World Perspectives
feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Time to Exit Some of Your Spreads

Recall that soybean futures were trading below $6.00 per bushel in the fall of 2006. Within about two years, soybean contracts had rallied about $10 per bushel as U.S. ethanol policy was implemented, and there was a corresponding shortfall in global wheat production. The simultaneous rallies in the soy complex, corn and wheat contracts suddenly turned and performed a nose-dive into 2009, as traders with large positions were forced to exit due to the financial crisis and increasing production. A number of end-users of grains and oilseeds sighed with relief and assumed that the markets had just undergone an exaggerated, but temporary, spike in prices. They were glad that was over. Then prices again rebounded as adverse weather struck the U...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

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U.S. grain transportation markets are slowly recovering from the shocks of bitter cold weather and low water levels on the Mississippi River System and from the surge in export demand. The latter is also causing strong rallies in ocean freight markets, particularly in the Atlantic basin. With g...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

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livestock

Livestock Round Up: Cattle Margins and Distribution

The recent February World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report forecast beef production to increase in 2026 due to greater slaughter of steers and heifers, increased cow slaughter, and heavier dressed weights, all of which will provide some relief to the beef market. Also, th...

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From WPI Consulting

Communicating importance of value-added products

Facing increasing pressure to quantify the value of export promotion efforts to investors, a U.S. industry organization retained WPI to develop a quantitative model that better communicated the importance of exports. The resulting model concluded that value-added meat exports contributed $0.45 cents per bushel to the price of corn, increasing support for that sector’s financial support of WPI’s client. In addition to serving the red meat industry with this type of analysis, WPI has generated similar deliverables for the U.S. soybean and poultry/egg industries.

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