World Perspectives

Worker Centric Paradox; Hoarding Disorder; Bipolar Accelerant

Worker Centric Paradox The Biden Administration has called for a “worker centric” trade policy but USTR Katherine Tai is complaining about a dearth of data to support the initiative. The old metric was an assumption that each $1 billion in trade supports 30,000 workers, and that trade related jobs paid more than other types of employment. But the Administration’s goal is to increase worker “rewards” from trade, a metric that is contradicted by economics. Labor is typically the most expensive component in all commerce. To be internationally competitive, the goal is to deliver greater value, which usually means reducing the labor cost component. Expanding trade can increase the return to labor but focusing simpl...

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feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 4 – 8 August 2025 The speed of the harvesting campaign was the key price driver. Improved harvesting pace in the Centre and Black Soil regions made most of the grain prices plummet except for the best milling quality wheat. This is understandable as excessive rains...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: King Corn Flexes Dominance; Soybeans Rise on Acreage Data; Cattle Surge

The August WASDE is almost always a market-moving event for at least one commodity, and Tuesday’s report was no different. Tuesday’s trade started off with some trepidation after China increased the import duty on Canadian rapeseed to 75.8 percent, which caused canola futures to cra...

Consumption Taxes; Food Costs and Adaptation

Consumption Taxes This analyst erroneously implied that value added taxes are cumulative through the supply chain when in fact any VAT paid on an input is deductible, thus ensuring it is the final customer paying the tax. The VAT is an important discussion point because the Trump Administration...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 4 – 8 August 2025 The speed of the harvesting campaign was the key price driver. Improved harvesting pace in the Centre and Black Soil regions made most of the grain prices plummet except for the best milling quality wheat. This is understandable as excessive rains...

feed-grains soy-oilseeds wheat

Market Commentary: King Corn Flexes Dominance; Soybeans Rise on Acreage Data; Cattle Surge

The August WASDE is almost always a market-moving event for at least one commodity, and Tuesday’s report was no different. Tuesday’s trade started off with some trepidation after China increased the import duty on Canadian rapeseed to 75.8 percent, which caused canola futures to cra...

Consumption Taxes; Food Costs and Adaptation

Consumption Taxes This analyst erroneously implied that value added taxes are cumulative through the supply chain when in fact any VAT paid on an input is deductible, thus ensuring it is the final customer paying the tax. The VAT is an important discussion point because the Trump Administration...

soy-oilseeds

WASDE Soybeans - August 2025

USDA reduced their estimate for U.S. soybean production for 2025/26 to 4.3 billion bushels, down 43 million. U.S. ending stocks are forecast at 290 million bushels, down 20 million from last month. The U.S. seasonal average farm price for soybean is unchanged at $10.10 per bushel. The soybean m...

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From WPI Consulting

Forecasting developments in production agriculture

On behalf of a private U.S. agricultural technology provider, WPI’s team generated an econometric model to forecast the movement of concentrated corn production north and west from the traditional U.S. Corn Belt. WPI’s model has subsequently provided quantitative support to a multi-million-dollar investment into short-season corn variety development. WPI’s methodology included a series of interviews with regional grain elevators and seed consultants. Emphasizing outreach and communication with stakeholders who possess intimate sectoral knowledge – on-the-ground insights – is a regular component of WPI’s methodologies, made possible by WPI’s ever-growing network of industry contacts.

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