With Friday’s WASDE and crop production reports there was much attention, rightfully so, on corn and soybean yields. However, an important metric potentially overlooked for its impact on the cattle and dairy markets was the hay report. The hay production forecast was estimated as of 1 August and projects total U.S. hay production at 116.75 MMT, which is 96.6 percent of last year and 90 percent of the 2011-2020 10-year average. The hay crop year is April to May below is the updated balance sheet. 

Depending on the region, drought in 2021 and 2022 have impacted either carry-in stocks, market year production, or both. The Dakotas and Iowa have fared well this year on hay production and supplies, but further west and in the South...