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Monday Policy Shorts

Pesticide Policy: New and controversial Secretary of HHS, Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. says “Nothing is off limits” including agricultural chemicals...

CFTC COT Report Analysis

In the week following the February WASDE, managed money traders’ sentiments towards the ag markets  changed relatively little. Funds perhaps mos...

Market Commentary: Mixed Week with some Bearish Headwinds

The last session of this holiday shortened trading week was much like the week itself, mixed with mostly declines. Though hogs, HRS and soymeal all had gai...

Cattle on Feed

U.S. Cattle on Feed on February 1, 2025 was down one percent from a year ago. The total was 11.7 million head in feedlots with a capacity of 1,000 or more...

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for February 7-13, 2025. Wheat: Net sales of 532,700 metric tons (MT) for 2024/2025 were down 7 percent from the previous week,...

Cattle on Feed Report

USDA released the monthly Cattle on Feed report today. The total cattle on feed inventory was 11.7 million head, at 99 percent of last year. Placements in...

Summary of Futures

Mar 25 Corn closed at $4.9125/bushel, down $0.0675 from yesterday's close.  Mar 25 Wheat closed at $5.9/bushel, up $0.045 from yesterday's close. ...

U.S. Consumer Food Spending Trends

U.S. consumer spending patterns have undergone several significant shifts since the COVID-19 pandemic, and the food industry was no different. Since the pa...

Market Commentary: Mixed on Mostly Low Volume

There was lower volume in much of the market today, except in soybeans where there was a healthy double-digit gain. Market inputs are steady for the moment...

Summary of Futures

Mar 25 Corn closed at $4.98/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Mar 25 Wheat closed at $5.855/bushel, down $0.065 from yesterday's close. ...

Livestock Roundup: Cattle on Feed Preview

USDA’s monthly Cattle on Feed report will be released tomorrow. Analysts’ pre-report consensus estimates are for the total inventory on feed to...

Oilseed Highlights: Strong Vegoil Markets Support Oilseeds

The Market  The major action in global oilseed markets this past week has been in the vegoil realm, where tightening global supplies have pushed price...

Summary of Futures

Mar 25 Corn closed at $4.975/bushel, down $0.045 from yesterday's close.  Mar 25 Wheat closed at $5.92/bushel, down $0.1275 from yesterday's close.&nb...

Market Commentary: Risk-Off Trade Pushes CBOT Lower; Hogs Selloff Sharply

The CBOT was mostly lower Wednesday as a stronger U.S. dollar and a general "risk-off" mentality drove the day’s weaker trade. Wheat futures saw the...

Rollins versus Kennedy; Move Over Eggs; FSC and VAT

Rollins versus Kennedy With a vote of 72 – 28, Brooke Rollins became the 33rd U.S. Secretary of Agriculture and she achieved the fifth best Senate ap...

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 10 – 14 February 2025 The market remained bullish with some regional deviations. Corn and barley prices froze along with expor...

Market Commentary: Exports Bouy Corn; Wheat Rallies on Cold Snap Concerns

Grain futures were weaker overnight following the long weekend and after President Trump announced a reciprocal tariff policy. The markets bounced back Tue...

USDA Secretary Brooke Rollins

After getting a slow start to the nomination process, Brooke Rollins is now the confirmed USDA Secretary, by virtue of a 72-28 confirmation vote last week...

Summary of Futures

Mar 25 Corn closed at $5.02/bushel, up $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  Mar 25 Wheat closed at $6.0475/bushel, up $0.0475 from yesterday's close. ...

CFTC COT Report Analysis

Managed money traders’ sentiments shifted last week, according to the latest CFTC report. Funds who had previously been bullish soybeans and corn, sh...

Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis

Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region The 2025 dates for Ramadan are estimated to be 28 February until 30 March. The actual date...

Market Commentary: Weather, Economy, Tariffs All Jiggle the Market

There were surprisingly only modest trading volumes in this last trading session before a three-day holiday. There was no rush to escape positions. The liv...

President's Day Holiday

Monday, 17 February, is a U.S. holiday. The CME/CBOT will be closed along with our offices in observance of the President’s Day holiday. The next Ag...

Summary of Futures

Mar 25 Corn closed at $4.9625/bushel, up $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Mar 25 Wheat closed at $6/bushel, up $0.2225 from yesterday's close.  M...

2025 Hog Pork Outlook Positive for Producers and Packers

Anyone following the hog and pork markets recently has seen the volatility that preceded the recent surge to new contract highs, and the lack of consensus...

No GMO Corn Ban by Mexico

Last Wednesday, the Mexican government formally repealed an import ban on genetically modified corn after the U.S. successfully argued the measure violated...

Market Commentary: Tariff Thursday After Weather Wednesday

Wheat opened higher but the rest of the board was seeing red at the open. The market mood is cautious given improved weather in South America and uncertain...

Livestock Roundup: Beef Outlook

Beef production is now forecast at 26.632 million pounds, an increase of 775 million pounds (+3 percent) from the January forecast. Before taking this numb...

Summary of Futures

Mar 25 Corn closed at $4.935/bushel, up $0.0325 from yesterday's close.  Mar 25 Wheat closed at $5.7775/bushel, up $0.035 from yesterday's close. ...

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for January 31-February 6, 2025.  Wheat: Net sales of 569,600 metric tons (MT) for 2024/2025 were up 30 percent from the pr...

Summary of Futures

Mar 25 Corn closed at $4.9025/bushel, up $0.0625 from yesterday's close.  Mar 25 Wheat closed at $5.7425/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close.&...

India Concessions; Reciprocal Tariffs; Fighting for Relevance

India Concessions U.S. President Donald Trump and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi meet tomorrow at the White House. Trump says other countries treat th...

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 3 – 7 February 2025 The market remained bullish. Farmers keep sitting on grains expecting a better price amid rumours that end...

Powell and Trump Showdown on Capitol Hill

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said last month that he would not resign from his position, even if asked to by Trump. Since the President did not m...

U.S. Africa Relations; Money versus Regulation

U.S. Africa Relations The Biden Administration started but failed to complete regional agreements like the Indo-Pacific Partnership for Prosperity (IP3) an...

Summary of Futures

Mar 25 Corn closed at $4.84/bushel, down $0.075 from yesterday's close.  Mar 25 Wheat closed at $5.77/bushel, down $0.025 from yesterday's close. ...

WASDE Soybeans - Feb 2025

USDA made no change to U.S. ending stocks of soybeans for the 2024/25 season. The season-average soybean price is projected at $10.10 per bushel, down 10 c...

WASDE Corn - Feb 2025

USDA made no change to U.S. ending stocks of corn for the 2024/25 season. The projected season-average farm price is raised 10 cents to $4.35 per bushel. G...

WASDE Wheat - Feb 2025

USDA made a small reduction in ending stocks of U.S. wheat by 4 million bushels to 794 million but are 14 percent above last year. The season-average farm...

Moral Reciprocity

President Trump’s tariffs on steel and aluminum imports are mostly pure protectionism. Canada, Brazil and Mexico are the main suppliers, not the stat...

Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis

Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – Mea Region Turkey’s wheat imports and exports are lower in 2024/25 due to restrictions by the T...

Livestock Industry Margins

U.S. meat packer margins fell further last week as beef and, to a lesser extent pork, values contracted while animal procurement costs remain high. WPI&rsq...

Trump’s World

China is set to implement retaliatory tariffs on a variety of U.S. goods starting as soon as today, further intensifying trade tensions between the two eco...

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