World Perspectives

The Disruption Game

Trump administration officials meet with their Chinese counterparts the week of 7 January to begin trade negotiations. No one should expect a quick or easy agreement. As should now be transparent to all, Mr. Trump prefers total disruption as a negotiating style. In its ongoing effort to present itself as the “good guy” in the fight, China is initiating its third tranche of unilateral tariff reductions. These are not WTO-bound, meaning they can be raised at any time in the same manner that India raises and lowers its rates as a market management approach. China continues to use administrative hurdles to stymie imports. In fact, much of this just reminds the Trumpians of all that they see wrong in the global trading system. Indi...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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