Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
Articles
Policy Roundup
The Whole Label The anti-GMO crowd is excited as they push mandatory labeling provisions at the state level. Food Safety News quotes Washington State Senat...
Canadian ICE Futures Completes First Week of Trading
Last week was the first week of trading for the new Canadian ICE wheat futures contract. Here are a few details on the first week's trade. Total volume f...
Senator Conrad Unveiling the Farm Bill
Retiring Senator Kent Conrad (D-North Dakota) is a busy guy in his last year in office. He is chairman of the Senate Budget Committee, and therefore in the...
Market Commentary
General Comments Markets were soft in the Sunday evening session on another round of weakness in financial markets. There is still no agreement on the rest...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Foreign Investors Remain Bullish on India Reports from Reserve Bank of India (RBI) indicate that India's Foreign Exchange Reserves had declined by $14.25 b...
Closing Futures Prices
WPI provides a summary of the week's futures price activity and the gains/losses experiences by grain, oilseed, and livestock markets. Additionally, today'...
We’re in for a Very Long Weather Market in 2012
Weather is always a huge factor in commodity markets, but it's beginning to look like weather in 2012 may be even more critical than usual for a number of...
Market Commentary
General Comments It was a very quiet and lackluster trading day following a week of significant gains in corn, soybeans and wheat. This week's gains were t...
Policy Roundup
Gaming Biofuel Trade barriers affect not only food but also food used as fuel. The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency announced today that palm oil...
Will There Be a Midwest Energy Glut?
One of the obvious facts about ethanol is that it is abundant in the Midwest Corn Belt. In fact, from the beginning of the ethanol mandate through to 2009,...
Oilseed Highlights
Buenos Aires Grain Exchange Forecasts Soybean Crop at 46.2 MMT The Buenos Aires Grain Exchange today issued its first forecast for Argentina's 2012 corn an...
Common Thread: The Market’s Shifting Winds
No one can say that for agricultural derivative markets, the year of 2011 lacked for excitement and drama -- some of which was quite painful. Some of the e...
Mercosur Regional Analysis
Grounded Bulk Carrier in Parana River Navigation in the Parana River (Upriver, Argentina) has been affected since 17 January by the grounded vessel, MV Ari...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
Livestock Roundup
Packer Margins Deep Red; Beef Herd Down in 2012 Beef packer margins last week sunk to -$125.50, according to the Sterling Beef Profit Tracker, with feedyar...
Market Commentary
General Comments The hangover from yesterday's accommodating stance taken by the Fed extended the rally in most commodity markets. The promise of historica...
Policy Roundup
TPP to the Forefront The Trans-Pacific Partnership negotiations have reignited the interests of Washington trade lobbyists. It promises to be financially l...
Market Commentary
General Comments Overnight trade saw prices trade both sides before finally climbing into the green. Fund buying and more talk about the hot cash grain bid...
Policy Roundup
Wrestling with Government Burden President Obama joked about regulating milk spills, but the anti-regulatory burden is an intensely emotional issue. This i...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Market: 17-24 January 2012 GRAIN COMMODITIES AND FLOUR A major recent event in the Russian grain market was the government-held auction of gr...
Closing Futures Prices
Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
Will The SOTU Be “Worth a Damn?”
The State of the Union (SOTU) annual address is tonight, and President Barack Obama will be presenting his third SOTU to members of Congress. In anticipati...
Market Commentary
General Comments The Fed FOMC two-day meeting is underway with the usual statement due Wednesday afternoon. In it, the Fed is expected to reiterate again i...
Oilseed Highlights
Argentina Reduces Soybean and Corn Production Forecasts Argentina's Agriculture Ministry yesterday reduced its forecast for its 2012 soybean crop to 48.9 M...
U.S. Grain and Soy Export Outlook
When January 2012 comes to an end a week from today, we will have gone through the first five months of the U.S. corn and soybean statistical crop year and...
Middle East and Mediterranean Regional Analysis
News Updates SUEZ CANAL TRAFFIC INCREASES Egyptian authorities have reported that the Suez Canal's revenue increased by just under 10 percent in 2011 to a...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
Everyone is Bearish
You don't have to look very far to be buried in bearish market outlooks these days. This is especially true when you shift your thinking ahead to the 2012/...
Closing Futures Prices
Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
Market Commentary
General Comments Markets were firm overnight on euro strength and dollar weakness coupled with the fact that rains across Argentina were not nearly as heav...
Biofuels Issues 2012
As we have predicted many times, we foresee a debate on the Renewable Fuel Standards (RFS) in 2013. The lack of cellulosic ethanol production is putting to...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Coffee Consumption Changing in India Starbucks, the U.S.-based coffee giant, and Tata Coffee have finally agreed to forge an alliance, and are likely to op...
Closing Futures Prices
WPI provides a summary of the week's futures price activity and the gains/losses experiences by grain, oilseed, and livestock markets. Additionally, today'...
Farm Bill vs. Top Three Issues of 2012
There are arguably three top issues of 2012 that will play out in Congress and with the Administration that will dominate the agenda, help drive the electi...
Southeast Europe Regional Analysis
Milling Wheat The market in the Black Sea is nearly unchanged this week with very little reported activity. The winter is not causing a particular threat t...
Market Commentary
General Comments The Thursday evening session traded higher the first half of the session and then shifted lower the last half of the session. There is ano...
MGEX Changes Delivery Specs
The Minneapolis Grain Exchange (MGEX) announced this week that the CFTC had approved changes in their hard red spring wheat delivery specifications. ...
Policy Roundup
Ask Mayors How to Farm The 80th Winter Meeting of the U.S. Conference of Mayors was held in Washington this week. At least half of the Obama Administ...
Market Commentary
General Comments The overnight session saw grain and soy prices strengthen in moderate trading volume even though forecasts for rain over Argentina and Sou...
Global Sunoil Exports Booming This Year
In terms of global exports of vegoils, sunoil exports have always been a much smaller than exports of soyoil and palm oil. However, that seems to be...
Low Natural Gas Prices Support High Utilization Rates U.S. Nitrogen Industry
In the past two months, the spread between natural gas and crude oil continues to widen. Brent oil remains high despite cuts in the 2012 demand outlook mad...
Livestock Roundup
Broiler Hatch Down; Beef Imports Down but Strong Yesterday USDA released its Broiler Hatchery Report showing Broiler-type eggs set down six percent and chi...
Policy Roundup
Certainly Certainty USDA and EPA signed a MOU with Minnesota this week that ensures that farmers reaching agreement with one agency on a conservation plan...
Low Natural Gas Prices Support High Utilization Rates U.S. Nitrogen Industry
In the past two months, the spread between natural gas and crude oil continues to widen. Brent oil remains high despite cuts in the 2012 demand outlook mad...
Common Thread: Back to Basics
During the past several years we have occasionally discussed the grouping together of different commodities such as crude oil, corn, copper, softs, etc. in...
Closing Futures Prices
Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
Closing Futures Prices
Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
Mercosur Regional Analysis
Weather Argentina is suffering a significant drought in the corn and soybean belt. Cordoba as well as Santa Fe provinces are the most affected by the weath...
Market Commentary
General Comments The overnight session for grain and soy futures began with some follow through strength, but prices turned and drifted lower as additional...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian grain market 9-17 January 2012 Grain commodities and flour According to the decision of the Ministry of Agriculture on 12 January 2012, the Ministr...
Policy Roundup
Argentina Corruption Forecast First, the Argentine government tried to force a trade balance by requiring importers to export an equivalent value of goods...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Adulterated Milk Abounds in India A recent report from the Food Safety and Standards Authority of India (FSSAI) has sent shockwaves to every Indian parent...
Middle East and Mediterranean Regional Analysis
NEWS UPDATES IRAQ AND JORDAN FREIGHT ROUTE The route for cargo to and from Jordan by truck through Iraq has been up in the air for the past few weeks, as p...
How Bearish Is It?
By now, last week's USDA's reports on production, stocks and supply/demand should be well digested. Obviously, the combined reports were bearish relative t...
Market Commentary
General Comments Lacking much in the way of fresh fundamental input, grain and soy markets allowed themselves to be influenced by a few positives from the...
Farm Bill Prognostications
As we reported on 10 January, the American Farm Bureau Federation (AFBF) has a new farm bill proposal approved at its annual convention. More recentl...
Oilseed Highlights
NOPA's December Soybean Crush Volume a Bit Higher than Expected Today's crush report by the National Oilseed Processors Association (NOPA) indicated NOPA m...
Closing Futures Prices
Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
Market Commentary
General Comments Grain and oilseed markets traded both sides of unchanged in the Thursday evening session, with little follow-through selling noted after y...
Closing Futures Prices
WPI provides a summary of the week's futures price activity and the gains/losses experiences by grain, oilseed, and livestock markets. Additionally, today'...
Southeast Europe Regional Analysis
Milling Wheat The market in the Black Sea is slightly weaker due to the sharp fall of the U.S. and EU markets following yesterday's bearish USDA report.Tun...
Federal Reserve Economic Summary
The Federal Reserve on Wednesday issued the "Beige Book," the annual "Summary of Commentary on Current Economic Conditions by Federal Reserve District" tha...
Friday Thoughts
Thursday's USDA reports were bearish, and corn took the brunt of the bearish action closing down the 40-cent limit. Corn stocks were larger than expected,...
Reorg -- Still a Flawed Plan
We wrote about President Obama's concept of creating a singular business and trade department back on 24 March 2011, so this is part reprise. But, the plan...
Market Commentary
General Comments It is hard to come up with much in the way of insightful analysis for a market such as the one we saw today. USDA spoke, and markets react...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
Oilseed Highlights
No Major Surprises for Soy in USDA Reports Even though the initial market reaction to today's USDA production, stocks, supply, and demand data was substant...
Livestock Roundup
WASDE Today's WASDE shows a total red meat and poultry production up for 2012 over last month's projections, mostly due to pork production. USDA's Quarterl...
Policy Roundup
Direct Speak Diplomats from democratic countries returned from the climate change meetings in Durban, South Africa last month saying that they had accompli...
Common Thread: USDA’s January Surprise
With the plethora of fresh data that USDA's reports provide each January, the chances that they will contain something surprising is pretty high. When ther...
Future Corn Market Price Action
On 23 December, we noted that the impending influence of today's Stock report was difficult to anticipate. We asserted that there was no guarantee yields w...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Market: 2-9 January 2012 GRAIN COMMODITIES AND FLOUR General Official Data on 2011 Harvest According to data provided by the Russian Statisti...
Policy Roundup
New SPS World Back in 1990, imports of wine from France and Italy were found to contain procymidone, a fungicide approved in Europe but not in the U.S. The...
Market Commentary
General Comments Good rains fell across many southern and central portions of Argentina overnight. Amounts varied mostly between 0.5-1.5 inches, although a...
Closing Futures Prices
Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
Mercosur Regional Analysis
Drought Damage Hits South American Crops The South American drought continues to be the major problem in ag commodities these days. Brazil is in the best s...
Oilseed Highlights
Brazil's CONAB Surprisingly Raises Soybean Forecast The Brazilian crop supply agency (CONAB) today raised its forecast for Brazil's 2012 soybean crop by 0...
Inappropriate Short Hedging Strategies
Certain clients have asked if it would not be equally advantageous to hedge next season's production in more actively traded nearby contracts rather than i...
Policy Roundup
Delhi Microcosm of Doha The U.S. has now twice cancelled intended bilateral meetings with India on the reported basis that New Delhi was unlikely to grant...
Middle East and Mediterranean Regional Analysis
News Updates JORDAN AND TUNISIA, NEW EBRD MEMBERS Jordan and Tunisia are the newest members of the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development and are...
Crop Insurance's Record Year in 2011: AFBF Weighs in With Plan
The level of nutrition spending, particularly in regard to the record year for the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP), has driven and will co...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
Market Commentary
General Comments After blistering heat on Monday, rain finally returned to Argentina today with scattered showers due to cover 60-70 percent of the country...
The Corn Enigma
On Thursday, 12 January, USDA will release a trifecta of reports with NASS reporting its final 2011/12 corn and soybean yield and production estimates acco...
Nutrition Spending
Last Friday (see WPI 6 January), we wrote about the role that nutrition will play in the upcoming farm bill. Today, we take a closer look at nutrition spen...
Closing Futures Prices
Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
Market Commentary
General Comments Grain and oilseed futures were steady to higher in the Sunday evening session and gained strength as it wore on. The day session opened mu...
Will Ethanol Production Slow?
Forty percent of the U.S. annual corn production now goes directly into ethanol production. As the world is fully aware, this is a massive number that has...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
India's Potential Key to Growth: Overseas Indians India is currently hosting its 10th summit for non-resident Indians and will honor some of the leading In...
Policy Roundup
Starving for Nation Change A client passed along research from the New England Complex Systems Institute in which physicists, not economists, correlated hi...
The Nutrition Farm Bill
Years and years ago (as the tale goes), food stamps were put into the farm bill to create a coalition of lawmakers willing to vote for a bill that would pr...
Closing Futures Prices
WPI provides a summary of the week's futures price activity and the gains/losses experiences by grain, oilseed, and livestock markets. Additionally, today'...
Market Commentary
General Comments Markets of every type were somewhat subdued today. The U.S. jobs data was better than expected, with 200,000 jobs reportedly created in De...
Southeast Europe Regional Analysis
Milling Wheat The market in the Black Sea has made an impressing rally during the last two weeks due to the slowing of farmers' selling, and the general ma...
South American Weather Puts USDA January Reports in the Spotlight
On Thursday, 12 January, USDA will release its final production estimates for the 2011 corn and soybean crops. The last change to these production forecast...
Considering Prospective Plantings
Traders recognize that grain and soy complex prices are likely to remain volatile going into USDA's Prospective Plantings report that will be published on...
Livestock Roundup
Red Meat, Dairy Weighing in on Poultry Cages A group including the American Farm Bureau Federation, National Farmers Union, American Sheep Industry Associa...
Policy Roundup
Options Bias CFTC Commissioner Bart Chilton blocked Nadex from launching this week its proposed binary options on political events, like the 2012 president...
Mercosur Regional Analysis
Drought is Still the Main Issue in Argentina, Uruguay and Paraguay As with last week, the main topic of discussion in South America is the ongoing drought...
Oilseed Highlights
Sharp Increase in Indian Soymeal Exports in December India's Solvent Extractors Association (SEA) today reported that India exported 798,041 MT of soymeal...
Common Thread: The 2012 Crystal Ball
When the old year passes into a new year, it is common to look back at the important events, trends and other features of the old year (as we did last week...
Closing Futures Prices
Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
Market Commentary
General Comments The midday GFS weather model dialed in more rain for central Argentine crop areas than previous model runs had shown. Now it is calling fo...
Policy Roundup
Structure of Agriculture The structure of agriculture is at issue all over the world.Kenya: Officials in Nairobi are reportedly streamlining its governance...
Market Commentary
General Comments The definition of drought is a lengthy period of abnormally dry weather. A drought does not mean the total absence of precipitation. The o...
Closing Futures Prices
Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
Chinese Fears about Western Influence
President Hu Jintao of China told Communist Party members that hostile forces abroad are attempting to divide their country with western influences, accord...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Due to Christmas and New Year holidays, there is no Russian markets report this week. Kazakhstan's 2011 Harvest Results In 2011, there were 29.96 MMT of gr...
Millionaire Farmers
With the budget battles, class warfare is emerging as a major theme for the 2012 election campaign. There is debate about raising taxes like the estate tax...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Cotton Production Up, Prices Crash Cotton production in India is likely to be 26.1 million bales (of 170 kg each) for 2011/12, according to the new assessm...
Market Commentary
General Comments Commodities opened 2012 trading with an impressive rally that included grains and the soy complex. The rally was sponsored by a number of...
Wednesday
Wed 01/04/2012 3:00 PM Broiler Hatchery NASS...
Middle East and Mediterranean Regional Analysis
News Updates News is a little short this week due mainly to the holidays, but there is still enough going on to make for some interesting reading. STRAITS...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
Some New Year’s Thoughts
Today is sort of New Year's Day for many U.S. commodity futures markets, particularly grain and soy markets. With the long weekend and without an overnight...
Policy Roundup
Trade Snowball Japan's decision to join the Trans Pacific Partnership was just a part of the strategy. The Nikkei reports that Tokyo also engaging in a tri...
Oilseed Highlights
Continued Dry Weather in Argentina and Southern Brazil If the farmers of southern Brazil and Argentina had been hoping the New Year would bring them needed...