World Perspectives

Drip, Drip, Drop; Populist Modi

Drip, Drip, Drop USDA Secretary Sonny Perdue told his audience at Michigan State University this week that the Trump administration’s trade policy approach will not sabotage the agriculture sector and that it will not “be a pawn in this issue.” With China’s announcement of 25 percent tariffs on American soybeans and other agricultural products, it is a pawn and it is sabotaging the industry. This fact was acknowledged by his subsequent assurance that the sector would be compensated. Compensation will be a curious construct. The problem in international trade is not just the dumping of steel or the stealing of intellectual property but asymmetry across a wide range of policies. Agriculture gets hurt worse by the Tru...

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Summary of Futures

May 24 Corn closed at $4.335/bushel, up $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  Jul 24 Wheat closed at $5.6675/bushel, up $0.1375 from yesterday's close.  May 24 Soybeans closed at $11.505/bushel, up $0.1625 from yesterday's close.  Jul 24 Soymeal closed at $343.2/short ton, up $5.8 fro...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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