World Perspectives
  • Markets
  • World
  • Publications

Articles

China In-Country Analysis

Macroeconomics Food Prices See Their Smallest Increase n Nine Months The Year of the Rabbit kicked off with a sharp reduction in food inflation, as the ave...

Biden to Get Waterboarding; MRL’s Too Flexible

Biden to Get Waterboarding Regulating water quality under the U.S. Clean Water Act has become a political football, changing policies with each change of p...

Pet Food Bonanza

U.S. dog and cat food exports have risen 3500 percent over the past five years, one of the fastest growing categories of trade. It is on a path to rise ove...

Summary of Futures

May 23 Corn closed at $6.265/bushel, up $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  May 23 Wheat closed at $7.0275/bushel, up $0.065 from yesterday's close. ...

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 6 – 10 March 2023    Grain markets lost all hope for any bullishness due to a global bearish mood, export duties, an...

Market Commentary: CBOT Shakes Off SVB Shakiness

Except for the livestock markets, ag futures were broadly higher on Tuesday with investor and trader confidence returning after the weekend shock to the ba...

Eggs Down, but Not Out

Easter is about three weeks away. It is a peak demand for eggs, but production is still lagging. January table-egg production was estimated at 646.9 millio...

ICE and N-P-K

Second thoughts in policymaking are usually better than no thought at all. If it is meant to be, it will. Almost two years ago European politicians agreed...

Borrowing Food Production Capacity

There are many food insecure countries, According to the Economist’s Global Food Security Index most reside in Africa, but there are others around th...

Summary of Futures

May 23 Corn closed at $6.2075/bushel, up $0.0725 from yesterday's close.  May 23 Wheat closed at $6.9625/bushel, up $0.1175 from yesterday's close.&nb...

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA/AFRICA – MEA REGION Ramadan, the Muslim holy month, will begin on 23 March in the region. Bus...

Market Commentary: Macroeconomic Shockwaves Create CBOT Jitters

The CBOT’s trade on Monday was initially focused on the weekend failure of two major banks, a fact that sent shockwaves through the macroeconomic mar...

Industrial Farm Policy

China has announced that its state policies to support food production will be increased. Nearly every country has an industrial farm policy. The OECD esti...

Africa Maize Yield Outlook

Sub Saharan Africa (SSA) has the lowest average corn yield of any region in the world. Its corn yield is 77 percent lower than that achieved in North Ameri...

Chicken Wing Prices Flying Lower

The NCAA “March Madness” basketball tournament starts this week; that is typically a major driver of demand for chicken wings – with the...

Summary of Futures

May 23 Corn closed at $6.135/bushel, down $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  May 23 Wheat closed at $6.845/bushel, up $0.0525 from yesterday's close.&nb...

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Wheat Argentina Argentina’s soil moisture maps are, frankly, scary. The moisture profiles are totally dry, and in many cases soils need more than 200...

Summary of Futures

May 23 Corn closed at $6.1725/bushel, up $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  May 23 Wheat closed at $6.7925/bushel, up $0.135 from yesterday's close.&nbs...

Oilseed Highlights – One Step Back, Two Forward

The Market Soymeal drove ever higher this week but soybeans and soyoil took it in the shorts, so to speak. Soybeans continue to be pressured by Brazil&rsqu...

Our Complaints Too; Success of Options; IPEF Wisdom; Into the Fire

Our Complaints Too EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen was at the White House today to initiate a bilateral agreement with President Biden on join...

President’s Budget Submission and the Farm Bill

Yesterday was a big step toward the farm bill process via the Administration’s submission of the President’s FY 2024 budget proposal, at least...

Market Commentary: Weird, Weird Day

Today’s market opened generally tracking the higher close in the overnight session. It was bolstered by more cuts in expected Argentina production. B...

Livestock Roundup: WASDE and Voluntary COOL

Yesterday’s WASDE had a very bullish outlook for fed cattle prices, raising them again to an annual average of $162/cwt – the previous record a...

Summary of Futures

May 23 Corn closed at $6.115/bushel, down $0.14 from yesterday's close.  May 23 Wheat closed at $6.6575/bushel, down $0.2175 from yesterday's close.&n...

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for Feb 24 - Mar 2, 2023.  Wheat:  Net sales of 266,700 metric tons (MT) for 2022/2023 were down 6 percent from the pr...

China In-Country Analysis

Market Trends U.S. Ag Exports to China Set New Record for January Even with China’s economy sputtering and the reversal of the zero COVID-19 policy i...

WASDE Soybeans

SOYBEANS: U.S. soybean supply and use changes for 2022/23 include higher exports, lower crush, and reduced ending stocks compared with last month’s r...

WASDE Corn

CORN: The 2022/23 U.S. corn outlook is for lower exports and larger ending stocks.  Exports are reduced 75 million bushels reflecting the poor pace of...

WASDE Wheat

WHEAT: The 2022/23 U.S. wheat outlook is unchanged from last month.  The season-average farm price forecast also remains unchanged at $9.00 per bushel...

Market Commentary: WASDE Features Deep Cuts to Argy Crops, U.S. Corn Exports

The CBOT was, as it usually is, solely focused on the USDA’s WASDE report that came out at Noon today. Heading into the report, ag futures were mixed...

Summary of Futures

May 23 Corn closed at $6.255/bushel, down $0.0875 from yesterday's close.  May 23 Wheat closed at $6.875/bushel, down $0.105 from yesterday's close.&n...

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 27 February – 3 March 2023   Russian grain markets maintained previous price levels and in certain segments were eve...

Year Round E15 - Eventually from EPA, Sooner from Congress?

EPA issued a proposed rule on 1 March to provide a waiver of the Clean Air Act that would permit E15 use, through the summer months, in eight Midwestern st...

Summary of Futures

May 23 Corn closed at $6.3425/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  May 23 Wheat closed at $6.98/bushel, up $0.0275 from yesterday's close.&nb...

Tomato Economics

U.S. domestic farm policy critics like U.S. Senator Cory Booker (D-New Jersey) have a point when they note that the Farm Bill encourages the production of...

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA/AFRICA – MEA REGION Pakistan’s soybean import estimates have been dropped from 2.5 MMT...

Good Bets for the Farm Bill

The 2023 farm bill process is under way with both the House and Senate Agriculture Committees having several hearings completed or scheduled. On 16 March,...

Summary of Futures

May 23 Corn closed at $6.37/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  May 23 Wheat closed at $6.9525/bushel, down $0.135 from yesterday's close.&n...

Policy Shorts

Procedural Action on Mexico: The Biden Administration has formally requested technical consultations with Mexico under the USMCA to discuss the proposed GM...

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Corn The weather continues to give no respite for Argentina’s corn crop. The country is experiencing a heat wave with few precedents at a time of rel...

Market Commentary: Bear Scent

This should be the window for U.S. export sales, but it has been strangely quiet. There were rumors of a Chinese purchase this week, but nothing has been c...

Tai’d Down on Trade

The Biden Administration has done the impossible – it has united Congressional Democrats and Republicans on an issue, and not in a good way.  It...

Summary of Futures

May 23 Corn closed at $6.3975/bushel, up $0.06 from yesterday's close.  May 23 Wheat closed at $7.0875/bushel, down $0.04 from yesterday's close. ...

Oilseed Highlights – The Market Thaws

The Market Tuesday was a rough day in the market and while the May soyoil contract lost a fraction on the week, both May soybeans and soymeal logged anothe...

It’s the Regulations that Matter

The House Agriculture Committee’s first hearing this year on the 2023 farm bill strayed a bit from the technical jurisdiction of farm bill programs o...

Market Commentary: Steady Eddie

It was a mixed day but mostly lower volume (except for soyoil) as the market appears generally comfortable with current values. Even Russia’s charge...

Tooling Up; Ignoring the Elephant; Buffaloes and Cows

Tooling Up Yesterday, USTR issued its annual report for 2022 and the President’s 2023 Trade Policy Agenda. The 354-page document will no doubt be rea...

Livestock Roundup: Policy Proposals Lagging the Cattle Cycle

Since COVID and the bottlenecks it created in livestock slaughter, populism has been the hallmark of agriculture policy debates on Capitol Hill, especially...

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for February 17-23, 2023   Wheat:  Net sales of 284,100 metric tons (MT) for 2022/2023 were down 16 percent from...

China In-Country Analysis

Livestock Domestic Live Hog Cash Price Rebounds by More than 7 Percent The recent procurement of frozen pork for state reserves combined with some warmer w...

Summary of Futures

May 23 Corn closed at $6.3575/bushel, up $0.055 from yesterday's close.  May 23 Wheat closed at $7.1/bushel, up $0.045 from yesterday's close.  M...

Directional Trade Deficit

The Biden Administration halted new trade agreements until it said it could make Americans more competitive with policies like Build Back Better. However,...

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 29 - 24 February 2023   Russia had one day off last week which was an Army Day. Although the business week was one day sho...

January Consumer Spending Up, Money Supply Down

The M2 money supply for January decreased for the second consecutive month.  M2 is the amount of cash, held by banks, travelers’ checks, savings...

Summary of Futures

May 23 Corn closed at $6.3025/bushel, down $0.1325 from yesterday's close.  May 23 Wheat closed at $7.055/bushel, down $0.045 from yesterday's close.&...

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA/AFRICA – MEA REGION Egypt is expected to have to devalue its currency again according to Soci...

China Driving Changes in Brazilian Beef Production

Brazil last week reported a case of atypical Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE); it was discovered in a seven-year-old cow in the northern state of Par...

Summary of Futures

May 23 Corn closed at $6.435/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  May 23 Wheat closed at $7.1/bushel, down $0.1175 from yesterday's close.&nb...

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Corn Although there has been a change in the weather pattern since the beginning of the year and Argentina has seen more rains, the precipitation was heter...

European Market Analysis

Regional News  Egypt’s GASC secured 79 KMT of soybean and sunseed oil in total, of which 27 KMT of sunseed oil was purchased at $1.170/MT CNF an...

Streisand Salvation; WOTUS Cost; The Money Pit

Streisand Salvation Stealing an idea from energy writer Robert Bryce, what if the Green Deal/F2F is inadvertently boosting the prospects for ag chemical co...

Cattle of Feed

USDA reported U.S. Cattle on Feed down 4 percent from year-ago on February 1, 2023.  Placements in feedlots during January totaled 1.93 million head,...

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for February 10-16, 2023   Wheat:  Net sales of 338,800 metric tons (MT) for 2022/2023 were up 62 percent from th...

Diversity of Scale; Calories versus Micronutrients

Diversity of Scale Tom Vilsack is one of the longest serving secretaries in USDA history. The one-time presidential candidate is a likeable and formidable...

Cattle on Feed: Mostly Neutral

USDA released its monthly Cattle on Feed report today; the inventory of cattle and calves on feed on feedlots with 1,000 head capacity or more on 1 Februar...

Summary of Futures

May 23 Corn closed at $6.4925/bushel, down $0.1 from yesterday's close.  May 23 Wheat closed at $7.2175/bushel, down $0.2875 from yesterday's close.&n...

Oilseed Highlights – Drip, Drip, Drip

The Market The trading week was just four session long due to Monday’s holiday but it seemed more bearish than it turned out. March soybeans closed l...

Market Commentary: Delayed Reaction

USDA issued its outlook for 2023 major crops before the market opened this morning but the reaction to it was slow to develop. Perhaps initially because it...

Summary of Futures

Mar 23 Corn closed at $6.6025/bushel, down $0.1375 from yesterday's close.  May 23 Wheat closed at $7.505/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close.&nb...

WTO and Inclusion; Putin Boosts Trade; Boohoo, Yoohoo

WTO and Inclusion There is much frustration in Geneva over the policy gridlock at the WTO. The EU has proposed a set of three objectives for the institutio...

Market Commentary: Risk-Off Trade Sends CBOT Lower

Except for cattle and soyoil futures the major CBOT/CME ag markets turned red on Wednesday with a combination of surprise weather, technical selling, and a...

China In-Country Analysis

Livestock Domestic Live Hog Prices See Some Modest Gains A week after bottoming out following the back-to-back holidays, the average price for domestic liv...

Summary of Futures

Mar 23 Corn closed at $6.74/bushel, down $0.065 from yesterday's close.  May 23 Wheat closed at $7.5/bushel, down $0.1275 from yesterday's close. ...

Future of World Trade; Inflated Politics

Future of World Trade While U.S. Trade Representative Katherine Tai characterized the WTO as being on ‘thin ice” for a dispute settlement case...

Equilibration of Food Prices

International trade is supposed to equilibrate prices as the supply of goods or services flow to where they deemed more precious. Hog prices in Europe are...

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 13 - 17 February 2023    The Russian domestic grain market was unmistakably bearish. A large crop, increasing export dutie...

War Escalation and Food Security; India Courted

War Escalation and Food Security President Joe Biden visited Kyiv yesterday where he accused Russia of trying to starve the world. The U.S. also expressed...

Dissecting the Protein Market

Populist U.S. politicians are criticizing the meat sector and blaming higher prices on agribusiness concentration. The usual target is beef where 85 percen...

Summary of Futures

Mar 23 Corn closed at $6.805/bushel, up $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Mar 23 Wheat closed at $7.505/bushel, down $0.15 from yesterday's close. ...

U.S. Dairy Record Exports for Sixth Year – More to Come

U.S. agriculture exports hit a record in 2022 - a total value of $196 billion. However, the situation was more of a mixed bag upon closer inspection. Sever...

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA/AFRICA – MEA REGION Oman Flour Mills (OFM) is reportedly about to receive the first direct fa...

Summary of Futures

Mar 23 Corn closed at $6.7775/bushel, up $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Mar 23 Wheat closed at $7.655/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close. ...

U.S. President's Day Holiday

The CBOT/CME will be closed on Monday, 20 February 2023 for the U.S. President’s Day holiday. WPI will not issue an Ag Perspectives report on Monday...

Market Commentary: Argy Crop Ratings Worsen; CBOT Chops Sideways into Weekend

The CBOT posted a day of two-sided trade on Friday to end a week of choppy, two-sided trade. With the three-day weekend coming up, few traders were interes...

Oilseed Highlights – Transition Week

The Market The market is at the seasonal turning point. Brazilian soybean basis has turned negative relative to Chicago. March soymeal hit a contract high...

Warren is Wrong; You Can’t Have Any Pudding

Warren is Wrong U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-Massachusetts) excoriated her own Party’s USDA secretary, Tom Vilsack, for failing to stop concentra...

Market Commentary: Exhausting the Angst

Markets trade on fundamentals and right now is the equivalent of being an ebb tide. It is a shift from angst over supply-reducing weather in South America...

Policy Snippets; Diplomatic Differences

Policy Snippets U.S. Agricultural Trade Ambassador Doug McKalip says the goal is sustainability initiatives in the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework that d...

Summary of Futures

Mar 23 Corn closed at $6.76/bushel, down $0.0025 from yesterday's close.  Mar 23 Wheat closed at $7.65/bushel, down $0.0425 from yesterday's close.&nb...

Livestock Roundup: USDA’s Long-Term Outlook

USDA released its long-term outlook for 2024 - 2032 this week. No surprise that USDA’s projections show the continued tight situation for cattle thro...

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for February 3-9, 2023   Wheat:  Net sales of 209,800 metric tons (MT) for 2022/2023 were up 60 percent from the...

China In-Country Analysis

Food Inflation Food Prices See Biggest Jump in Four Months The average cost of food in China rose by 6.2 percent from a year ago in January, marking the th...

Market Commentary: Dollar Rallies on Retail Sales Numbers, Pressures CBOT Trade

The CBOT turned lower again at mid-week with an unexpectedly strong retail sales report sparking a rally in the U.S. dollar. That, in turn, pressured CBOT...

Summary of Futures

Mar 23 Corn closed at $6.7625/bushel, down $0.06 from yesterday's close.  Mar 23 Wheat closed at $7.6925/bushel, down $0.1675 from yesterday's close.&...

Oats are In

David McKee at Key International LCC points out the surge in demand for oat milk, which now dominates the creamer used at many coffee shops. Global oat pro...

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 6 - 10 February 2023    Russian domestic grain markets remained relatively stable. Feed wheat remains more expensive than...

Market Commentary: CBOT Goes Red for Valentine’s

Red is the traditional color for Valentine’s Day and the CBOT seemed happy to do its part celebrating the holiday. The grain and oilseeds markets wer...

Mexico Ignores Science Question; Bad Idea; False Impression

Mexico Ignores Science Question In response to U.S. Agricultural Trade Ambassador Doug McKalip’s throwing down the gauntlet and demanding by today th...

Inflation Up – and Down – Depending on the Benchmark

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.5 percent in January on a seasonally adjusted basis, after increasing 0.1 percent in December, the U.S. Bureau of Lab...

Summary of Futures

Mar 23 Corn closed at $6.8225/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Mar 23 Wheat closed at $7.86/bushel, down $0.06 from yesterday's close.&nb...

Coming Beef Crisis

Global cattle production has basically been running steady. Fluctuating based on climate, health, supply and demand, and the gestation cycle. The U.S. is t...

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA/AFRICA – MEA REGION Pakistan’s Punjab province is reportedly stopping permanently the w...

Market Commentary: Bullish Start for the Week

The CBOT largely continued Friday’s Russia-induced rally with help from another weekend of terrible weather for crops in Argentina. Soybeans and soym...

Summary of Futures

Mar 23 Corn closed at $6.85/bushel, up $0.045 from yesterday's close.  Mar 23 Wheat closed at $7.92/bushel, up $0.06 from yesterday's close.  Mar...

Tee Up Warnings; Takes One to Know One; Nutrition and Meat

Tee Up Warnings Learning that some Progressives in Congress want to amend crop insurance and increase conservation requirements, Ranking Member on the Sena...

Show Me the Farm Bill Money

On Wednesday of this week, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) will release its “score” of the farm bill baseline. That is the cost projectio...

European Market Analysis

Regional News  The renewal of the Ukraine export corridor deal is seen as increasingly in jeopardy as rhetoric and military resource offers from Weste...

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Corn Many early-crop corn fields have been heavily impacted by drought and yields will be very low. Other fields have been burned or chopped early for anim...

How Sweet It Isn't

Global surplus sugar stocks are at their lowest since 2010/11 and futures prices are at their highest level in six years. Yet global import demand continue...

Market Commentary: Russian Missiles Spook CBOT; Wheat Posts Bullish Day

On Friday, Russia did what the February WASDE could not, excite the grain markets. Early Friday, a Russian missile(s) headed towards Romania (a NATO countr...

Valentine Kiss; Farm Bill Implications; Trade as a Weapon

Valentines Kiss USTR Chief Agriculture Negotiator Doug McKalip gave his counterparts until 14 February to respond to the U.S. demand for answers to its que...

Summary of Futures

Mar 23 Corn closed at $6.805/bushel, up $0.0975 from yesterday's close.  Mar 23 Wheat closed at $7.86/bushel, up $0.2875 from yesterday's close. ...

Oilseed Highlights – Ending on a High Note

The Market The trading week started a little down in the dumps, but the finish ensured gains across the soybean complex. There was a lot of support: ...

Eggs: Bring Back the Breakers

Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (HPAI) has had a major impact on the price of eggs. The first detection in a commercial laying flock was in February 2022...

Market Commentary: Post-WASDE Drip

There was higher volume trading corn, soybeans, and soymeal, but resulting in just a half penny change in soybeans. There was low volume trading in Februar...

China In-Country Analysis

Public Health COVID-19 Cases and Deaths Decline, Fears of New Variants Wane One particular positive as China’s lengthy New Year’s and Lantern F...

Biden’s Error in Commodity Strategy; Chasing Sri Lanka

Biden’s Error in Commodity Strategy The U.S. is the world’s largest oil and gas producing nation. Russia is a close number two. But note the fo...

Summary of Futures

Mar 23 Corn closed at $6.7075/bushel, down $0.0775 from yesterday's close.  Mar 23 Wheat closed at $7.5725/bushel, down $0.075 from yesterday's close...

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for January 27 – February 2, 2023   Wheat:  Net sales of 131,400 metric tons (MT) for 2022/2023 were down 4...

WASDE Soybeans

USDA projects lower soybean crush and higher ending stocks.  With soybean exports unchanged, ending stocks are forecast at 225 million bushels, up 15...

WASDE Corn

USDA projected lower U.S. corn use for ethanol and larger ending stocks. U.S. corn ending stocks are up 25 million bushels from last month. The season-aver...

WASDE Wheat

USDA made minor revisions to domestic wheat use and ending stocks.  Wheat exports are unchanged at 775 million tons with offsetting by-class changes.&...

War on Big Ag; Gene Editing Regulation

War on Big Ag At a conference hosted by anti-Big Ag activist group Farm Action, vegan and anti-Big Ag U.S. Senator Cory Booker (D-New Jersey) called for a...

Africa Rising

A new report by USDA’s Economic Research Service entitled Market Opportunities Expanding for Agricultural Trade and Investment in Africa cites severa...

Summary of Futures

Mar 23 Corn closed at $6.785/bushel, up $0.045 from yesterday's close.  Mar 23 Wheat closed at $7.6475/bushel, up $0.15 from yesterday's close. ...

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 30 January - 3 February 2023    Russian domestic grain markets remained stable. The only commodity which slightly recovere...

SOTU Preview on Issues Related to Agriculture

Tonight, President Biden will deliver the State of the Union (SOTU) address. There are always prognostications on what the President will, or won’t s...

Biden SOTU versus EU Hopes; Child Labor Perversity

Biden SOTU versus EU Hopes President Joe Biden in his State of the Union address tonight will call for increased application of Buy America provisions in g...

Declining Population Impacts Consumption

According to USDA, South Korea’s government is taking steps to stop the price of rice from falling and to slow over-production. There will be payment...

Summary of Futures

Mar 23 Corn closed at $6.74/bushel, down $0.05 from yesterday's close.  Mar 23 Wheat closed at $7.4975/bushel, down $0.005 from yesterday's close.&nbs...

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA/AFRICA – MEA REGION Saudi Arabia received a 60,000 MT barley shipment from Australia financed...

Summary of Futures

  Mar 23 Corn closed at $6.79/bushel, up $0.015 from yesterday's close.  Mar 23 Wheat closed at $7.5025/bushel, down $0.065 from yesterday's clos...

India’s Rise; Critic versus Constructionist

India’s Rise The world’s largest democracy has refused to criticize or disengage from Russia’s autocratic regime. Prime Minister Narendra...

What to Make of the January Jobs Report

Last Friday the Labor Department released a shocker of a jobs report: 517,000 new jobs created in January. The pre-report consensus was 188,000 jobs. Unemp...

Ignoring Food Advice

Americans are urged to eat whole wheat flour. Whole-grain flours are considered more nutritious because they contain more fiber, minerals, vitamins, and ot...

European Market Analysis

Regional News  Russia’s government announced the expected grain export quota for the period 15 February through 30 June 2023 of 25 MMT. The quot...

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Corn During January, most of Argentina’s agricultural region received an average of 100 mm of rain, which helped to partly reverse several months of...

Summary of Futures

Mar 23 Corn closed at $6.775/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Mar 23 Wheat closed at $7.5675/bushel, down $0.0425 from yesterday's close.&n...

New House Agriculture Committee Democrats Named

The new members of the Democrat minority of the House Agriculture Committee have been named. The Democrat side will decrease from 27 to 24 members moving t...

Oilseed Highlights – Lots of Data Points

The Market This week started strong, took a midweek dip, and then recovered, except for soyoil. Soybeans are in an uptrend and the March contract is tradin...

Jurisdictional Competence; S&DT Short-Sightedness; Non-Starter

Jurisdictional Competence This week agriculture ministers from 16 EU countries sent a letter complaining that too many legislative issues impacting agricul...

Market Commentary: Groundhog Sympathy

Punxsutawney Phil reportedly saw his shadow today at Gobbler’s Knob and there will supposedly be six more weeks of winter, though he is like a grain...

Livestock Roundup: When Will Herd Rebuilding Begin

There’s still more information to digest among the details of Tuesday’s January Cattle Report (see WPI’s coverage here).   Catt...

Summary of Futures

Mar 23 Corn closed at $6.7525/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  Mar 23 Wheat closed at $7.61/bushel, up $0.0125 from yesterday's close.&nb...

Obesity Scapegoats; Russian Humor

Obesity Scapegoats It has been popular to blame the rise in obesity on the proliferation of cheap, calorically dense “junk” foods. Most analyst...

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for January 20-26, 2023   Wheat:  Net sales of 136,400 metric tons (MT) for 2022/2023 were down 73 percent from t...

Summary of Futures

Mar 23 Corn closed at $6.81/bushel, up $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Mar 23 Wheat closed at $7.5975/bushel, down $0.015 from yesterday's close.&nbs...

Rice not Nice

India’s rice subsidies were again a complaint today at a hearing before the Senate Agriculture Committee. India’s rice exports have increased b...

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 23 -27 January 2023    Russian domestic grain markets remained stable and slightly bearish. The feature of the week was fe...

Market Commentary: Technicals Dominate on Light Fundamentals

Ag futures saw another day of mixed trade with CBOT wheat taking a surprising lead and posting a technically bullish day while corn futures sank lower afte...

Drop in Feeder Cattle Supply

USDA released its Cattle Inventory report today. The total inventory of all cattle and calves as of 1 January is 89.3 million head; that compares to 92.1 m...

Summary of Futures

Mar 23 Corn closed at $6.7975/bushel, down $0.04 from yesterday's close.  Mar 23 Wheat closed at $7.6125/bushel, up $0.0875 from yesterday's close.&nb...

New Trade Agenda; Walk the Meat Talk

New Trade Agenda Tomorrow will present the Senate Agriculture Committee’s first hearing in preparation for writing a new Farm Bill and the first two...

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA/AFRICA – MEA REGION Egyptian government officials said the “dollar crisis” has no...

Parsing the Data

Brazil’s meat processors are expressing angst that their country’s boosted corn exports to China this year will drive up domestic feed costs to...

Philippines Agriculture; Future Trade Policy

Philippines Agriculture After remittances from overseas, agriculture and fisheries are the most important industries in the Philippines. A country of 114 m...

Farm Bill Could Change PLC Reference Prices

Topics for consideration in the farm bill are starting to take shape. According to reports from Capitol Hill, one likely change in the 2023 farm bill will...

Summary of Futures

Mar 23 Corn closed at $6.8375/bushel, up $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  Mar 23 Wheat closed at $7.525/bushel, up $0.025 from yesterday's close. ...

European Market Analysis

Regional News  Egypt has reportedly secured a long-term contract with Germany to buy wheat from the European nation, though details on the agreement a...

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Corn Rains that have fallen so far in 2023 indicate a possible change in the South American weather pattern. They have been good in terms of quantity and r...

Pricier White Liquor

The three major global suppliers of sorghum are the U.S., Argentina, and Australia. China has been a critical market for U.S. sorghum in recent years but i...

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity marke...

Summary of Futures

Mar 23 Corn closed at $6.83/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Mar 23 Wheat closed at $7.5/bushel, down $0.025 from yesterday's close.  M...

USTR Downgraded; Lightweight Committee

USTR Downgraded The Office of the U.S. Trade Representative sits inside the Executive Office of the President. No different than other offices situated und...

Oilseed Highlights: Volatile Mood

The Market The trading week got started with the weather premium getting chopped down due to rains in Argentina. Those rains turned out to be good but not...

Market Commentary: Macro and Russians

After a brutal Monday, futures have been clawing back gains the past few days. Trading on Thursday was helped along by a U.S. Q4 2022 GDP number that pleas...

Dirty Deal; Standards Battle

Dirty Deal During the early days of negotiating the Uruguay Round, industry leaders fretted that trade liberalization aspirations would be thwarted by prot...

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for January 13-19, 2023 Wheat:  Net sales of 500,400 metric tons (MT) for 2022/2023 were up 6 percent from the previous wee...

Summary of Futures

Mar 23 Corn closed at $6.825/bushel, up $0.0775 from yesterday's close.  Mar 23 Wheat closed at $7.525/bushel, up $0.1125 from yesterday's close. ...

Livestock Roundup: Broiler Outlook

Preliminary December broiler production was 3.8 billion pounds, which would bring 2022 annual production to 46.2 billion pounds. That is 103 percent of 202...

Foreign Desk at State; IRA Confusion; Grain is Value-added Water

Foreign Desk at State Under Secretary Jose Fernandez has proved that an American desk is needed at the State Department. Speaking at the Center for Strateg...

Battle for Acres

S&P Global is the first private firm to issue an acreage planted forecast following USDA’s prediction for the upcoming campaign, but it will not...

Summary of Futures

Mar 23 Corn closed at $6.7475/bushel, down $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Mar 23 Wheat closed at $7.4125/bushel, up $0.0675 from yesterday's close.&...

China In-Country Analysis

Cultural The Year of the Rabbit Arrives The Chinese Lunar New Year celebrations began on Saturday with festive New Year’s Eve gatherings. Sunday mark...

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 16 - 20 January 2023    Grain prices remained relatively stable and are most likely to remain stable in the near term. The...

China Dairy Hope

Global dairy trade, which had been growing at a compound annual rate of 4.7 percent has slowed over the past couple of years. A primary reason has been Chi...

Policy Shorts

Mexico Shrug U.S. trade officials meeting with their Mexican counterparts raised "grave concerns" over AMLO’s agricultural biotechnology policies and...

Summary of Futures

Mar 23 Corn closed at $6.77/bushel, up $0.1075 from yesterday's close.  Mar 23 Wheat closed at $7.345/bushel, up $0.145 from yesterday's close. ...

Anticipating GDP Release

GDP for Q4 2022 will come out on Thursday of this week; the consensus expectations is for 2.5 percent growth. But the question is what lies ahead for 2023?...

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA/AFRICA – MEA REGION Turkish authorities have decided, in their infinite wisdom, to ban the im...

Market Commentary: South American Rains Create CBOT Selling Flood

The rain in Spain falls mainly on the plain, but this week it’s falling on Argentina and causing a flood of CBOT sell orders. Corn, wheat, and the so...

Summary of Futures

Mar 23 Corn closed at $6.6625/bushel, down $0.1 from yesterday's close.  Mar 23 Wheat closed at $7.2/bushel, down $0.215 from yesterday's close. ...

Cure for High Prices

Good moisture has enabled Australia to produce a record sized wheat crop. Due to proximity, Australia largely serves Asian markets and its wheat sales to C...

European Market Analysis

Regional News  Recent swings in temperatures across the EU could leave winter crops weakened and more vulnerable to damage. EU winter crops have escap...

Debt Ceiling Showdown in Congress This Week

As Congress returns this week, negotiating over the debt limit will be at the top of the to-do list. Coupling spending cuts with a debt limit increase was...

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Wheat Wheat continues to be scarce in general across Latin America, but especially in Argentina. It is strange to see Argentina’s export volumes prac...

Cattle on Feed

Jan 1 U.S. Cattle on Feed down 3 percent from 2022  Dec Placements in feedlots totaled 1.80 million head, 8 percent below 2021 Dec Marketings of fed c...

Search World Perspectives

Sign In to World Perspectives

Don’t have an account yet? Sign Up