World Perspectives
livestock

Sourcing China’s Pork Requirements

China’s pork imports have increased from 100 KMT in May of 2018 to nearly 350 KMT in November of 2019. That means that China’s increased need for pork in 2019 required the absorption of one-third of the world’s surplus product. Notably, the EU was the main supplier of the increased pork imports.  Sixty percent of the surplus pork stocks are held by Japan and South Korea, likely for food security purposes. Due to retaliatory duties, the U.S. was not fully competitive, and the EU was constrained by limited supplies following supply reductions in 2018. In fact, EU pork ending stocks are classified at zero and with production flatlined at best, domestic consumption sacrificed shares to China’s import needs. Chinese...

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European Market Analysis

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CFTC COT Report Analysis

Once again, the major finding of Friday’s CFTC report is that funds still remain solidly bullish corn and added another 7 percent to their long position in that market. That was particularly impressive as the week ending 19 November (the reporting deadline for the CFTC report) included days wit...

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Market Commentary: Black Sea Instability and Trade War Influences

There were some jitters this week as Russia and Ukraine stepped up assaults ahead of what may become talks to end the conflict. Alongside concerns about a kinetic war is the uncertainty around the incoming Trump Administration’s aggressions in trade policy.It should be noted that geopolitical u...

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European Market Analysis

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CFTC COT Report Analysis

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livestock

Cattle on Feed Report

USDA released the monthly Cattle on Feed report today. Once again, placements surprised to the upside compared to pre-report analysts’ consensus expectations. The total cattle on feed inventory was 11.986 million head, which was slightly above last year’s 11.956 million head. Total feedlot inve...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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