World Perspectives

Argentina Elections and Trade implications

Argentina has an upcoming Presidential election in October. Candidates in Argentina run in an open, or what is called in the U.S. a “jungle,” primary as is done in a couple of states for Senate and Congressional races (Georgia and Louisiana). The top individual vote getters move to the general election. That primary was a couple of weeks ago, and as a result, there will be three candidates in the general election per the results of the primary.   Given the total party votes, especially between Milei and Bullrich at nearly 58.7 percent of the total, it looks like the general will be a race between Milei and Bullrich; if no candidate gets 45 percent of the vote, the race will go to a December runoff. What is significa...

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Mercosur Regional Analysis

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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