World Perspectives
livestock

Livestock Roundup: Cattle on Feed Preview

USDA’s monthly Cattle on Feed report will be released tomorrow. Analysts’ pre-report consensus estimates are for the total inventory on feed to be 99.2 percent of last year with the range of estimates between 99.4 percent and 100.3 percent of 1 February 2024.    Marketings are estimated to be 98.2 percent of last year, coming in at a range of 97.7 percent to 98.7 percent. Placements, the most difficult category to estimate, are expected to be between a wide range of 98.9 percent of last year and 92.6 percent, for an average of 95.9 percent.  The combination of relatively larger marketings and no change in placements would pull down the number of cattle on feed on 1 February to below the prior February. Sooner or...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Invigorating Week and Now a Candy High

Chicago futures remained hopeful in the wake of this week’s U.S.-China trade agreement. Bears are quick to note that an agreement and sales are two very different animals. U.S. soybean exporters will still face a 13 percent tariff into China and there are no clear penalties should China m...

soy-oilseeds

The Outlook for U.S., South American, and Chinese Soy Crush Margins

CBOT board soybean crush margins have recently compressed due to the run-up in soybean prices and weakness in soyoil values. The January board crush fell from its recent high of 155.75 cents/bu on 17 October to 140.75 as of this writing, a decrease of about 10 percent. This week’s sudden...

livestock

Winner, Winner Chicken Dinner

Inflation pressure has added tailwinds for the chicken sector. Food service operators have experienced lower traffic and have therefore resorted to promotions to attract customers, mainly featuring chicken. Restaurant traffic declined 2 percent in September, and 30 percent of commercial foodser...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: Invigorating Week and Now a Candy High

Chicago futures remained hopeful in the wake of this week’s U.S.-China trade agreement. Bears are quick to note that an agreement and sales are two very different animals. U.S. soybean exporters will still face a 13 percent tariff into China and there are no clear penalties should China m...

soy-oilseeds

The Outlook for U.S., South American, and Chinese Soy Crush Margins

CBOT board soybean crush margins have recently compressed due to the run-up in soybean prices and weakness in soyoil values. The January board crush fell from its recent high of 155.75 cents/bu on 17 October to 140.75 as of this writing, a decrease of about 10 percent. This week’s sudden...

livestock

Winner, Winner Chicken Dinner

Inflation pressure has added tailwinds for the chicken sector. Food service operators have experienced lower traffic and have therefore resorted to promotions to attract customers, mainly featuring chicken. Restaurant traffic declined 2 percent in September, and 30 percent of commercial foodser...

WPI Grain Transportation Report

Dry bulk markets were quiet and mostly flat last week. Spot rates softened a little bit as vessel owners threw in the towel on waiting for improved demand. Most hopes for any recovery in rates now rests on the new U.S.-China trade deal.  After the positive meeting between Presidents Xi and...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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