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Cattle on Feed Report: In Line with Expectations

USDA released the monthly Cattle on Feed report today; it was right in line with analysts’ pre-report consensus expectations making it neutral and an...

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.455/bushel, up $0.015 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $5.9325/bushel, up $0.0775 from yesterday's close. ...

Tradition Tackles Progress; Data Confusion

Tradition Tackles Progress At least twelve EU member states are trying to block the introduction of lab-grown meat. The pretense is that such a product &ld...

Oilseed Highlights: The Cup Runneth Over

The Market Pressured by improved weather in Brazil, favorable crop conditions in Argentina, and a softening Chinese market, March soybeans declined 0.89 pe...

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for January 5-11, 2024 Wheat:  Net sales of 707,600 metric tons (MT) for 2023/2024 were up noticeably from the previous wee...

Market Commentary: Dead Cat Bounce

After hitting new contract lows in corn and wheat again today, there was a turnaround led by wheat. However, without any change in the underlying fundament...

Livestock Roundup: Cattle on Feed Preview

USDA will release its Cattle on Feed report tomorrow; the consensus pre-report analysts’ estimate is for the inventory of cattle on feed to be 102 pe...

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.44/bushel, up $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $5.855/bushel, up $0.03 from yesterday's close.  M...

Not Magnanimous; Transatlantic Tech Divide; Advice for Europe

Not Magnanimous An AgriPulse poll of geographically dispersed farmers from across the U.S. with at least $100,000 in gross annual income reflects some gree...

Market Commentary: New Lows for Corn, Wheat; Cattle & Hogs Extend Gains

The CBOT was mostly lower at mid-week with traders still reacting to the bearish implications of the January WASDE. For bulls, matters seem to keep getting...

Winter Gives Biofuel Boost

A record 1.2 million electric vehicles (EVs) were sold in the U.S. in 2023. EVs hit a record 8.1 percent market share in the fourth quarter. However, also...

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.4225/bushel, down $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $5.825/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close.&nb...

China Pork and Beans

China’s National Bureau of Statistics reports that pork production increased 4.6 percent in 2023 to 57.94 MMT. This makes the fourth consecutive year...

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 8–12 January 2024 After the January holidays, the Russian market is being revised step-by-step. The volume of trade is not so...

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.435/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $5.82/bushel, down $0.14 from yesterday's close. ...

Market Commentary: Grain Markets Drifting Lower into Planting Season?

The January WASDE and Grains Stocks reports are now past, but their impacts continued to drive CBOT price action to start the holiday-shortened week. Corn...

Policy and Politics Quick Hits

Budget Extension Over the weekend – doesn’t it seem budget deals are always struck on weekends – Congressional leaders came to an agreeme...

Transatlantic Commonality; Argentina’s NTB’s

Transatlantic Commonality Politico’s senior foreign correspondent Nahal Toosi noted that ambassadors in Washington are warning that U.S. power and in...

Value of Scale Recognized

Agriculture ministers from five EU countries (Bulgaria, Poland, Romania, Hungary, and Slovakia) are asking the European Commission to come up with a soluti...

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA/AFRICA – MEA REGION Egypt reports that Suez Canal fees have dropped by 40 percent so far in 2...

WASDE Soybeans

USDA reduced the 2023/24 season-average U.S. soybean price by 15 cents to $12.75 per bushel. The soybean meal price is projected at $380 per short ton, dow...

WASDE Corn

USDA reduced the 2023/24 season-average U.S. farm price of corn by 5 cents to $4.80 per bushel. Corn production is estimated at a record 15.3 billion bushe...

WASDE Wheat

USDA reduced the 2023/24 season-average U.S. farm price of wheat by $0.10 lower to $7.20 per bushel. The global wheat outlook for 2023/24 is for larger end...

Martin Luther King Jr. Holiday

Please note that Monday, 15 January is a U.S. federal holiday in honor of Martin Luther King, Jr. As a result, both the markets and World Perspectives, Inc...

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity marke...

Ag Policy Positions Before the Iowa Caucus

The Iowa Caucus for the Republican primary is Monday 15 January. Following is a look at the process, structure, and the candidates’ ag platforms.&nbs...

Oilseed Highlights: WASDE Adds to an Already Bearish Trend

The Market Today broke a record. For the first time in nine years, soybean futures did not rise on the release of the January WASDE report. With the except...

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.47/bushel, down $0.1075 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $5.96/bushel, down $0.0775 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24...

Market Commentary: Pre-WASDE Stability with Bearish Intent

The market is steady but leaning bearish ahead of tomorrow’s USDA January WASDE report. The agency will put its final touches on numbers for 2023 and...

Livestock Roundup: Cattle Outlook

Cold and snow is impacting cattle markets this week; slowing feedlot placements and moving heavier cattle to pasture rather than the feedlot. Feeders&rsquo...

Greens Whiff; State Aid Impacts

Greens Whiff Farmers in Europe are upset with their policymakers. The French farmers union has just announced it backs the protests being made by German fa...

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.5775/bushel, down $0.0175 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $6.0375/bushel, down $0.07 from yesterday's close.&...

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for December 29, 2023 – January 4, 2024. Wheat:  Net sales of 128,100 metric tons (MT) for 2023/2024 were down 3 perc...

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.595/bushel, up $0.0025 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $6.1075/bushel, up $0.0075 from yesterday's close.&nbs...

Quackery Has its Limits; Cockroach Amnesia; Identity Budgeting

Quackery Has its Limits  The USMCA panel opining on the Mexican ban on GMO corn has decided it will not accept comments from Canadian NGO groups wanti...

Bread Baskets

Import dependence for food rankles most politicians since they have persistently fed a nationalistic feedback loop on the issue to their constituents. No o...

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 1–5 January 2024 Most of Russia’s regions have been celebrating the New Year holidays and the the Russian Orthodox Chris...

Chips War; Domino Effect

Chips War China complained that Washington’s export restrictions on semiconductors and on Chinese telecommunications companies violate WTO principles...

Trade Deficit Down, Job Creation Up: A Look Under the Hood

Two recent economic reports have generated attention: the November balance of payments trade deficit and the December payroll report. There are tea leaves...

Eyes Open on India

USDA is leading a trade mission to India, noting that it is 1.4 billion people or 18 percent of the global population but accounts for less than one percen...

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.5925/bushel, up $0.0425 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $6.1/bushel, up $0.1375 from yesterday's close. ...

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis

Regional Updates MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA/AFRICA – MEA REGION Qatar has contributed $20 million to the “Grain from Ukraine”...

Market Commentary: No Rest for the Bullish

The CBOT followed its bearish drumbeat lower with corn, wheat, soybeans, and soymeal all logging steep declines for the day. Corn and Paris wheat futures s...

Bright Belgian Light; SSA Riddle

Bright Belgian Light According to Euractiv, Belgian Federal Minister David Clarinval said he would emphasize food sovereignty as he assumes the Presidency...

Grain Substitution

Grain producers saw the value of their output fall in 2023 and the best they can hope for in 2024 is to stem the bleeding. Meanwhile, Europeans are frustra...

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.55/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $5.9625/bushel, down $0.1975 from yesterday's close.&...

European Market Analysis

Regional News  Europe has faced heavy rains and dramatic storms in recent weeks that are causing profound concerns for winter crops. While the rain ha...

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Policy and Macroeconomic Update There is discomfort among farmers in the Argentine countryside. The newly inaugurated Milei administration promised during...

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for December 22-28, 2023   Wheat:  Net sales of 131,600 metric tons (MT) for 2023/2024 were down 52 percent from...

Oilseed Highlights: Third Weekly Loss to Six Month Low

The Market This was the third week in a row for March soybeans taking a loss and prices are down at six-month lows. Ample rains in central Brazil are bring...

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity marke...

Brazil Politics and Generic Pesticides

Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva signed into law a new pesticide registration statute that will benefit the approval of generic pesticides. Th...

PepsiCo, Carrefour and GI’s; ChatGPT Goes Harvard

PepsiCo, Carrefour and GI’s A major story this week is major French retailer Carrefour saying it is dropping PepsiCo products because its prices are...

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.6075/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $6.16/bushel, up $0.025 from yesterday's close.&nbs...

Market Commentary: And the Downward Beat Goes On

There was higher volume in SRW, HRW and lean hogs but overall volumes remained modest, and the export wire is quiet. The latter perhaps influenced by a str...

Russian Agriculture Enigma; Imbalanced Analysis

Russian Agriculture Enigma Among the many elections this year is Russia’s during 15-17 March. Vladimir Putin will be overwhelmingly elected. He has b...

Livestock Roundup: Hog and Pork Restructing in China

China is in its holiday season; first was the Winter Solstice, the shortest day of the year, on 22 December. Next is the Lunar New Year which begins on 10...

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.665/bushel, up $0.0125 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $6.135/bushel, up $0.1325 from yesterday's close. ...

2023: A Look Back in Humor

Note, the following is an attempt to summarize 2023’s major developments in ag markets and U.S. and world politics while injecting humor. Obviously,...

Market Commentary: Greenback Pressures Wheat; Crude Rally Lifts Corn, Soybeans

The CBOT saw pressure for the second straight day with a four-day rebound in the U.S. dollar working against grain values. While the rising greenback press...

Trade is Dead, So is Ag; Siloed America

Trade is Dead, So is Ag The U.S. agricultural trade balance has reversed, going from positive to negative. Industry leaders are arguing that the solution i...

Geopolitical Shocks in 2024

Most reviews of the year 2023 characterize the period as tumultuous, largely due to the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East, coups in Africa driven by gold...

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.6525/bushel, up $0.015 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $6.0025/bushel, down $0.065 from yesterday's close.&nb...

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 25–29 December 2023 As of late December, the Russian Ministry of Agriculture forecasts grain production at 142 MMT. A week ago...

Market Commentary: 2024 Trending Bearish Grains, Optimistic for Cattle

The CBOT started the holiday-shortened trading week with an old fashion hard open on Tuesday morning with no overnight trade to guide initial investment. T...

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.6375/bushel, down $0.075 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $6.0675/bushel, down $0.2125 from yesterday's close...

2024 Meat Forecast

There are several pundits predicting this is the year that evidences the rise in consumption of plant-based proteins and the end of meat from animals. Thes...

Happy New Year – The Election Cycle has Started

It is 2024, and the upcoming Presidential and Congressional elections will start to cast a shadow over policy debates and timelines in Washington. For cont...

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional

Regional Updates MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA/AFRICA – MEA REGION BRICS membership increased on 1 January 2024 to include Egypt, Iran, Saud...

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for December 15-21, 2023. Wheat:  Net sales of 276,400 metric tons (MT) for 2023/2024 were down 14 percent from the previou...

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.7125/bushel, down $0.03 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $6.28/bushel, down $0.035 from yesterday's close.&nbs...

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity marke...

Happy New Year from WPI!

The WPI team extends our best wishes to you and your families for a healthy and happy New Year. Thank you for your faithful readership, we are looking forw...

Market Commentary: CBOT Posts Bearish Day to End Bearish Year

The CBOT was mostly lower to close the 2023 calendar year, a fitting end to a year that saw deeply bearish price action across the grain markets. Since the...

Market Commentary: Wheat Escapes Doldrums; Corn, Soy Complex Drift Lower

Except for wheat, the CBOT and CME’s major ag markets were uniformly lower in a relatively unexciting trading session Thursday. Wheat managed to esca...

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.7425/bushel, down $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $6.315/bushel, up $0.085 from yesterday's close.&nb...

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.765/bushel, down $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $6.23/bushel, down $0.1325 from yesterday's close.&n...

Market Commentary: Mixed with Better Volume and Profit-taking

Wheat had a modest reversal from yesterday’s jump higher on profit-taking, soybeans and feeder cattle continued adding value, while soyoil and pigs c...

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 18–22 December 2023 As of mid-December, the Russian Statistics Agency reports 142.6 MMT of grains harvested in standard weight...

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.8025/bushel, up $0.0725 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $6.3625/bushel, up $0.2 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 So...

Market Commentary: Post Holiday Flush

Traders must have gotten some cash in their Christmas stockings because there was a slight buying mood in the market today. Except for bean oil and pork, m...

Cattle on Feed

U.S. Cattle on Feed was up 3 percent from year ago on Dec 1 to total 12.0 million head in feedlots with capacity of 1,000 or more head. Placements in feedl...

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.73/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $6.1625/bushel, up $0.0375 from yesterday's close. ...

Market Commentary: Slow Day but Notable Reports for Next Week

Trading volumes today were down 40-50 percent in some commodities, but the bottom line was some exiting and losses from the week before an extended holiday...

Cattle on Feed Report: Continued Pressure on Cattle Prices

It was a big day for livestock market reports from USDA with the monthly Cattle on Feed report and the quarterly Hogs and Pigs report, both at the closing...

Old President, Old Allegiances

President Biden sided with the steel workers union and will put Nippon Steel’s purchase of US Steel through the “serious scrutiny” of the...

Oilseed Highlights: Improving Weather and Challenging Logistics

The Market  Oilseed markets have seen more pressure than support this week due to improved weather forecasts for Brazil and increasingly challenging g...

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for December 8-14, 2023. Wheat:  Net sales of 322,700 metric tons (MT) for 2023/2024 were down 78 percent from the previous...

Market Commentary: Haunted by Transport Hurdles

As expected, commodity futures traded on generally lighter volumes and will continue that way until a new year of trading starts in January. Corn, wheat, a...

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.725/bushel, up $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $6.125/bushel, up $0.025 from yesterday's close. ...

Livestock Roundup: Cattle on Feed, Hogs and Pigs Preview

USDA will release its Cattle on Feed report tomorrow, along with the December quarterly Hogs and Pigs report.   The cattle markets are anticipati...

Bitter Problem; Blatant Nationalism

Bitter Problem The U.S. sugar program is an protectionist abomination emanating from a political deal in the 1981 farm bill. Unlike other crops that are su...

232 Confusion; Green Border Measures

232 Confusion WTO dispute settlement rulings are arcane, highly legalistic, but sometimes contradictory to the layman’s eye. The latest case is a rul...

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 11–15 December 2023 Russian agriculture has had a difficult year with global sanctions in place creating problems with inputs...

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.7275/bushel, down $0.0425 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $6.2275/bushel, up $0.0575 from yesterday's close.&...

Ag Exports Not the Panacea

According to the FAO agricultural trade index, Africa has experienced the relatively largest jump in the past decade, followed by North and South America...

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional

Regional Updates MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA/AFRICA – MEA REGION Food price inflation rates, according to the World Bank, show Lebanon at...

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.77/bushel, down $0.06 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $6.17/bushel, down $0.1225 from yesterday's close. ...

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Policy Updates Argentina’s new government led by Javier Milei has begun and several new measures have been implemented. Despite being unpopular and r...

European Market Analysis

Regional News  In its latest crop monitoring bulletin, the EU Commission’s MARS division noted few to no negative impacts on winter crops from t...

Not Walking the Talk; Music Protectionism; North-South Divide

Not Walking the Talk The European Environmental Agency has assessed the EU’s commitments and concludes that the goal of reducing emissions 55 percent...

Food Sovereignty Flipped

The government of Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador and now the social justice warrior class in the U.S. are framing the impendin...

Market Commentary: Corn, Soy Complex Slide Sideways; Wheat, Cattle Extend Rallies

Trade at the CBOT was mostly a low-volume affair heading into the weekend and there was a growing sense that, except for wheat and cattle, most of the week...

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity marke...

Policy Shorts

Jones Act: The EU is correctly arguing that the Jones Act, an American law restricting intra-U.S. shipping be restricted to domestically built and operated...

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.83/bushel, up $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $6.2925/bushel, up $0.135 from yesterday's close. ...

Oilseed Highlights: Lumbering Sideways But Above 13

The Market The January soybean contract managed to end the week higher after decent declines but settling at 1315.75/bushel still leaves it below the 100-d...

Fed Crosses Finish Line

The Federal Reserve held interest rates steady on Thursday, indicating that it considers it has crossed the finish line in its effort to rein in inflation...

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for December 1-7, 2023 Wheat:  Net sales of 1,490,500 metric tons (MT) for 2023/2024--a marketing-year high--were up notice...

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.7925/bushel, down $0.0025 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $6.1575/bushel, up $0.105 from yesterday's close.&n...

Market Commentary: Fed Continues to Fuel Recovery

Today’s open followed last night’s close with corn, soybeans, and wheat all higher. The market subsequently dipped but only corn and soyoil fai...

EU Reveals Export Future; Swiss Choose Expensive Food

EU Reveals Export Future The fundamental debate in Geneva between agricultural exporting countries and developing countries is domestic support versus mark...

Livestock Roundup: Beef Demand

According to Kansas State University’s Meat Demand Monitor, the willingness to pay for meat in November versus October is down among five items monit...

Market Commentary: Policy Front and Center for Commodity Trade

Macroeconomic and commodity market policy factors were front and center for the CBOT’s trade on Wednesday, following the devaluation of the Argentine...

Wishful Thinking on China Retaliation; Wishful Thinking on NGT’s

Wishful Thinking on China Retaliation The U.S. House Select Committee on the Strategic Competition Between the United States and the Chinese Communist has...

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.795/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $6.0525/bushel, down $0.2025 from yesterday's close...

Changes in the Wheat Market

Decades ago, when wheat was king, WPI had many analysts keenly interested in wheat. Since then, corn became king and now soybeans jockey for top honors. Wh...

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 4–8 December 2023 As of 8 December, the Russian government reports the wheat crop at 95 MMT in bunker weight versus 105.6 MMT...

Market Commentary: Crude Oil Pulls Soy Complex Lower; Wheat Rises on Growing Demand

The CBOT was mixed on Tuesday with the three legs of the soy crush all trading lower amid technical selling and a steep selloff in crude oil values. In con...

Aggies See China Pain; SUR Revival; Meat and Oil

Aggies See China Pain China has been the top market for U.S. agriculture since 2020 and its share in some products is overwhelming. For this reason, a coal...

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.8525/bushel, up $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $6.255/bushel, up $0.16 from yesterday's close. ...

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional

Regional Updates MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA/AFRICA – MEA REGION Egypt’s rate of inflation dropped a little in November to 34.6 perc...

Market Commentary: Trend Reversals to Start the Week

The CBOT’s Monday trade saw two notable reversals from the recent week’s trends. The first was the strength in soybean futures, which erased al...

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.815/bushel, down $0.04 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $6.095/bushel, down $0.2225 from yesterday's close.&nb...

GI’s for EV’s; Policy Roundup

GI’s for EV’s Europe’s leaders’ real concern when meeting with their Chinese counterparts last week was not the growing trade defic...

India’s Rice Squeeze

The New Delhi playbook for staple crops is to offer farmers a generous Minimum Support Price (MSP), donate the extra output to the nation’s poor, and...

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Argentina’s Policy and Macroeconomic Situation  Argentina’s trading last week was shortened due to a national holiday on Friday. At the sa...

Farm Financials Going into 2024

USDA’s 30 November farm income forecast shows net farm income at $151.1 billion for CY 2023, a decrease of $31.8 billion, or 17.4 percent, relative t...

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.855/bushel, down $0.025 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $6.3175/bushel, down $0.105 from yesterday's close.&n...

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity marke...

Looking at the GDP Revision

Back in October, the initial, or advanced, Q3 GDP report showed the U.S. economy grew 4.9 percent; and on 29 November the GDP estimate was revised up to 5...

Oilseed Highlights: Week Grew Increasingly Darker

South American weather improvement hung over the market all week, and though December's WASDE report reflected a dent imposed on Brazil's soybean crop by d...

Political Risk to Agribusiness

The Biden Administration and others have already shown their animosity toward Big Ag. Heading into 2024 the hate may grow larger. The President’s ree...

Market Commentary: Fewer Bears Ahead of WASDE

Confidence in short positions was slightly challenged today as traders positioned ahead of tomorrow’s USDA December WASDE. January soybeans jumped ba...

Livestock Roundup: China Hog and Pork Situation

CME cattle futures have grabbed the attention in the U.S., but in China, hog futures are the focus. January hog futures on the Dalian exchange are at a new...

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.88/bushel, up $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $6.4225/bushel, up $0.0875 from yesterday's close. ...

Hobbling AI; Chinese Spin; F2F Setback

Hobbling AI The EU has neared agreement on doing what it does best, regulating. This time its target is artificial intelligence. France and Germany were re...

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for November 24-30, 2023. Wheat:  Net sales of 356,400 metric tons (MT) for 2023/2024 were down 43 percent from the previou...

NGT Optimism; New Old Threat to Trade

NGT Optimism EU Parliament rapporteur for the Commission’s proposed new policy on new genomic techniques (NGT’s) is Jessica Polfjärd and s...

Smashing Success

Global demand for avocados has been growing at 7 percent per year. Mexico produces 30 percent of the world’s avocados but supplies 45 percent of thos...

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.8425/bushel, down $0.0625 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $6.335/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close.&n...

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 27 November–1 December 2023 Russian markets finally broke the bear which has been present almost since the beginning of the ne...

Dissecting Volatile Cattle Futures

As Matt Herrington has been covering, Live cattle and feeder cattle futures have been volatile since the day after Thanksgiving – but trending mostly...

EU-Mercosur Deal Smooshed

The multi-year effort to negotiate a trade agreement between the EU and Mercosur appears to have run into too many hurdles on both sides of the Atlantic. F...

Outproducing the Disease

Outbreaks of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (H5N1) have been trending higher in recent years. The World Health Organization describes the disease as &ld...

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.905/bushel, up $0.05 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $6.3125/bushel, up $0.1075 from yesterday's close. ...

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional

Regional Updates MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA/AFRICA – MEA REGION Red Sea and Arabian Sea shipments in transit are being attacked by forces...

Decoupling or Redirected; Take, Don’t Give

Decoupling or Redirected There is much academic debate over whether U.S.- China trade has been decoupled, or merely redirected with Chinese goods diverted...

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.855/bushel, up $0.0075 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $6.205/bushel, up $0.1775 from yesterday's close. ...

A Look at Sustainable Aviation Fuel

As the 28th United Nations climate summit (COP28) convenes in Dubai, sustainability and climate issues are the theme of the week, making it timely to look...

European Market Analysis

Regional News  On 1 December, Bulgaria lifted its import ban on four agricultural products (wheat, corn sunflower seed, and rapeseed) from Ukraine.&nb...

Mercosur Regional Analysis

Wheat Argentina’s wheat harvest keeps moving at high speed and advanced 10 percent last week, which put the total harvest above 35 percent of the are...

CFTC COT Report Analysis

The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity marke...

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.8475/bushel, up $0.02 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $6.0275/bushel, up $0.0475 from yesterday's close. ...

Policy Quick Hits

Pork Plant Line Speeds USDA extended the New Swine Inspection System (NSIS) faster line speed trial period for 90 days; the program was scheduled to expire...

Oilseed Highlights: Weather Bearish; Crush Crushes It

The Market Improved weather in Brazil took its toll on soybeans this week, taking Chicago prices down 5.75 cents to $13.25/bushel for the January contract...

Tautological Rabbit Hole; Buy Small and Stay Home

Tautological Rabbit Hole The COP28 meeting in Dubai came to an agreement on a loss and damage fund whereby rich countries help poor countries weather the a...

Market Commentary: Exports versus Weather and Crude Oil

It was a mixed day for futures trading with corn and wheat rebounding from early week contract lows but the soy complex sliding lower on a weak petroleum m...

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.8275/bushel, up $0.07 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $5.98/bushel, up $0.1225 from yesterday's close. ...

Export Sales

Export Sales and Shipments for November 17-23, 2023. Wheat:  Net sales of 622,800 metric tons (MT) for 2023/2024 were up noticeably from the previous...

Atlantic Risks; Mixed Reviews of Asks; Rural Anarchists

Atlantic Risks EU Trade Commissioner Valdis Dombrovkis is a serious and competent politician. He is now signaling that reaching a conceptual deal with the...

Summary of Futures

Mar 24 Corn closed at $4.7575/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $5.8575/bushel, up $0.1375 from yesterday's close.&nb...

Black Sea Regional Analysis

Russian Grain Markets: 20–24 November 2023  Russian markets remained quite volatile, however, the Asian area finally stabilized because Kazakhst...

Small Refinery Exemptions Under the RFS Back in the Spotlight

A recurring issue since 2016 under the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) has been EPA’s administration of the small refinery exemption (SRE) program. A c...

Green and Brown Collide

Last week’s win in the Netherlands by Gert Wilders was a stunning refutation of the Green Deal. The policy’s former protagonist in the EU Commi...

Summary of Futures

Dec 23 Corn closed at $4.515/bushel, down $0.04 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $5.72/bushel, up $0.11 from yesterday's close.  J...

Suppliers Look at China

China has just over 18 percent of the world’s population, but its food imports and consumption share of world food supplies varies greatly. Soybeans...

Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional

Regional Updates MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA/AFRICA – MEA REGION Egypt’s Wadi Poultry, a division of Wadi Group, has seen the purcha...

Market Commentary: New Contract Lows to Start the Week

Ag futures were almost uniformly red to start the week with wheat, corn, and the livestock markets extending Friday’s weakness and, in many cases, ca...

Rebalancing Global Meat; Unintended Water Consequences

Rebalancing Global Meat The UN’s Food and Agriculture Organization will present a plan at next week’s COP28 meeting in Dubai that calls for ric...

Brazil’s Corn at Greater Risk than Soybeans

Analysts have noted the analog years for adverse El Niño impacts in Brazil as 2015/16 and 2020/21. As in those years, Brazil has had limited moistur...

Summary of Futures

Dec 23 Corn closed at $4.555/bushel, down $0.0775 from yesterday's close.  Mar 24 Wheat closed at $5.61/bushel, down $0.1625 from yesterday's close.&n...

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