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Limits of Sanctions

The repeated threat of sanctions by the EU and U.S. were not enough to prevent Vladimir Putin from moving on Ukraine, and they likely will not be enough to affect Daniel Ortega in Nicaragua. He has been the president of the country for most of the past 15 years and the U.S. argues it is because he has repressed his political rivals. Washington is threatening to either remove Nicaragua’s access to the U.S. sugar import quota or kick the country out of CAFTA. Of those two choices, CAFTA bears more weight. Nicaragua already has a relatively small share of the U.S. sugar import quota. It represents just 2.9 percent of Nicaraguan agricultural exports to the U.S. By contrast, ending the broader CAFTA trade agreement benefits received by Ni...

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China-Brazil Bilateral at the G20 Summit: New Deals to Be Announced

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The major finding of Friday’s CFTC report is that funds are increasingly and somewhat aggressively bullish corn as they rapidly expanded a small long into a near-100,000 contract bullish position. Over the period 5 through 12 November, funds bought over 96,000 contracts, which is the 11th large...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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