 25 Soymeal closed at $285.8/short ton, down $3.2...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grains Market: 1–5 September 2025 Bearish sentiments prevailed across both the European and Asian parts of Russia. The market is under pressure as stocks and yields are better than expected especially in Volga Valley and Black Soil region. Siberia and Urals harvesting campaign is...
European Market Analysis
Regional News The U.S. is not the only country suffering from tight cattle supplies and rising beef values, as the EU is battling the same problem. Across the EU, there is a shortage of slaughter cattle that continues to intensify and drive prices higher. Germany is seeing slightly greate...