World Perspectives

Cruel, Disastrous, Partisan Farm Bill

Traditionally, farm bills have been the paragon of congressional bipartisan comity. However, that has seemingly come to an end. The 2014 Farm Bill took two years to pass, largely due to the dairy and Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP) provisions in the bill. As previously noted (see Ag Perspectives, 12 April), those same two issues are front and center again, and the farm bill is a partisan issue. Yesterday House Agriculture Committee Chairman Michael Conaway (R-Texas) unveiled his draft of the 2018 Farm Bill. This followed a Monday letter from House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-California) to all Democrats (also noted in yesterday’s report) urging them to “oppose the farm bill.” The letter specifically s...

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Markets were lower overnight, and that trend continued into the day session. One word that described today’s market action was weather, which is looking much better across the U.S. than a week ago. It will be warmer and drier, and that means farmers will get the planters rolling. A later...

Wars on Chinese Consumers, EU Farmers, and Foreign Investors; Japanese Challenge

War on Chinese Consumers China’s National Grain & Oil Information Centre (CNGOIC) is honest and forthright as it reported this week that soymeal prices have surged on fears of an escalating U.S.-China trade war. The graphs below document the rise in soybean and soymeal prices. The res...

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Everyone wants to know what the U.S. growing season will be like in 2018. Analysts with a bearish bent are projecting record corn and soybean yields before the crops have been planted. Those with a bullish bent are saying severe weather and yield problems aren’t needed to reduce ending su...

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Markets were lower overnight, and that trend continued into the day session. One word that described today’s market action was weather, which is looking much better across the U.S. than a week ago. It will be warmer and drier, and that means farmers will get the planters rolling. A later...

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Summary of Futures

Ag, energy, and soft commodity futures’ technical patterns, including momentum and long-term indicators, are examined. Changes in the forward curve for grain futures have important implications while livestock momentum indicators provide directional insights. ...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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