Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.175/bushel, up $0.08 from yesterday's close. Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.4075/bushel, up $0.04 from yesterday's close. N...
Articles
Market Commentary: Trade Deals, Emerging Dryness Spark CBOT Short Covering
Traders seemed content to take short risk off the table heading into the weekend with USDA’s June Acreage and Grain Stocks reports due out Monday. Fu...
Trade Negotiation Update; Miscellaneous
Trade Negotiation Update There were no shortages of eye-opening news reports this week and the notable one on trade late today was President Trump’s...
Input Costs Forecast to Rise, Led by Fertilizer
After rising sharply in 2022, input costs remain stubbornly high yet today. At the same time, the prices received for major crops like corn, soybeans and w...
WPI Transportation Report
Dry Bulk Markets Dy bulk markets were mixed this week with the Capesize sector sliding lower as geopolitical uncertainty in the Middle East pushed bu...
Summary of Futures
Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.095/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close. Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.3675/bushel, down $0.0775 from yesterday's close...
Market Commentary: More Declines But They Slowed
The bleeding didn’t stop, but it slowed down today. Although corn and soybeans were up in the overnight and opened that way this morning, it didn&rsq...
Livestock Roundup: Hogs and Pigs Report
USDA released its quarterly Hogs and Pigs report today. The numbers were in line with pre-report expectations. The inventory of all hogs and pigs on 1 June...
Oilseed Highlights: Good Weather, Seasonal Factors Imply Short Profit Opportunities
The Market Oilseed markets have certainly seen no lack of volatility over the past several weeks, with the EPA’s surprise, bullish Renewable Vo...
Market Commentary: Good Weather is Bad for Bulls
The CBOT was sharply lower at mid-week with favorable weather for the U.S. 2025 spring crops and weaker global grain markets exacting a heavy toll. Notable...
Ignoring Margins; Trump Tariff Win
Ignoring Margins The U.S. Senate’s Subcommittee on Antitrust, Competition Policy, and Consumer Rights held a hearing yesterday on, Reducing Regulator...
Summary of Futures
Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.1025/bushel, down $0.06 from yesterday's close. Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.445/bushel, down $0.075 from yesterday's close.&nb...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 16 – 20 June 2025 Grain markets plummeted to seasonally low price levels which are usually established at the beginning of the...
Market Commentary: Grains, Oil Fall on Risk-off Trade after Middle East Ceasefire
The biggest drive of the CBOT’s Tuesday trade had little to do with grain markets themselves and, rather, was primarily focused on risk and positioni...
Trade Agreements Challenged; No Non-reciprocals; Miniature Meat Plant
Trade Agreements Challenged The 9 July deadline for countries to reach individual trade agreements with the U.S. is fast approaching and while the Trump Ad...
Summary of Futures
Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.1625/bushel, down $0.03 from yesterday's close. Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.52/bushel, down $0.175 from yesterday's close.&nbs...
Hogs and Pigs Report Preview
USDA will release its quarterly Hogs and Pigs report tomorrow. The pre-report estimate is as follows: The pigs per litter for March through May is forecas...
Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis
Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region Jordan’s wheat reserves are reportedly at 10 month consumption with barley supply at...
CFTC COT Report Analysis
The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity marke...
Market Commentary: Weather Not War Tanks the Market
Ags were mostly bearish on weather and an expected improving Crop Progress report, though the latter did not turn out that way. Equities opened partly in t...
Summary of Futures
Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.1925/bushel, down $0.095 from yesterday's close. Sep 25 Wheat closed at $5.695/bushel, down $0.14 from yesterday's close.&nb...
Mercosur Regional Analysis
Wheat Argentina’s wheat planting advanced by 21.8 percentage points last week and now covers 60.3 percent of the projected 6.7 Mha for the 2025...
Dairy Herd Grows to Four Year High
Last Friday, the May dairy production totals were released, and USDA says milk production went up again in May. Production nationwide rose 1.6 percent, and...
European Market Analysis
Regional News The weather patterns remain unfavorable for EU and UK summer crop development with above-average temperatures forecast for the next 15...
Cattle on Feed - June 2025
U.S. Cattle on Feed totaled 11.4 million head on June 1, 2025. This was down 1 percent from June 1, 2024. Placements in feedlots during May totaled 1...
Market Commentary: A Day and a Week of Surprises
There isn’t always a common theme across markets. Sometimes a session starts amid diverse influences. Sometimes, shorts or longs will dominate an ope...
Livestock Roundup: Cattle on Feed
USDA’s monthly cattle on feed report was released today. Total cattle on feed amounted to 11.4 million head, 99 percent of last year. &n...
Summary of Futures
Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.2875/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close. Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.6775/bushel, down $0.065 from yesterday's close...
Cow-Calf Profitability Improves, Indicates Herd Rebuilding
Southern Plains cow-calf producers’ margin outlook continues to improve despite the recent pullback in feeder cattle prices. Returns on an inflation-...
WPI Transportation Report
Dry Bulk Markets Dry bulk markets were mixed this week with Capesize vessel rates initially pushing higher, but then failing on reduced coal, iron ore, and...
Summary of Futures
Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.3275/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close. Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.7375/bushel, down $0.005 from yesterday's close...
Market Commentary: Wheat and War Rattle Ahead of Holiday
Corn and soybeans closed lower overnight and danced that way this morning but once again could not resist the pull of wheat higher. The wheat market double...
Livestock Roundup: Big Cattle on Feed Report on Friday
USDA’s monthly cattle on feed report will be released tomorrow. Analysts’ pre-report consensus estimates are for the total inventory on f...
Summary of Futures
Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.335/bushel, up $0.02 from yesterday's close. Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.7425/bushel, up $0.2525 from yesterday's close. ...
U.S. Juneteenth Holiday
The CBOT/CME markets and our offices will be closed tomorrow, Thursday, 19 June in observance of the U.S. Juneteenth holiday. Please note that the next Ag...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 9 – 13 June 2025 The grains market saw no major changes especially with two days of holidays when the country celebrated Russi...
Market Commentary: Grain Consolidation Begins while Cattle Correction Continues
With the notable exception of soyoil, the CBOT was mostly higher on Tuesday with funds covering shorts ahead of the midweek holiday amid a few bullish head...
One Big Beautiful Bill Unveiled in the Senate
The Senate Finance Committee and its chairman Senator Mike Crapo (R-Idaho) have unveiled their tax bill as part of budget reconciliation to extend the 2017...
Summary of Futures
Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.315/bushel, down $0.0325 from yesterday's close. Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.49/bushel, up $0.125 from yesterday's close. ...
G7 Disappointments; Deregulation and Consolidation
G7 Disappointments The Israeli-Iran war stole the thunder of the G7 meeting in Canada and while President Trump said ahead of the conference that he hoped...
Middle East, Mediterranean, and Africa Regional Analysis
Mediterranean/Middle East/North Africa/Africa – MEA Region Turkish officials announced that the cost of vessels passing through the Bosphorus/Dardane...
AP Quant: Livestock Industry Margins
Beef packer margins are on a one-way trip to a very unpleasant place and despite a brief rebound last week, remain absolutely dismal. Packer margins improv...
Market Commentary: Soyoil Locks Limit Up Again; Wheat, Corn Fall; New Highs for Hogs
Soyoil remained the star of the CBOT on Monday and locked limit-up for the second day following the surprisingly bullish EPA RVO mandates released Friday...
Summary of Futures
Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.3475/bushel, down $0.0975 from yesterday's close. Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.365/bushel, down $0.0725 from yesterday's close...
Proposed RVOs: Record Levels of Biomass Based Diesel
On Friday, the EPA announced a proposed rule to establish required Renewable Fuel Standard volumes obligations, known as the required volume obligations (R...
Selective Deportation; G-7 Outcomes; U.S. Has the Meat
Selective Deportation The New York Times credited USDA Secretary Brooke Rolins with persuading President Trump to leave undocumented workers in agriculture...
Mercosur Regional Analysis
Corn Argentina’s corn harvest continues to advance slowly, with a weekly gain of less than 3 percent bringing nationwide progress to nearly 47 percen...
European Market Analysis
Regional News Global grain and oilseed markets are reacting to several shocks that occurred last week, most notably the EPA’s surprise bullish...
CFTC COT Report Analysis
Friday’s CFTC report showed managed money traders became slightly more bullish the major ag market last week, due primarily to strong buying in the l...
WASDE Soybeans – June 2025
USDA’s outlook for 2025/26 U.S. soybeans is lower ending stocks compared with 2024/25. U.S. soybean crush for 2025/26 is projected at 2.49 billion bu...
WASDE Corn – June 2025
USDA’s outlook for 2025/26 U.S. corn is for record supplies to create higher ending stocks. The corn crop is projected at 15.8 billion bushels, up 6...
WASDE Wheat – June 2025
USDA’s outlook for 2025/26 U.S. wheat is for yields to average 51.6 bushels per acre, which is up 0.4 bushels from last year. Hard Red Winter and Whi...
Summary of Futures
Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.445/bushel, up $0.06 from yesterday's close. Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.4375/bushel, up $0.1725 from yesterday's close. ...
Market Commentary: RFS Luck on Friday the 13th
Soybeans and soyoil were already spiking due to Israel’s attack on Iran and the bolt higher in the petroleum market and then the Trump Administration...
Immigration and Trade: Update on the Chaos
After ICE raids of businesses – with more to come according to Tom Homan – President Trump admitted that his strict immigration policies are ne...
Beef and Cattle Prices to Remain Strong through 2025 and 2026
The biggest question in the cattle and beef markets lately has been “when does the rally stop?” after beef values and fed and feeder cattle pri...
AP Quant: WASDE Wheat
WPI offers the following PDF of key supply and demand tables and charts relating to the USDA’s latest WASDE report. This is not an all-inclusive comp...
AP Quant: WASDE Corn
WPI offers the following PDF of key supply and demand tables and charts relating to the USDA’s latest WASDE report. This is not an all-inclusive comp...
AP Quant: WASDE Soybeans
WPI offers the following PDF of key supply and demand tables and charts relating to the USDA’s latest WASDE report. This is not an all-inclusive comp...
WPI Transportation Report
Dry Bulk Ocean Freight Dry bulk freight markets saw strength emerge this week with the Capesize sector rallying in early trade, but giving up some of...
Export Sales
Export Sales and Shipments for May 30-June 5, 2025 Wheat: Net sales of 388,900 metric tons (MT) for the 2025/2026 marketing year, which began June 1. Expor...
Market Commentary: Expectations Mostly Met
There were no shocks in today’s June USDA WASDE report, just tweaks that were generally within expectations. Corn, soybeans, soymeal, wheat, and catt...
Summary of Futures
Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.385/bushel, up $0.015 from yesterday's close. Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.265/bushel, down $0.0775 from yesterday's close.&nbs...
Livestock Roundup: WASDE
USDA released its June WASDE report today. The total U.S. red meat and poultry production forecast for 2025 is lowered from last month. Beef production is...
Summary of Futures
Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.37/bushel, down $0.0175 from yesterday's close. Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.3425/bushel, down $0.0025 from yesterday's close.&...
Market Commentary: Grains Retreat ahead of WASDE; Cattle and Beef Prices Running Red-Hot
Corn, wheat, and soybeans all traded higher overnight on growing optimism over the U.S.-China trade negotiations, though markets could not hold those gains...
Outclassed; Unifying Food Safety; Inflation’s Real Issue
Outclassed In a nearly five-hour hearing before the U.S. House Agriculture Committee, USDA Secretary Brooke Rollins proved again that she is one of the mos...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 2 – 6 June 2025 The grain market continued the transition from old crop to new crop meaning that the bearish trend is now acro...
Market Commentary: Turnaround Tuesday for Corn; Wheat Selling Continues; Cattle Wobble on ICE Rumors
The overnight CBOT trade showed corn pushing lower while the soy complex traded modestly higher on hopes for positive outcomes from the U.S.-China trade me...
Calm Amidst Upheaval; Unilateral Impacts; Ethanol’s Rise
Calm Amidst Upheaval Data or surveys about attitudes or opinions are said to be “soft” data since they are emotive based and less reliable. Sof...
New Meat Giant Created in Brazil; Most of Revenue from U.S.
While the MAHA report from Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. still cites consolidation in the meat packing sector, Brazil’s...
Summary of Futures
Jul 25 Corn closed at $4.3875/bushel, up $0.0525 from yesterday's close. Jul 25 Wheat closed at $5.345/bushel, down $0.075 from yesterday's close.&nb...