World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary

USDA’s October production and supply/demand estimates were relatively close to expectations and certainly not bullish. In the immediate wake of today's report, the market’s knee-jerk reaction took futures prices higher and soybean futures substantially higher.USDA’s October U.S. corn and soybean yield and production estimates contained no real surprises. In fact, if there is one, it is how closely the average pre-report trade estimates for both yields matched USDA’s October findings. This meant that USDA’s October production estimates were also very close to trade expectations. Using FSA data, USDA did raise its estimate of harvested corn area by 200,000 acres to 86.8 million, but it left harvested soybean acreage unchanged at 83.0 million...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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