Dec 21 Corn closed at $5.5175/bushel, up $0.065 from yesterday's close.  Dec 21 Wheat closed at $7.255/bushel, down $0.0675 from yesterday's close.&nb...

Livestock Live Hog and Broiler Prices Again Head in Opposite Directions Domestic hog prices continued to remain under pressure last week from excess market...

Russian Grain Markets: 16-20 August 2021 Prices in the domestic Russian grain market grew significantly in all regions of the European part of Russia (exce...

We regret that due to an unexpected death in the family, there will not be any Technical Perspectives reports for the remainder of this week.  Thank y...

Stronger crude oil futures, fresh cash market buying, and short covering/long speculative buying all combined to lift the CBOT on Tuesday. The soy complex...

To Trade or Not to Trade Trade was already a hot political button before the pandemic heightened by large trade imbalances with China, but it became even h...

Dec 21 Corn closed at $5.4525/bushel, up $0.0975 from yesterday's close.  Dec 21 Wheat closed at $7.3225/bushel, down $0.0125 from yesterday's close.&...

In the 2008 farm bill, USDA was directed to promulgate regulations that prohibit packers, and livestock and poultry contractors from engaging in undue pref...

The paradigm taught in the 1970’s and 1980’s was that wheat consumption was replacing rice consumption as the former commodity became more avai...

Regional Updates MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA  Syria’s government has decided to block the import of many products in order to conserv...

July total red meat and poultry stocks were up 1.3 percent from June but down 13 percent from July 2020. Five-year lows in pork and poultry meat stocks hav...

GOOD MORNING, Prices opened higher across the board on crop progress numbers.  Markets may be oversold and due for a bounce.   Ratings were...

SPREADS Dec crush trades firm at 1.12c/bu with oilshare at 45.58%.  Bean spreads continue to weaken, with Nov 21/Nov 22 trading at an 8 1/2 month low...

The CBOT started the week higher with some bargain hunting and short covering after last week’s steep selloff. Bulls were unable to hold onto most of...

U.S. biofuel makers are disappointed that U.S. EPA is not more aggressively pushing fuel blending, but their plight is consistent with the pandemic related...

The EPA will be sending its 2022, and never finalized 2021, proposed required volume obligations (RVO) under the renewable fuel standard to the Office of M...

Who Not When The Biden Administration has received encouragement from Capitol Hill and agriculture groups to nominate a U.S. agricultural trade negotiator...

THE OPEN Nov beans:  8 higher Dec meal:  steady Dec soyoil:  70 pts higher Dec corn:  1 higher Dec wheat:  4 higher The markets op...

Dec 21 Corn closed at $5.355/bushel, down $0.015 from yesterday's close.  Dec 21 Wheat closed at $7.335/bushel, up $0.0525 from yesterday's close.&nbs...

Corn According to the Buenos Aires Grain Exchange, Argentina’s corn harvest reached 98.5 percent with a total collected volume of 49.5 MMT. This mean...

Regional News  Kazakhstan’s ban on feedstuffs including oats, rye and hay begins today, as announced in the 12 August 2021 order by the deputy M...

GOOD MORNING, Prices were higher overnight after dropping to new trading range lows for soyoil due to an unexpected wire service report that the EPA would...

SPREADS  Dec crush trades at 1.09c while oilshare trades to new lows at 44.72%.  Sep/Dec corn firms to 2 from 1 1/4c.  Dec/March corn carry...

USDA reports U.S. Cattle on Feed as 11.1 million head on August 1, 2021. This is is down 2 percent from a year ago.  Placements in feedlots durin...

Dec 21 Corn closed at $5.37/bushel, down $0.1375 from yesterday's close.  Dec 21 Wheat closed at $7.2825/bushel, down $0.145 from yesterday's close.&n...

Traders who weren’t sellers on Thursday quickly jumped on the bandwagon Friday. The CBOT opened lower overnight but mostly consolidated as traders tr...

Analysts are noting that Afghanistan is not the same country today that it was when the Taliban last ruled the nation during 1996 – 2001. Back then t...

The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity marke...

USDA released its Cattle on Feed report today, which was mostly in line with expectations. The inventory of cattle in feedlots with a capacity of 1,000 hea...

Meatless Hurdles Efforts to guilt people into switching from meat to meat substitutes may have more hurdles than have been commonly understood. Consumer fo...

SPREADS Dec crush trades to 1.14c with oilshare firmer at 46.23%.  The Sep/Dec corn spread found some firming and buying interest at the 5c carry leve...

GOOD MORNING, Prices worked both sides of unchanged in consolidation mode in the PM session.  This week's lower performance was courtesy of weaker out...

Chicago was pressured lower today by three key factors:  Badly needed rain dropping this weekend.  Crop tour reports of better yields. ...

Tomorrow, USDA will release its monthly Cattle on Feed report. Analysts’ pre-report estimates peg the total number of cattle on feed as of 1 August a...

Dec 21 Corn closed at $5.5075/bushel, down $0.1425 from yesterday's close.  Sep 21 Wheat closed at $7.275/bushel, down $0.0975 from yesterday's close...

Commodities Fuel Bogeyman In the most recent Hill-HarrisX poll of American public opinion, the top selected issue of current concern is inflation. Inequali...

THE OPEN Nov beans:  18 lower Dec meal:  4.00 lower Dec soyoil:  96 pts lower Dec corn:  9 lower Dec wheat:  12 lower The markets...

Soy Export Sales, Large Soybean Sales to China and Elsewhere The last two weeks have seen very large sales of U.S. soybeans to China and other destinations...

Data for the period August 6-12, 2021. Wheat:  Net sales of 306,700 metric tons (MT) for 2021/2022 were up 5 percent from the previous week, but down...

GOOD MORNING, Prices started the session lower as the rainfall prospects across the Plains forecast for this weekend trumped the 10th day of active bean bu...

SPREADS Dec crush trades 1.12c/bu while oilshare trades 45.90%.   Sep/Dec corn narrows into 2 1/4c from 3c after trading as wide as 5c or more, a...

The CBOT was mostly lower steady again as traders are comfortable with their current, post-WASDE positions and are reluctant to add risk. Wheat futures pos...

Agriculture on Agenda? U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris will lead the U.S. delegation at a U.S.-Mexico Dialogue on 9 September. The reported agenda will a...

Global sugar prices are up 55 percent over a year ago due to a weather shortened Brazilian cane crop. The price is still 23 percent below the peak it hit i...

THE OPEN Nov beans: 3 lower Dec meal:  2.50 lower Dec soyoil: 45 lower Dec corn:  1 higher Dec wheat: 1 higher The market opened as expected but...

Dec 21 Corn closed at $5.65/bushel, up $0.015 from yesterday's close.  Sep 21 Wheat closed at $7.3725/bushel, up $0.0275 from yesterday's close. ...

Public Health Delta Variant Results in Highest Case Spike in Six Months While China’s publicly reported figures show that the country has largely man...

Russian Grain Markets: 9-13 August 2021 The domestic Russian grain market grew significantly in all regions of the European part of Russia (except for corn...

GOOD MORNING, Prices opened slightly lower in the overnight session on technical follow-through selling from Tuesday's general down-day of trade.  In...

SPREADS October crush trades to 1.02c with oilshare steady at 46.30%.  Sep/Dec corn widens out to 5 1/4c from 4 3/4c as traders continue to liquidate...

The CBOT was mostly weaker on Tuesday with weakness in macro markets dampening traders’ and funds’ risk appetite. Wheat futures tumbled sharply...

Congress stands in recess until next month. The Senate has passed the $1.2 trillion infrastructure package and the $3.5 trillion budget resolution, and the...

Minimal Consolidation Seeing the Biden Administration’s rhetorical claim to be prosecuting consolidation in agribusiness, some farmer advocates are c...

Dec 21 Corn closed at $5.635/bushel, down $0.0525 from yesterday's close.  Sep 21 Wheat closed at $7.345/bushel, down $0.26 from yesterday's close.&nb...

THE OPEN Nov beans:  2 higher Dec meal:  2.50 higher Dec soyoil:  60 lower Dec corn:  1/2 lower Dec wheat:  10 lower The markets o...

China’s new countercyclical pork production support program includes the goal of pork imports not exceeding 5 percent of production. The goal is not...

Regional Updates MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA  Afghanistan’s takeover by the Taliban could slow the development work on Iran’s C...

SPREADS Sep. crush continues to slide down to 1.03c/bu with oilshare at 46.70%.   Spread trade of note is the Dec wheat/corn, which trades over r...

GOOD MORNING, A surprising crop ratings report and more chatter about bean demand presented a higher open, and funds were buyers in the overnight session.&...

CBOT trade was active overnight with traders and world markets continuing to react to USDA’s WASDE. Physical prices in Europe and the Black Sea are r...

THE OPEN Nov. beans:  8 higher Dec meal: steady Dec soyoil:  4 higher Dec corn: 2 1/2 higher Dec wheat:  4 higher Prices opened as expected...

Dec 21 Corn closed at $5.6875/bushel, down $0.0425 from yesterday's close.  Sep 21 Wheat closed at $7.605/bushel, down $0.0175 from yesterday's close...

Inconvenient Truths EU officials released a preliminary analysis of the impacts of the F2F and biodiversity changes to the CAP and major farm organizations...

Proponents of plant-based alternatives to meat envision healthier, more planet friendly fare but too often the deficit is in long-lasting satiety. This is...

The Energy Information Administration (EIA) released its August Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO); the report projects biodiesel production for 2021 to rema...

Corn Argentina  At the beginning of July, Argentina’s corn harvest started moving quickly and since then has covered almost 50 percent of the ar...

Regional News  Ukraine’s agricultural product exports to the EU rose 10 percent in the first seven months of 2021 compared to the same period in...

GOOD MORNING, Overnight prices were mostly in the green with wheat leading the way higher as the market continues to digest the USDA numbers from last Thur...

SPREAD Sep. crush trades to 1.13c with oilshare prices trading up to 47.03%.  Sep/Dec corn goes from an inverse trade to 4 3/4c carry from 3 3/4c.&nbs...

The August WASDE has come and gone but markets are still digesting its implications. Wheat futures were higher again on Friday with funds continuing their...

The Senate passed the President’s $3.5 trillion FY 2022 budget resolution this week by a 50-49 vote. Now Congress will turn toward implementing that...

Dec 21 Corn closed at $5.73/bushel, down $0.0025 from yesterday's close.  Sep 21 Wheat closed at $7.6225/bushel, up $0.0875 from yesterday's close.&nb...

GMO Tipping Point They do not call it genetic modification because of all the negative baggage associated with the first wave of organisms modified to be b...

Yesterday’s USDA WASDE report surprised the market to the upside and the bullish reaction carried over into the open today. Having a surprising Augus...

Note that WPI will not be publishing Technical Perspectives reports on Friday, August 13, 2021. However, all other articles covering markets and policy wil...

2021/22 U.S. corn outlook is for smaller ending stocks.  Reduced exports are partially offset by greater corn used for ethanol, starch, and glucose an...

2021/22 global oilseed stocks are slightly higher as lower production is paired with lower use.  The soybean oil price forecast is unchanged at 65.0 c...

2021/22 soybean crush is reduced 20 million bushels on a lower domestic soybean meal disappearance forecast which is reduced in line with the prior year, a...

2021/22 U.S. soybean production is forecast at 4.34 billion bushels, down 66 million on lower yields.  The first survey-based soybean yield forecast o...

2021/22 world wheat is projected to decline 16.8 million tons to 1,065.7 million, primarily on lower production for Russia, Canada, and the United States.&...

Summary for the period July30-August 5, 2021. Wheat:  Net sales of 293,100 metric tons (MT) for 2021/2022 were down 5 percent from the previous week a...

Surprises are usually left for the military but today USDA pulled off the unthinkable, shocking the market to the bullish side. The August WASDE report ref...

Dec 21 Corn closed at $5.7325/bushel, up $0.14 from yesterday's close.  Sep 21 Wheat closed at $7.535/bushel, up $0.265 from yesterday's close. ...

Stick it to Foreigners Former U.S. Senate Finance Committee Chairman Russel B. Long (D-Louisiana) noted how politicians protected their own constituents an...

All eyes are focused on the outbreak of ASF in the Dominican Republic; the disease was traced to backyard operations and has now been found in 14 of the co...

SPREAD Sep. crush trades to 1.19c/bu while oilshare is firm at 46.87%.  Sep/Nov bean inverse trades from 7 3/4c to 6 1/4c.  Nov/March beans trade...

GOOD MORNING, The markets all started the evening trade with losses, but slowly came back in the grains to trade higher.  The major function of the ma...

Dec 21 Corn closed at $5.5925/bushel, up $0.06 from yesterday's close.  Sep 21 Wheat closed at $7.27/bushel, up $0 from yesterday's close.  Nov 2...

The CBOT was firmer heading into tomorrow’s much-anticipated WASDE report, but the major commodities held to their recent trading ranges. The soy com...

Fake Green Growth Policymakers of a certain policy bent are keen to tell the public that economic growth and environmental sustainability are not exclusive...

The Biden Administration has said it is not interested in negotiating new trade agreements until the U.S. makes investments in things like infrastructure t...

Macroeconomics Food Prices Drop Sharply in July, Down Nearly 4 Percent The average cost of food in July was down year-on-year by 3.7 percent with pork pric...

Russian Grain Markets: 2-6 August 2021 Prices in the domestic Russian grain market grew significantly in all regions of the European part of Russia, mainly...

THE OPEN November beans:  10 higher December meal:  steady December soyoil:  60 higher December corn:  2 higher December wheat:  2...

SPREADS Sep. crush is 1.12c while oilshare trades at 46.90%.  The September roll continues, and is still a bulk of trading volume.   Sep/Dec...

GOOD MORNING, Prices are mixed, with the major feature that of higher soyoil which in turn is supporting the bean market.  Corn follows stronger beans...

The CBOT was mixed on Tuesday with accelerating worries for world wheat production sending Chicago and KC markets higher while stronger soyoil and Chinese...

The U.S. Senate passed an infrastructure investment package today, a prerequisite by the Biden Administration before Washington will again reduced barriers...

Last week, President Biden issued an executive order as part of his “Build Back Better” initiative that calls for targeting all vehicle sales t...

Dec 21 Corn closed at $5.5325/bushel, down $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Sep 21 Wheat closed at $7.27/bushel, up $0.1575 from yesterday's close.&nbs...

THE OPEN November beans:  9 higher December meal:  4.20 higher December soyoil:  30 higher December corn:  2 lower December wheat: ...

Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador (AMLO) has ordered a ban on GMO corn imports by 2024, has stopped approvals of all new GMO trai...

Regional Updates MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA  Egypt’s bread price needs to increase according to President Sisi since the price has b...

SPREADS Sep. crush was 1.14c/bu while oilshare traded 45.76%.  August / Nov bean inverse jumps to 1.17c from 1.13c, while Sep/Nov inverse firms to 1.1...

GOOD MORNING, Prices are mixed overnight with corn prices lower on better-than-expected ratings, and a poor inspections report yesterday that suggests expo...

The CBOT was mostly red to start the week with energy and outside markets pressuring futures. Corn, wheat, and soybeans all stuck to their recent trading r...

Fire with Fire Some U.S. senators have introduced legislation that would prohibit states from enacting laws dictating how livestock are produced in other s...

The Senate is moving forward on the bi-partisan infrastructure package; a cloture vote to limit debate and provide a timeline for a final vote and consider...

The think tank RethinkX, which forecasts the disruptive impacts of merging technologies says that the global livestock industry is going bankrupt over the...

Dec 21 Corn closed at $5.5375/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Sep 21 Wheat closed at $7.1125/bushel, down $0.0775 from yesterday's close...

Milling Wheat  Wheat prices are higher this week with declining Russian, Canadian, and U.S. spring wheat production prospects driving the rally. The p...

Wheat  Argentina’s wheat planting is 97 percent complete across the 6.5 Mha to be seeded. Weather conditions have been unfavorable recently with...

THE OPEN Nov. beans:  1 higher Dec. meal:  2.80 higher Dec.  soyoil:  40 lower Dec. corn:  4 1/4 lower Dec wheat:  3 1/2 lowe...

SPREADS Sep. crush trades down to 1.15c/bu while oilshare trades lower to 45.92%.  Sep/Dec corn trades from 1 1/2c to 2c carry, while Dec/March trades...

GOOD MORNING, Prices are mixed with rains in the eastern Corn Belt weighing on prices, and lower crude oil creating a buy meal/sell soyoil trade.  Soy...

The CBOT was mostly higher to end the week with wheat leading the way once again. Corn futures settled cautiously higher with ample position evening with t...

Feed costs and milk supply and demand are squeezing the income-over-feed-costs margins for dairy producers. The Dairy Margin Coverage (DMC) has paid out si...

The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity marke...

Climate Analysis There will be a new report out on Monday from the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and predictions are that it will se...

Dec 21 Corn closed at $5.565/bushel, up $0.035 from yesterday's close.  Sep 21 Wheat closed at $7.19/bushel, up $0.0625 from yesterday's close. ...

Long a staple crop in Sub-Saharan Africa, no region or country can compete with the roller coaster and meteoric rise of sorghum consumption in China. In th...

THE OPEN November beans: 7 1/2 higher December meal: 1.40 higher December soyoil:  70 higher December corn:  2 higher December wheat:  9 3/4...

GOOD MORNING, Prices were mixed to begin the PM session but turned higher by the morning.  The markets continue to digest all the yield guesses while...

SPREADS Sep. crush trades to 1.24c/bu while oilshare trades to 46.48%.   Sep/Dec corn spread finds little direction, trading from 2 1/2c to 1c in...

The market traded today on a little bit of what it knows, and a little bit on what it speculates to be happening. Since it is hard to believe that weeks of...

Fed cattle market issues continue to be the top focus in overall agriculture policy. There were three key developments this week. First, yesterday Senator...

Dec 21 Corn closed at $5.53/bushel, up $0.0625 from yesterday's close.  Sep 21 Wheat closed at $7.1275/bushel, down $0.045 from yesterday's close.&nbs...

Debt Leverage Volatility Markets hate uncertainty but the upcoming hardball political play in Washington is as transparent as cellophane. Congressional Dem...

THE OPEN November beans:  2 lower December meal:  2.50 higher December soyoil:  32 lower December corn:  5 1/2 higher December wheat:&n...

U.S. Soy Export Sales Highlights Today’s USDA export sales report indicated exporters of U.S. soybeans had a good week selling U.S. soybeans for expo...

This summary is for the period July 23-29, 2021.  Wheat:  Net sales of 308,300 metric tons (MT) for 2021/2022 were down 40 percent from the previ...

SPREADS Sep. crush trades to 1.26c/bu while oilshare trades down to 46.76%.  Sep/Dec corn trades either side of even, 3/4c inverse to 1/2c carry, whil...

GOOD MORNING, Prices are trending lower for oilshare overnight as energies trade off, along with lower canola.  Grains are firmer while the soy comple...

CBOT futures were mostly lower on Wednesday with a more favorable U.S. weather forecast once again taking away the need for a weather/yield premium in pric...

Two Sides to Every Coin Trees have suddenly become the solution de jour for climate change with efforts to stop the destruction of existing forests in the...

Originally, a tropical South American plant, there are plenty of different names for the popular oilseed most commonly called groundnut, goober, and peanut...

Dec 21 Corn closed at $5.4675/bushel, down $0.05 from yesterday's close.  Sep 21 Wheat closed at $7.1725/bushel, down $0.0725 from yesterday's close.&...

Livestock Newly Released Data Shows Live Hog Output By Province By the end of last week, all provinces across China finished reporting their live hog outpu...

THE OPEN November beans:  4 3/4 higher December meal:  .10 higher December soyoil:  68 higher December corn:  2 1/4 higher December whe...

Russian Grain Markets: 26-30, July 2021 Prices in the domestic Russian grain market moved in different directions with a downward trend getting weaker unde...

SPREADS Sep. crush trades to 1.27c/bu while oilshare trades to 47.56%.   Sep/Dec corn inverse trades at a small carry from 3/4c to 1 3/4c, while...

GOOD MORNING, Prices started the session mainly mixed but turning two-sided during the overnight hours.  Funds were net sellers yesterday as prices ch...

The CBOT was mixed with soybeans and products sharply lower after yesterday hammered the market with surprisingly good crop conditions ratings and a bearis...

Dec 21 Corn closed at $5.5175/bushel, down $0.075 from yesterday's close.  Sep 21 Wheat closed at $7.245/bushel, down $0.05 from yesterday's close.&nb...

More Biodiesel Despite Duties The EU extended antidumping and countervailing duties on imports of U.S.-produced biodiesel for an additional five years. The...

Last week the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released the real, or inflation adjusted, GDP estimate for Q2 2021 showing the economy growing at 6.5...

As noted in yesterday’s piece on the broader dynamics of citrus and global trade, U.S. production faces several different headwinds. One that is part...

THE OPEN November beans:  24 lower December meal: 4.20 lower December soyoil:  110 pts lower December corn:  3 1/2 lower December wheat:&nbs...

Regional Updates MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA  4 August is the one-year anniversary of the fertilizer explosion in Beirut port that killed 2...

SPREADS Sep. crush trades 1.30c/bu while oilshare trades to 47.0%.  Sep/Dec corn trades out to 1 1/2c carry from 1/2c, while Dec/March trades out to 8...

GOOD MORNING, Prices are lower across the board on slightly better than expected crop ratings for beans.  Corn crop ratings were actually 2% lower, bu...

Wheat was the upside leader at the CBOT on Monday, posting strong gains and rallying to new two-month highs. Bull spreading between wheat and corn/soybeans...

Capitalism’s Advantage The so-called “squad” of socialists in the American Democratic party ran into a buzzsaw when it comes to Cuba. The...

Dec 21 Corn closed at $5.5925/bushel, up $0.14 from yesterday's close.  Sep 21 Wheat closed at $7.295/bushel, up $0.2575 from yesterday's close. ...

While the U.S. remains a major producer of citrus fruit, it is also a major consumer of the products and thus is increasingly dependent on imports. Over th...

Corn Argentina’s corn harvest advanced 9.2 percent last week, bringing the total harvest to 82 percent of the planted area. The harvest is 12 percent...

After working over the weekend, the Senate now has drafted 3,000 pages of legislative text for the bi-partisan infrastructure package. As of this morning,...

THE OPEN November beans:  4 lower December meal:  1.80 higher December soyoil:  60 lower December corn:  3 1/2 higher December wheat:&n...

Regional News  Ukraine is increasingly becoming the dominant supplier of grains from the Black Sea region. Ukrainian grain exports are up 49 percent Y...

SPREADS  Sep. crush trades to 1.25c/bu while oilshare trades to 47.40%.  Corn spreads are weaker with Sep/Dec now trading into new lows at 3/4c c...

GOOD MORNING, Prices are mixed with soyoil seeing pressure due to profit-taking in oilshare,  while wheat futures remain firm.  Soyoil futures fo...

The CBOT sank lower on Friday as end-of-the-week and end-of-the-month profit taking pressured commodity prices. Beyond position-based trading, rains across...

It’s been a busy week for meat and poultry lawsuits. There have been three significant legal developments in the protein sector – broilers, por...

The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity marke...

Dec 21 Corn closed at $5.4525/bushel, down $0.1125 from yesterday's close.  Sep 21 Wheat closed at $7.0375/bushel, down $0.015 from yesterday's close...

Loving Protectionism Market access barriers protect domestic workers and that is why they are so difficult to get rid of, even when they are wrong. U.S. Co...

THE OPEN November beans:  15 lower December meal: 2.10 lower December soyoil:  71 lower December corn:  5 3/4 lower December wheat:  5...

The production of beef is inherently volatile due to cyclical nature of cattle, on top of market factors. Poultry are not thought to be as susceptible to v...

SPREADS Sep. crush trades to 1.28c/bu while oilshare trades down to 47.87%. Sep/Dec corn trades from 3c to 1 1/2c inverse, while Dec/March trades from 7 1/...

GOOD MORNING, Prices are lower on first notice day for August futures.   Wetter weather and end-of-week profit-taking dominates price action.&nbs...

WPI's monthly publication features a review of the past month's market and policy analysis articles. This month we examine the impacts of climate change, c...

Wheat:  Net sales of 515,200 metric tons (MT) for 2021/2022 were up 9 percent from the previous week and 46 percent from the prior 4-week average. Cor...

Crops are thirsty for water and the bartenders in the futures market today raised their prices. The ongoing North American drought prompted the Internation...

Dec 21 Corn closed at $5.565/bushel, up $0.075 from yesterday's close.  Sep 21 Wheat closed at $7.0525/bushel, up $0.165 from yesterday's close. ...

Cattle prices in July were very near their 10-year (2011-2020) monthly average, but more interestingly, they have been rallying through the summer. Typical...

Where China and Russia Differ U.S. President Joe Biden calls China a “most serious competitor” and dismisses Russia as having nothing but nucle...

U.S. Old-Crop Soybean Export Sales Declined Last Week Today’s USDA export sales report indicated old-crop soybean export sales declined last week, bu...

Environment Once in a Thousand-Year Rainfall Devastates Henan Province While the Western U.S. has suffered from a major heat wave, drought, and massive fir...

THE OPEN November beans:  12 higher December meal:  3.00 higher December soyoil:  62 higher December corn:  3 higher December wheat:&nb...

SPREADS  Sep. crush trades to 1.27c/bu while oilshare trades to 47.79%.  August /Nov bean inverse rallies to 71c before giving up some of its gai...

GOOD MORNING, Prices are higher as more reports of a devastated wheat crop in North Dakota roll in.  Extreme heat in the Northern Plains and in the Mi...

Wheat was the upside leader at the CBOT on Wednesday, with crop tour yield results coming in below expectations. Minneapolis wheat futures were up 25 cents...

Former Deputy USTR C.J. Mahoney had some sage analysis this week regarding the Trade Promotion Authority (TPA), aka Fast Track that expired earlier this mo...

Germany and France announced an official policy against culled male chicks in the egg-laying business. As noted by other analysts, it is a problem recogniz...

Dec 21 Corn closed at $5.49/bushel, up $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Sep 21 Wheat closed at $6.8875/bushel, up $0.1425 from yesterday's close. ...

Russian Grain Markets: 19-23 July 2021 Prices continue to decrease in the domestic Russian grain market in most regions where sellers still haven’t c...

THE OPEN November beans:  7 higher December meal:  .40 higher December soyoil:  58 higher December corn:  3 higher December wheat: ...

GOOD MORNING, Prices are firmer as more rumors of possible Chinese business and hot and dry temperatures for this week underpin futures.  Wheat leads...

SPREADS  Sep. crush trades to 1.24c/bu while oilshare trades to 47.45%.   Sep/Dec corn inverse weakens to 1 3/4c from 2 3/4c, while the Dec/...

The CBOT started Tuesday’s trade sharply higher overnight after USDA’s Crop Progress data showed surprising declines in U.S. corn and soybean r...

The House Agriculture Committee passed a bill providing additional farm emergency payments under the Wildfires and Hurricanes Indemnity Program – Plu...

Dec 21 Corn closed at $5.4625/bushel, down $0.005 from yesterday's close.  Sep 21 Wheat closed at $6.745/bushel, down $0.025 from yesterday's close.&n...

Lazy Trade Officials A hearing today before the U.S. Senate Committee on Finance on the USMCA was revealing not for what has changed since NAFTA was replac...

U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken visits Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi this week but do not expect any help for U.S. farmers. The two plan to ta...

THE OPEN November beans:  18 higher December meal:  6.60 higher December soyoil:  50 pts higher December corn:  9 1/4 higher December w...

Regional Updates MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA  Eid holidays have limited business activity in the past week in the MENA region – all w...

GOOD MORNING, Overnight prices were firmer on the technical reversal from yesterday and lower than expected crop progress ratings.  Chartists and tech...

SPREADS October crush trades to 1.15c/bu while oilshare trades to 47.58%.   Sep/Dec corn inverse continues to weaken, trading down to 2 1/2c from...

The CBOT was sharply lower overnight and in early-day trade, thanks to rising political tensions between the U.S. and China. Reports say Chinese vice-minis...

Future Industry Impacts The push toward shorter supply chains and plant-based food products will have perverse impacts on the food marketing industry. For...

Dec 21 Corn closed at $5.4675/bushel, up $0.0375 from yesterday's close.  Sep 21 Wheat closed at $6.77/bushel, down $0.07 from yesterday's close. ...

On 30 June, the U.S. Department of Commerce (DOC) received a petition to impose countervailing duties (CVD) and anti-dumping duties (AD) on imports of urea...

Brazil is the largest producer of coffee in the world, representing 40 percent of global production, and recent freeze damage is expected to drive global c...

Corn Argentina Finally, Argentina’s corn harvest had a week with strong progress. Farmers harvested 10 percent of the fields, bringing total harvest...

THE OPEN November beans: 11 lower December meal:  3.50 lower December soyoil:  15 higher December corn:  4 1/2 lower December wheat:  1...

Regional News  After recent, disastrous flooding, the European weather is clearing and allowing harvest to accelerate. The flooding in Germany and Bel...

GOOD MORNING, Prices started the night with more losses as we head into the last week of July.  The lack of demand and overall reductions in fund leng...

SPREADS Crush is higher today with November trading to 1.24c/bu and oilshare at 47.63%.   Sep/Dec corn inverse trades from 3 3/4c to 5 1/4c, whil...

USDA reported U.S. Cattle on Feed down 1% Cattle and calves on feed for the slaughter market in the United States for feedlots with capacity of 1,000 or mo...

Dec 21 Corn closed at $5.43/bushel, down $0.1825 from yesterday's close.  Sep 21 Wheat closed at $6.84/bushel, down $0.0825 from yesterday's close.&nb...

The CBOT pulled back again on Friday with weak technical conditions in corn and soybeans contributing to early declines. U.S. weather forecasts are mostly...

The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity marke...

USDA’s semi-annual Cattle Inventory report was released this afternoon. All cattle and calves in the United States on 1 July totaled 101 million head...

Tilting at Windmills China is being chided in the financial press for trying to limit commodity prices. In addition to scrutinizing pricing platforms, Beij...

USDA/FAS reports that excessive rains hit Chile earlier this year and damaged a wide swath of that country’s grape crop. What is notable is the conce...

THE OPEN November beans:  5 lower December meal:  3.80 lower December soyoil:  90 higher December corn:  1 1/4 lower December wheat:&nb...

SPREADS We continue to see positive crush margins in the US, with August at 99c/bu and Sep. at 1.31c/bu.  August oilshare trades to 47.70% and Sep. is...

GOOD MORNING, Prices are mixed this morning with higher oilshare and soyoil and firm wheat, vs. weaker beans, meal, and corn.   Traders were busy...

While the gyrations in the equities market are based on things like earnings and risks from inflation or COVID, agricultural commodities are all about the...

Dec 21 Corn closed at $5.6125/bushel, down $0.0725 from yesterday's close.  Sep 21 Wheat closed at $6.9225/bushel, down $0.185 from yesterday's close...

Green Measures Have Consequences Under France’s new Climate and Resilience law, farmers must reduce their emissions from nitrogen fertilizer by 15 pe...

U.S. Soy Export Sales Down Last Week The week ending 15 July was not a good one for export sales of U.S. soybeans, soymeal, and soyoil. Apparently, it will...

Tomorrow, USDA will release its monthly Cattle on Feed report. Pre-report estimates from the industry peg the total number of cattle on feed as of 1 July a...

THE OPEN November beans: 25 lower December meal: 5.60 lower December soyoil:  130 pts lower December corn:  13 lower December wheat:  14 low...

Wheat:  Net sales of 473,200 metric tons (MT) for 2021/2022 were up 11 percent from the previous week and 44 percent from the prior 4-week average. Co...

GOOD MORNING, Prices took a turn lower as selling surfaced in Minneapolis wheat as rains crossed areas of Canada and the Great Lakes region.  Minneapo...

SPREADS August crush trades to 95c/bu while oilshare trades to 46.76%.  Sep/Dec corn trades up to 4 1/2c from 3 1/2c while Dec/March carry trades from...

The CBOT was mixed on Wednesday with corn showing the greatest strength, despite posting gains of just 2-3 cents. Soyoil fell as the Biden administration i...

Energy versus Ag The Biden White House is reportedly undecided over biofuel blend mandates for 2021 and 2022 and is being asked to intervene in Mexico&rsqu...

Dec 21 Corn closed at $5.685/bushel, up $0.0275 from yesterday's close.  Sep 21 Wheat closed at $7.1075/bushel, up $0.1025 from yesterday's close.&nbs...

The Washington Post featured an article about goat cheese production in the U.S. It notes that the number of dairy goats has increased nearly 132 percent s...

Livestock Live Hog and White Feather Broiler Prices Fall on Rising Supplies Even with the National Merchant Reserve Center stepping in to buy up surplus po...

Russian Grain Markets: 12-16 July 2021 Prices continue to decrease in the domestic Russian grain market, but in some regions, they were slightly up. Averag...

THE OPEN November beans:  2 higher December meal:  3.70 higher December soyoil:  70 lower December corn:  5 higher December wheat: ...

SPREADS August crush trades to 99c/bu while oilshare trades to 47.27%.  Sep crush is 1.28c/bu with oil share at 46.77%.   Sep/Dec corn inver...

GOOD MORNING, Prices are mixed, with soyoil lower and more buy meal/sell soyoil spread trade. After the close yesterday, the EPA announced they would delay...

CBOT futures shrugged off yesterday’s macro-market selloff overnight and traded higher with corn extending gains into the open chart gap. The day ses...

Dec 21 Corn closed at $5.6575/bushel, up $0.135 from yesterday's close.  Sep 21 Wheat closed at $7.005/bushel, up $0.0275 from yesterday's close. ...

Demand for the Andean pseudo-cereal quinoa has seen impressive growth and production has expended to meet it. Mushrooms are the new plant-based substitute...

Short Supply Chain Fallacy Buy local is tribal but has quaint, emotive appeal. The EU is giving policy support to short supply chains, provided they do not...

The Congressional August recess is coming soon with the Senate scheduled to adjourn on 9 August. That means the next three weeks provide a busy legislative...

THE OPEN November beans:  18 higher December meal:  4.50 higher December soyoil:  67 higher December corn:  13 1/4 higher December whea...

Regional Updates  MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA  Saudi Arabia flour mill sales for the Second and Fourth Milling Companies has reportedl...

GOOD MORNING, Commodities and equities saw a nice rebound to start the night.  All posted gains at the start of the trading session, including soyoil...

SPREADS August crush trades to 97.28c/bu while oilshare trades to 47.87%.  Sep oilshare trades to 47.27%.  Sep/Dec corn spread is firmer with an...

The CBOT started higher overnight but a huge selloff in stocks, energies, and other macro-markets crushed the rally after the day session began. Only wheat...

The Pacific Northwest (PNW) of the U.S. is suffering drought and a heatwave rarely seen in recent history. The white wheat crop has been damaged for sure b...

As we previously reported (6 July), the U.S. Court of Appeals for the DC Circuit struck down the Trump Administration EPA’s decision to provide a wai...

Why Inflation is Real The debate amongst economists as to whether the current spike in inflation is transitory or a longer lasting trend is almost entirely...

Dec 21 Corn closed at $5.5225/bushel, up $0.0025 from yesterday's close.  Sep 21 Wheat closed at $6.9775/bushel, up $0.0525 from yesterday's close.&nb...

Corn Brazil  The Brazilian corn production estimates look poor indeed. The combination of intense drought and recent frost/freeze events caused huge,...

THE OPEN November beans:  3 higher December meal:  3.90 higher December soyoil:  52 lower December corn:  6 higher December wheat: ...

Regional News  Weather continues to drive almost every market involving a crop planted in the ground. Flooding across Germany and parts of western Eur...

GOOD MORNING, If the rains washed away gains over the last several weeks, a bit of hot and dry is now turning prices higher.  In the meantime, the Com...

SPREADS Sep crush trades to 1.24c/bu while oilshare trades to 47.70%.  August oilshare trades to new highs at 48.32%.  Sep/Dec corn inverse leaks...

The CBOT traded higher overnight with wheat and soybeans leading the way. Concerns about low-quality wheat in Europe fueled a rally in the Paris market tha...

The First Shot U.S. President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping faced off today in a virtual meeting of the Asia Pacific Economic Council (APEC) b...

Drought, feed costs, and supply are weighing on milk production. The latest monthly data show that May daily milk production per cow is down half a pound f...

The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity marke...

Bloomberg reports a dramatic increase in hunger in India last year due to the economic losses from COVID. The Centre for Sustainable Employment in India be...

Dec 21 Corn closed at $5.52/bushel, down $0.0425 from yesterday's close.  Sep 21 Wheat closed at $6.925/bushel, up $0.205 from yesterday's close. ...

THE OPEN November beans: 15 higher December meal:  4.40 higher December soyoil:  71 higher December corn:  6 higher December wheat:  15...

SPREADS August crush trades to 90c/bu while oilshare trades to 47.63%.  Corn inverses are slightly weaker as new buying comes into December.  Sep...

GOOD MORNING,  Prices continue to firm in the overnight session with wheat gaining on corn, and meal on soyoil, for a change.  Weekly export sale...

The Fed continues to describe inflation as transient but said this week it is prepared to raise interest rates if proven wrong. Several business leaders ar...

Reality Check The Mexican government says that it will halve the volume of corn imports by 2024 while concurrently eliminating the use of glyphosate. Meanw...

As we’ve covered previously, there are a number of plans and proposals for dramatic policy changes relative to livestock and meat packing. This week,...

Fairly Positive Week for U.S. Soybean and Soymeal Export Sales Today’s USDA export sales report had no surprises. Sales and exports of soybeans and s...

Dec 21 Corn closed at $5.5625/bushel, down $0.025 from yesterday's close.  Sep 21 Wheat closed at $6.72/bushel, up $0.1775 from yesterday's close.&nbs...

THE OPEN Nov beans:  2 higher Dec meal:  2.90 lower Dec soyoil:  70 higher Dec corn:  1/2 lower Dec wheat:  5 higher  The mar...

USDA reports for the period July 2-8, 2021 Wheat:  Net sales of 424,700 metric tons (MT) for 2021/2022 were up 46 percent from the previous week and 4...

SPREADS August crush trades to 88c/bu while oilshare prices are 47.83%.  August /Nov bean inverse remains supported trading from 70c to 76 3/4c, while...

GOOD MORNING, Prices continue in congestion trade with rains this week bearish but hot and dry forecasts next week keeping markets well supported.  Hi...

The CBOT was sharply higher on Wednesday with the July grain contracts officially rolling off the board. Twenty-six contracts of July corn were traded this...

Dec 21 Corn closed at $5.5875/bushel, up $0.18 from yesterday's close.  Sep 21 Wheat closed at $6.5425/bushel, up $0.205 from yesterday's close. ...

Conceding Market Share American agricultural exporters long ago gave up on hopes of boosting their market share in Europe but now Europe may be conceding o...