World Perspectives

Dollar Exchange Rate Impacts on Trade

President Trump is using tariffs to rectify what he asserts is the unfair practices by other countries. He also accuses trading partners of currency manipulation. He is correct that currency exchange rates impact the competitiveness of U.S. exports. USDA’s Economic Research Service maintains a currency exchange rate database that weighs the impact of the dollar’s value on trade based on both the commodity, and the trading partner country. In terms of countries and exchange rates, the Trump tariff war was expected to increase the value of the dollar as a safe haven in turbulent times, but the opposite happened. Most currencies have instead rallied against the dollar. Year-to-date, the dollar is down 8.6 percent versus the Japanes...

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Market Commentary: Tweet Yields Another Rally and Perhaps a Floor

After yesterday’s charge forward in soybeans and a lower close in the overnight, optimists on a trade deal with China again took over and brought another higher close that this time infected both the corn and wheat markets. As stated in Matt’s adjacent analysis, this seems overwroug...

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Livestock Roundup: Shutdown Affects Reports; Screwworm Drug Approved

The federal government has been shut down since midnight on Wednesday and various USDA reports have been suspended.  This includes some of the data typically reported in the Thursday livestock report, including slaughter data and livestock and poultry inventories.   USDA posted o...

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Can a Trade Deal Save U.S. 2025/26 Soybean Exports?

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From WPI Consulting

Infrastructure investment due diligence

On behalf of a Canadian oilseed processer WPI's team provided market analysis, econometric modeling and financial due diligence in support of a $24 million-dollar investment in a Ukrainian crush plant. Consistent with WPI's findings, local production to supply the plant and the facility's output have expanded exponentially since the investment. WPI has conducted parallel work on behalf of U.S., South American and European clients, both private and public, in the agri-food space.

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