Wuhan confirms that in addition to the national ban on wild animal trade, the city of Wuhan reportedly has banned hunting wild animals and their trade on o...
Articles
Cattle on Feed Report Shows Processing Bottleneck
USDA released its cattle on feed report today and as expected marketings were at an historic low (since records began in 1996) at 1.46 million head. Placem...
Memorial Day Holiday
Monday, 25 May is a U.S. holiday, and the markets and our office are closed that day. Please note that the next Ag Perspectives will be published on 26 May...
Market Commentary
Note: the CBOT and CME markets will be closed on Monday, 25 May and WPI’s offices will be similarly shutdown. The CBOT finished the week with s...
Cattle on Feed
USDA reports that U.S. Cattle on Feed is down 5 percent from 2019 in feedlots with capacity of 1,000 head or more – totaling 11.2 million head on May...
Summary of Futures
Jul 20 Corn closed at $3.18/bushel, up $0.0025 from yesterday's close. Jul 20 Wheat closed at $5.0875/bushel, down $0.0725 from yesterday's close.&nb...
April Cold Storage Report
The attached PDF shows WPI's summary analysis and intrepretation for the latest Cold Storage report, published 21 May 2020 by the USDA. Briefly,...
Let Them Have Meat
Most of the top ten beef producing countries around the world have increased production over the past decade except for two, the EU and Australia. Australi...
Livestock Round Up: Trump: “We Have Lots of Cattle in this Country”
Beef and pork production are starting to rebound, after the big drop in April. Estimated pork production was 2.3 billion pounds for the month and beef was...
Market Commentary
The day started and ended as called with Chicago wheat and the livestock complex in the green while corn and soybeans went under water. Wheat remains the p...
Summary of Futures
Jul 20 Corn closed at $3.1775/bushel, down $0.0175 from yesterday's close. Jul 20 Wheat closed at $5.16/bushel, up $0.0225 from yesterday's close.&nb...
WTO Foil; Small and Dangerous
WTO Foil Senator Josh Hawley (R-Missouri) added arguments to his call for a U.S. withdrawal from the WTO but they are not necessarily good ones. Hawley wil...
Oilseed Highlights: Export Sales; Argentine Soy Sales; Thailand Restriction; Soy and COVID-19
Big U.S. Soybean Export Sales Last Week The week ending 14 May was a good one for U.S. exporters of soybeans, soymeal and soyoil according to today’s...
Export Sales
Wheat: Net sales of 175,800 metric tons for 2019/2020 were down 14 percent from the previous week and 39 percent from the prior 4-week average. Corn:...
PM Post - Weakness Except in Wheat
Note: There will be no Technical Perspectives reports on Friday, 22 May. Markets are closed on Monday, 25 May. THE OPEN July beans: 2 1/2 lower July meal:&...
Self-Quarantine Thoughts
We are sheltering in place during The Attack of Covid-19, listening to health experts and politicians debate responses to the spread of the disease. We are...
Technical Perspectives - Lower Except Wheat
Note: There will be no Technical Perspectives reports on Friday, 22 May. SPREADS July crush trades to 83.50c/bu while oilshare trades to 32.43%. July...
AM Outlook - Firmer Soyoil and Wheat
Note: There will be no Technical Perspectives reports on Friday, 22 May. GOOD MORNING, Prices continue to drive into trading range territory as the markets...
Market Commentary
The CBOT opened with wheat leading the way higher, soybeans firming with support from soyoil and short covering in soymeal while corn established itself as...
EU’s F2F Moonshot
Europe’s new Farm to Fork strategy includes ambitious targets to reduce fertilizer and pesticide use, which should yield some skepticism. The goal is...
Summary of Futures
Jul 20 Corn closed at $3.195/bushel, down $0.0175 from yesterday's close. Jul 20 Wheat closed at $5.1375/bushel, up $0.15 from yesterday's close.&nbs...
Drought in Europe
The current hot, dry conditions affecting Europe are raising concern about the impact on crop conditions. The area of concern includes northwestern France,...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 11-15 May 2020 Milling and feed wheat prices as well as corn prices kept growing in the domestic grain market while feed barley pric...
China In-Country Analysis
Livestock New Study Points to Steady Recovery in China’s Hog Herd The Rural Development Research Institute of the China Academy of Social Sciences, a...
PM Post - Corn Sell, Wheat Buy
THE OPEN July beans: 4 higher July meal: 1.90 higher July soyoil: 10 higher July corn: 1 1/2 lower July wheat: 4 1/2 higher The mar...
Technical Views - Separate Directions
SPREADS July crush trades at 85.55c/bu while oilshare weakens to 32.15%. July/Nov beans trades from 7 1/2c out to 8 1/4c. July/Sep corn t...
AM Outlook - Business and Weather
GOOD MORNING, Prices are mostly higher this morning with corn returning as the weaker leg. Wheat is seeing a bounce courtesy of a weaker US dol...
Market Commentary
The CBOT opened mixed with soybeans coming under pressure from reversal of old long soybeans/short corn/wheat trades and from new contract lows in soymeal...
CFAP Direct Payment Details
As previewed yesterday, the Administration announced the details of the $16 billion COVID-19 relief direct payment program – the Coronavirus Food Ass...
Boost for Green Protectionism; Coddled and Kicked; Marketing Stories
Boost for Green Protectionism France and Germany have agreed to tie the COVID economic recovery funding to an expedited adoption of Green Deal measures tha...
Summary of Futures
Jul 20 Corn closed at $3.2125/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close. Jul 20 Wheat closed at $4.9875/bushel, up $0.0175 from yesterday's close.&nbs...
Falling Out of Favor
The EU is the largest consumer of rapeseed, followed by China, Canada and India. Its use in number three Canada and number four India has been rising, but...
PM Post - Firmer Heading out the Door
THE OPEN July beans: 2 higher July meal; .10 lower July soyoil: 10 higher July corn: 3 1/2 higher July wheat: 2 1/2 higher Th...
Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis
Regional Updates MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA The United Nations reportedly purchased 80,000 MT of Ukraine wheat for Sudan that will be shi...
Technical Views - The Day and Trend Diverge
SPREADS July crush trades down to 84.40c/bu while oilshare firms to 32.49%. Corn spreads are firmer on short-covering, with July/Sep trading fr...
AM Outlook - Constructive Conditions
GOOD MORNING, Prices are mostly higher as traders wait to see if there is follow-through buying activity from China. Crop ratings were a bit construc...
Direct Payments Coming, Purchases Creating Milk Bubble
The new $16 billion Coronavirus Food Assistance Program (CFAP) direct payments from USDA will be unveiled tomorrow. Payments are targeted to be made in lat...
Market Commentary
A rally in crude oil and rumors of Chinese crushers needing to book soybeans and soyoil helped the CBOT open firmer. Corn and soybeans traded higher for th...
Summary of Futures
Jul 20 Corn closed at $3.2075/bushel, up $0.015 from yesterday's close. Jul 20 Wheat closed at $4.97/bushel, down $0.0325 from yesterday's close.&nbs...
WTO Strategy; COVID Changes What?; Caretakers Not Farmers
WTO Strategy U.S. Ambassador to the WTO Dennis Shea told Friday’s General Council meeting that addressing the organization’s future should wait...
Mercosur Regional Analysis
Corn The corn harvest is still moving at a slow pace as farmers are focused on soybeans. Farmers harvested 1.8 percent of the area last week (versus almost...
PM Post - As Called and Steady Path
THE OPEN July beans: 6 1/2 higher July meal: .40 lower July soyoil: 48 higher July corn: 2 1/4 higher July wheat: 3 1/2 lower...
European Market Analysis
Regional News In Monday’s Crop Monitoring bulletin, the European Commission noted that spring weather, which predominantly featured above-avera...
Recession Impact on Meat Consumption
As noted in the analysis on recession impacts on grain demand, the Great Recession is an imperfect proxy for predicting the impacts on the current global e...
Technical Views - Buy Bean/Sell Wheat; Buy Soyoil/Sell Meal
SPREADS July crush trades to 87.59c/bu while oilshare firms to 32.0%. Jly/Dec corn trades from 12c to 12 1/2c, while July/Sep trades from 3 1/2c out...
AM Outlook - Risk on for the Day
GOOD MORNING, Prices are mixed this morning, lower wheat and higher elsewhere. Outside markets are sharply higher with US stocks up over 600 pts, ind...
Ethanol at $0.45 per Gallon, … Under Federal Payments
As we noted yesterday, the $3 trillion Health and Economic Recovery Omnibus Emergency Solutions (HEROES) Act amends the CCC Charter Act to allow assistance...
Summary of Futures
Jul 20 Corn closed at $3.1925/bushel, up $0.0175 from yesterday's close. Jul 20 Wheat closed at $5.0025/bushel, down $0.02 from yesterday's close.&nb...
Market Commentary
The CBOT ended the week mixed on lackluster volume with encouraging near-term demand developments being outweighed by the May WASDE’s large supply fo...
Faux Pas; Naturally Wrong
Faux Pas Technical level EU trade officials were meeting today to discuss how to put transatlantic trade relations back on a better course. The success of...
CFTC COT Report Analysis
The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodit...
Recession Impacts on Consumption
The economic impact on agriculture from the global coronavirus pandemic is still unknown but it cannot be good. Some speculate that recovery from a policy...
PM Post - Different Stories
THE OPEN July beans: 3 higher July meal: .50 higher July osyoil: 15 higher July corn: 1 1/4 higher July wheat: 3 1/2 higher T...
Technical Views - Mixed Day of Testing
SPREADS July crush trades to 87.42c/bu while oilshare trades firmer at 31.36%. July/Sep corn trades from 4c to 4 1/4c, while July /Dec firms in...
AM Outlook - Friday Bounce
GOOD MORNING, Prices are higher this morning on short-covering as we head into the growing season and begin to get the Good/Excellent rating category for c...
Market Commentary
Some of the bearish pressure on the market is said to be coming from the uncertainties associated with COVID-19, though there are now more knowns than a fe...
Livestock Round Up: COVID Policy Prescriptions for Ag
Cattle and hog slaughter is starting to rebound as plants reopen. Last week’s export sales reflect the state of the packing industry; net beef sales...
Summary of Futures
Jul 20 Corn closed at $3.175/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close. Jul 20 Wheat closed at $5.0225/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close.&nb...
Oilseed Highlights: U.S. Soy Exports, China’s Imports of U.S. Soy, Parana River Flow
Soy Export Sales Highlights Today’s USDA export sales report was positive for soybeans, but not so much for soymeal and soyoil. Maybe China’s s...
Fake Crisis in Food; Where’s the Beef
Fake Crisis in Food Politicians and populists groups issued a letter to international organizations demanding a “well-organized global effort”...
Export Sales
Wheat: Net sales of 203,500 metric tons for 2019/2020 were down 17 percent from the previous week and 28 percent from the prior 4-week average. Corn:...
A World of Grain
USDA released its May WASDE Tuesday. The May WASDE is always interesting since it includes USDA’s updated projections on U.S. and world supplies and...
PM Post - Defensive Tone Today
THE OPEN July beans: 2 1/2 lower July meal: 1.20 lower July soyoil: 3 higher July corn: 3/4 higher July wheat: 3 lower Prices...
Technical News - No Bull
SPREADS July crush trades higher from lows of 75c/bu to 85c/bu with oilshare just under 31.0% to 30.91%. July /Dec corn trades into 13 1/2c from 14c...
AM Outlook - Seeking Bottom of the Range
GOOD MORNING, Prices are lower on technical downside activity from yesterday's trade. Negative trade rhetoric continues between the US/China over the...
Market Commentary
The CBOT opened mixed but quickly found solid selling pressure as wheat futures tumbled lower under pressure from yesterday’s WASDE that forecast lar...
Anti-WTO is Bipartisan; Meat Plants the Same Everywhere; COVID Changes
Anti-WTO is Bipartisan Republican U.S. Senator Josh Hawley (R-Missouri) introduced a resolution last week to pull the U.S. out of the WTO and now two Democ...
Summary of Futures
Jul 20 Corn closed at $3.1825/bushel, down $0.04 from yesterday's close. Jul 20 Wheat closed at $5.0175/bushel, down $0.1275 from yesterday's close.&...
Takes Time to Work Off Surpluses
USDA’s forecast for U.S. corn use in 2020/21 may be as over-optimistic as its prediction for 2019/20 corn exports, but at this juncture prices have n...
PM Post - Waiting for Something
THE OPEN July beans: 1 1/4 lower July meal: .10 lower July soyoil: 7 higher July corn: 1 3/4 lower July wheat: 5 1/2 lo...
China In-Country Analysis
Macroeconomics Food Inflation Falls Below 15 Percent in April Average food prices for April increased year-on-year by 14.8 percent, down from 18.3 percent...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 4-8 May 2020 Prices continued to grow in the Asian part of the domestic grain market and moved in different directions in the Europe...
Technical Views - Post-report Meandering
SPREADS July crush firms to 81.74c/bu while oilshare is steady at 31.14%. July /Dec corn trades into 13 3/4c from 14 1/4c, and values that were out t...
AM Outlook - Onus is on the Market
GOOD MORNING, The May WASDE has come and gone, and technically the markets did not break down. Quite the contrary, as the focus of the report was hug...
WASDE Soyoil
USDA Estimates – U.S. soybean oil prices are forecast at 29.0 cents per pound, up 0.5 cents from 2019/20...
WASDE Soymeal
USDA Estimates - U.S. soybean meal prices are forecast at $290 per short ton, down $10.00 from 2019/20. ...
WASDE Soybeans
USDA Estimates - outlook for U.S. soybeans is for higher supplies, crush, exports, and lower ending stocks in 2020/21. The soybean crop is projected...
WASDE Corn
USDA Estimates – U.S. corn crop is projected at a record 16.0 billion bushels, up from last year on increased area and a return to trend yield. ...
WASDE Wheat
USDA Estimates - U.S. wheat in 2020/21 will have reduced stocks. The 2020/21 U.S. wheat crop is projected at 1,866 million bushels, down 3 percent fr...
Dairy Glut Problem
Unlike other animal protein products, dairy was in trouble before the COVID-19 crisis. The problem has been a failure to grow demand as fast as production...
Market Commentary
CBOT markets opened on the defensive with traders cautious ahead of the May WASDE. The market was expecting a bearish report and that pressured the soybean...
Bearish WASDE for Livestock and Poultry
Today’s WASDE showed USDA’s red meat and broiler production forecast down 5.6 percent from the March WASDE estimates, but only 1.5 percent lowe...
Summary of Futures
Jul 20 Corn closed at $3.2225/bushel, up $0.0375 from yesterday's close. Jul 20 Wheat closed at $5.145/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close.&n...
Trans-Atlantic Trade “Talks”; Molding Dietary Intake; Current Needs and Reopening
Trans-Atlantic Trade “Talks” European Trade Commissioner Phil Hogan detailed a trans-Atlantic trade agenda for USTR Robert Lighthizer but parts...
PM Post - Win for the Bull
THE OPEN July beans: 1 higher July meal: .40 higher July soyoil: 2 lower July corn: 1 1/4 lower July wheat: 5 1/2 lower The board o...
Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis
Regional Updates MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA Morocco has announced that the suspension of duty on common wheat will be extended beyond 15...
Technical Views - Choppy Day Ahead
SPREADS July crush trades to 75.17c/bu while oilshare trades to 31.25%. Corn spreads weaken this AM with July /Dec trading back out to 16 1/2c...
AM Outlook - WASDE Expectations versus Reality
GOOD MORNING, The May WASDE report will be released at 11:00 central time. The advertised estimates include higher 20/21 ending stocks for corn with...
Market Commentary
The CBOT opened on a higher note with soybeans finding solid support on technical buying as well as rumors of Chinese purchases of U.S. product. Soymeal an...
China Plays Offense; EU Plays Offense
China Plays Offense We discussed on Friday the worsening outlook for U.S. – China relations and today Beijing one-upped the Trump Administration. Pre...
Summary of Futures
Jul 20 Corn closed at $3.185/bushel, down $0.0075 from yesterday's close. Jul 20 Wheat closed at $5.1725/bushel, down $0.0475 from yesterday's close...
COVID-19 Policy Updates: Payment Limits, Meat Plants, and Federal Contracts
Payment Limits: The COVID Food Assistance Program (CFAP) rule to provide direct payments to producers has been submitted by USDA to the Office of Managemen...
Wildly Fluctuating Peas
Alternative proteins have become the rage in food processing, though there is now an argument that Americans have switched back to more traditional foods a...
Mercosur Regional Analysis
Corn Flat prices are low and are even lower for deferred positions. Grain sales are liquidated in Argentine pesos at the official exchange rate of about 65...
PM Post - Higher Ahead of Bearish Report
THE OPEN July beans: 6 3/4 higher July meal: 1.70 higher July soyoil: 11 higher July corn: 2 3/4 higher July wheat: 1 1/4 hig...
European Market Analysis
Regional News The weather across Europe has shifted from an extremely dry pattern earlier this spring to a wetter, more normal pattern in the past tw...
Technical Views - Higher in Range
SPREADS July crush trades to 80.92c/bu while oilshare trades to 31.23%. July/Dec corn trades from 15 1/2c out to 16 1/4. July/Dec wheat...
AM Outlook - Position Evening Ahead of tomorrow
GOOD MORNING, Prices are mostly firmer, with beans reaching a one month high overnight and wheat prices turning mixed from higher. Prices are higher...
U.S. – China Tea Leaves; Underestimating Cattle Traders; Underestimating Europe’s Trade Policy
U.S. – China Tea Leaves Under the Phase One agreement, U.S. exports of goods to China this year were supposed to increase by 36.6 percent over the ba...
Fed Cattle Set Aside Program?
As we have discussed in the past, livestock production has little wiggle room to cope with the processing shutdowns and the demand destruction and volatili...
Market Commentary
The CBOT opened on a firm note with funds covering part of their short positions ahead of the May WASDE. Cold weather forecast for most of the Midwest and...
CFTC COT Report Analysis
The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodit...
Favorites’ Punishment
The impact of the coronavirus on most national economies is blunt and harmful but especially to those countries that were already poorly structured. Like m...
Summary of Futures
Jul 20 Corn closed at $3.1925/bushel, up $0.0125 from yesterday's close. Jul 20 Wheat closed at $5.22/bushel, down $0.005 from yesterday's close.&nbs...
PM Post - Firmer Heading into the Weekend
THE OPEN: July beans: 7 higher July meal: 1.20 higher July soyoil: 35 higher July corn: 2 3/4 higher July wheat: 1/2 higher Prices opened as expected wit...
Technical Views - Upside Constructive
SPREADS July crush trades to 79c/bu, while oilshare firms to 31.44%. Spreads are firmer with July/Dec corn narrowing into 15c from 16 1/4c, (and valu...
AM Outlook - Look for Furthering Strength
GOOD MORNING, Prices continue to rebound this week on the back of more Chinese purchases of US goods, as an announced conference call next week betwe...
Export Sales
Wheat: Net sales of 244,800 metric tons for 2019/2020 were down 48 percent from the previous week and 15 percent from the prior 4-week average. ...
Ambitious F2F; COVID Ironies
Ambitious F2F The EU is getting closer to releasing its Farm to Fork plan for completely remaking its food system and it is ambitious. So ambitious that it...
Livestock Round Up: Meat Packing, Slowly but Not So Surely Reopening
Meat packing plants are starting to resume operations, mostly under the President’s executive order which includes new health guidelines from the Cen...
Market Commentary
It was a technical runup today that will correct lower but there is a Chinese curveball in play. The fundamentals remain weak – look at today’s...
Summary of Futures
Jul 20 Corn closed at $3.18/bushel, up $0.0375 from yesterday's close. Jul 20 Wheat closed at $5.225/bushel, up $0.05 from yesterday's close. J...
Oilseed Highlights: Soy Export Sales; Difficult Time for Soy Processors; Sunoil Versus Soyoil
U.S. Soy Export Highlights The week ending 30 April was not a good one for U.S. soy exports. Sales of soybeans, soymeal and soyoil for shipment in 2019/20...
PM Post - Temporary Highs
THE OPEN July beans: 4 1/2 higher July meal: .40 higher July soyoil: 29 higher July corn: 3 1/2 higher July wheat: 6 higher The mar...
China to the Rescue?
It is commonly accepted that without a major crop production disaster in the Northern and/or Southern Hemisphere, the fundamental outlook for U.S. corn, wh...
Technical Views - Firming Trend
SPREADS Spreads are firmer with all deliveries gone. May/July corn trades into 2 1/2c from 3c, bringing some strength to July/Dec which trades into 1...
AM Outlook - Moving Up Channel
GOOD MORNING, Prices continue to congest in trading ranges looking for different data, weather, or macro events to move them one way or the other. Th...
China In-Country Analysis
Politics The Danger of Hot Rhetoric and Conspiracy Theories With President Trump and Secretary of State Mike Pompeo continuing to place blame on China for...
Market Commentary
Low volume trade left CBOT grain markets to trade lower with little to encourage buyers to make purchases, despite prices being near contract lows. Improvi...
Dis-integrating Global Economy; Airplane War Update
Dis-integrating Global Economy Economists warn that protectionism will slow the global recovery but both governments and companies now view the retreat fro...
Summary of Futures
Jul 20 Corn closed at $3.1425/bushel, down $0.0275 from yesterday's close. Jul 20 Wheat closed at $5.175/bushel, down $0.0325 from yesterday's close...
Dollar versus Exportable Stocks
Chicago futures have major agricultural commodities at some of their weakest prices in years and yet exports do not seem to be responding to their appeal...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 27-30 April 2020 Prices on the domestic grain market continued to grow. Meanwhile on the export market, milling wheat average price...
PM Post - Mostly Lower on a Soft Bottom
THE OPEN July beans: down 1 1/2 July meal: .90 higher July soyoil: 38 lower July corn: 1 1/4 lower July wheat: 4...
Technical Views - Mostly Sideways
SPREADS May/July beans continues to be supported by the lack of deliveries against the May. July/Nov bean spread chops around supported by recent dem...
AM Outlook - Bouncing Along
GOOD MORNING, Prices are mixed this morning with corn gaining on wheat, and meal on soyoil. Soyoil futures were supported yesterday by the news of $1...
Market Commentary
CBOT trade was slow and mixed for most of Tuesday, with a slight uptick in commercial pricing interest supporting corn, soybean, and SRW wheat values. Fund...
U.S. Ag Trade Deficit and Meat Outlook
According to USDA’s latest agricultural trade data, the overall ag trade balance in March was negative. The U.S. ran a trade deficit of $502 million...
Summary of Futures
Jul 20 Corn closed at $3.17/bushel, up $0.015 from yesterday's close. Jul 20 Wheat closed at $5.2075/bushel, up $0.0125 from yesterday's close. ...
Meat Fight on the Election Menu
Meat packing has now become part of the 2020 U.S. presidential campaign. Presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden declared worker conditions in these plant...
India Hurts its Own Dairy Market
There is a global abundance of grain and oilseeds and while meat animals are being euthanized due to a lack of slaughter capacity and total production is d...
PM Post - Macros Lead Turnaround
THE OPEN July beans: 3 3/4 lower July meal: .50 higher July soyoil; 23 higher July corn: 2 1/2 higher July wheat: 3 1/2 lower Stocks and...
Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis
Regional Updates MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA Egypt reports that local wheat purchases by the government are now at 1 MMT well on the way t...
Technical Views - Shorts and Small Bounces
SPREADS July crush trades to 86.35c/bu while oilshare trades to 31.46%. July /Dec corn narrows into 17 1/4c from 18c, and vs. values that reached 19c...
AM Outlook - Mixed Trying to Define Value
GOOD MORNING, Prices are mixed today as higher energies add support to corn and soyoil. Soyoil futures are higher, but the basis is falling apart, as...
Wrong Negotiations; ROO Trumps Substantial Transformation
Wrong Negotiations Washington and London kick off two weeks of videoconference trade negotiations this week, hoping to reach an agreement this year. The ga...
Market Commentary
The CBOT was called to open weaker after a weekend of favorable weather and expected planting progress in the U.S., combined with welcome rains across Euro...
The Ag and Food Impact of SBA Loans and Food Purchase Programs
Part of the COVID-19 relief package was the Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) loans available to small businesses. It was designed to help small businesses...
Summary of Futures
Jul 20 Corn closed at $3.155/bushel, down $0.03 from yesterday's close. Jul 20 Wheat closed at $5.195/bushel, up $0.03 from yesterday's close. ...
WHO Guidance Effectiveness
The World Health Organization’s Eastern Mediterranean Regional Office issued an advisory recently that advised people to consume unsaturated fats suc...
Mercosur Regional Analysis
Corn Heavy rains that fell across a large portion of Argentina’s agricultural area last week slowed the arrival of trucks to export ports. The number...
PM Post - Down but with some Small Bounces
THE OPEN July beans: 12 3/4 lower July meal: 3.20 lower July soyoil: 57 lower July corn: 5 lower July wheat: 7 1/4 lower Pric...
European Market Analysis
Regional News Last week, Europe was facing widespread drought conditions and one of the driest 60-day springtime periods since the 1970’s. That...
Technical Views - Multiple Lows
SPREADS July crush trades to 87c/bu while oilshare moves back below 31.0% to 30.85%. July /Dec corn trades to 18 3/4c from 18 1/4c, while May/July tr...
AM Outlook - Under Pressure
GOOD MORNING, Prices are lower as the end of month short-covering is over and good weekend weather probably saw crops going into the ground in a big way.&n...
Market Commentary
One of the hallmarks of a bear market is that buyers are patient and wait for rallies to subside, rather than chasing prices higher. That dynamic was on di...
CFTC COT Report Analysis
The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity marke...
Summary of Futures
Jul 20 Corn closed at $3.185/bushel, down $0.015 from yesterday's close. Jul 20 Wheat closed at $5.165/bushel, down $0.0775 from yesterday's close.&n...
Sights on Africa; Worse than the Virus; Watershed Protection; Can’t Beat 'em, Join 'em
Sights on Africa Minxin Pei, a senior fellow at the German Marshall Fund says China gets blamed for practicing economic colonialism in Africa, but there ha...
Worker Welfare Battle
Now that some political jurisdictions are beginning to open with varying interpretations of safety, it has elevated the question of when is it safe to go b...
Policy Fallout from COVID-19
The Senate will return to session on Monday. Though the House will not return, debate on a fourth COVID-19 relief package will begin. This likely will be t...
PM Post - Done for the Week
THE OPEN July beans: 5 3/4 lower July meal: 1.00 lower July soyoil: 30 lower July corn: 2 lower July wheat: 4 lower Prices st...
Technical Views - Risk Off
SPREADS July crush trades to 85.54c/bu while oilsahre is slightly weaker trading down to 30.93%. July /Dec corn firms to 17c from 17 1/2c, while May/...
AM Outlook - Slight Reversal
GOOD MORNING, The markets remain thin as countries are out for holiday. Argentina is closed today and China is out for a week-long holiday.&nbs...
Lopsided WTO Proposal; Never Again
Lopsided WTO Proposal A new proposal for WTO disciplines on agriculture subsidies is correct in one respect but lopsided in other ways. The International I...
Market Commentary
The market opened mixed but ended mostly in the green. Prices were boosted by decent export sales, especially in wheat, very few deliveries against expirin...
Summary of Futures
Jul 20 Corn closed at $3.2/bushel, up $0.055 from yesterday's close. Jul 20 Wheat closed at $5.2425/bushel, up $0.0775 from yesterday's close. ...
Livestock Round Up
Re-Opening, but Slower Operating Meat Plants As we reported on Tuesday, the President issued an executive order under the Defense Production Act to keep me...
Oilseed Highlights: China Soybean Purchases; U.S. Soy Sales; Brazil’s COVID-19 Challenges
China Resumes Buying U.S. Soybeans Reuters reports that a Chinese state-owned company purchased at least five cargoes of U.S. soybeans today. The five carg...
PM Post - Temporary Lows
THE OPEN July beans: 4 3/4 higher July meal: .20 higher July soyoil: 23 higher July corn: 3/4 lower July wheat: 5 1/2 lower Prices opened...
Export Sales
Wheat: Net sales of 467,400 metric tons for 2019/2020 were up 91 percent from the previous week and up noticeably from the prior 4-week average. Corn...
Corn Market Challenge
We have commented before about the broad negative impact that the worldwide coronavirus pandemic is having on demand for raw materials ranging from copper...
Technical Views - Different Directions
SPREADS The May/July Chicago wheat spread is beginning to invert once more, trading from 3-4c. July/Dec corn trades out to 19c from 18 1/4c. Ju...
AM Outlook - Up and Down
GOOD MORNING, Prices are mixed to begin the session with wheat contracts lower against the other markets. Bean and corn prices are steady on the uptu...
Market Commentary
The CBOT opened with short covering that lifted corn and soybeans higher early in the day. Firmer crude oil prices were supportive initially. Row crops end...
Economists Lose to Meds; Nuts Over Meat; OECD as Decision Body; Leveraging Changes
Economists Lose to Meds Caught your eye?! That is what just happened. Economists know balance sheets and now they are pondering the cost/benefit of a split...
Summary of Futures
Jul 20 Corn closed at $3.145/bushel, up $0.025 from yesterday's close. Jul 20 Wheat closed at $5.165/bushel, down $0.095 from yesterday's close. ...
Oil and Food
The price of petroleum has plummeted, putting countries that are highly dependent on its export earnings into deep fiscal trouble. This should hinder their...
China In-Country Analysis
Livestock China’s Live Hog and Pork Prices Face Pressure, Inventories Up On 28 April, China’s State Council hosted a press conference about the...
PM Post - Weak Day for Grains
THE OPEN July beans: 5 higher July meal: .50 lower July soyoil: 35 higher July corn: 2 3/4 higher July wheat: 6 1/4 low...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 20-24 April 2020 Prices on the domestic grain market continued to grow. Meanwhile, on the export market milling wheat average price...
Ag Review - April 2020
WPI's monthly publication features a review of the past month's market and policy developments. This issue covers the economic downturn and its impact on a...
Technical Views - Mixed Opportunities
SPREADS July crush trades to 84.79c/bu while oilshare is higher trading up to 31.11%. May/July corn narrows into 8 3/4c from 9 1/2c, while July /Dec...
AM Outlook - Meat Bounce
GOOD MORNING, Prices are mixed as we head into first notice day on Thursday, lower for wheat and higher elsewhere. Wheat is lower on rains in Europe...
Market Commentary
The CBOT was higher overnight on short covering and what looked to be the start of a Turnaround Tuesday. The day session, however, featured aggressive fund...
When Pigs Fly… Which is Happening
China is starting to repopulate its swine herd, flying in, via charter planes, live breeding animals from the EU. According to reports, more than 4,000 hea...
Summary of Futures
Jul 20 Corn closed at $3.12/bushel, down $0.0125 from yesterday's close. Jul 20 Wheat closed at $5.26/bushel, up $0.0125 from yesterday's close. ...
Corona News; Localization and Ag Needs
Corona News Topics of note for today: Trade Agreements: The African Continental Free Trade Area originally scheduled to be implemented on 1 July has been d...
PM Post - Continued Weakness
THE OPEN July beans: 1 1/2 higher July meal: .20 lower July soyoil: .12 higher July corn: 3/4 lower July wheat: 2 higher A higher-t...
New Model Risks
Many respondents to a recent WPI poll said that one impact of the COVID-19 crisis would be increased localization in the food supply. Indeed, there was alr...
Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis
Regional Updates MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA Saudi Arabia’s SAGO purchased 60,000 MT of Ukraine wheat from SALIC (Saudi Agricultural...
Technical Views - Resistance Holds
SPREADS July crush trades firmer to 85.77c/bu, while oilshare trades to 30.55%. Corn spreads widen with July/Dec out to 16 3/4c from 15 3/4c.&n...
AM Outlook - Short Covering Start
GOOD MORNING, Prices are slightly firmer to begin the morning despite the fact that crude is once again falling to new lows. Much of the negative new...
Market Commentary
CBOT trade was mostly a continuation of last week with corn falling lower amid declining ethanol demand and expectations for aggressive planting over the w...
Comfortable and Safe; Adjusting Risk-Benefit; Miscellany
Comfortable and Safe Food processors are reporting brisk sales of their processed products. Nestlé’s Hot Pockets are selling lot hot cakes; Ni...
Lower Fuel Use Reignites RFS Fight
As of last week, according to the Renewable Fuel Association (RFA), 73 of the nation’s 200 ethanol plants are idled and 70 percent are operating at r...
Summary of Futures
Jul 20 Corn closed at $3.1325/bushel, down $0.0975 from yesterday's close. Jul 20 Wheat closed at $5.2475/bushel, down $0.0575 from yesterday's close...
Mercosur Regional Analysis
Corn So far, 35 percent of Argentina’s planted area is harvested with a weekly progress of just 2 percent. Farmers are still focused on the soybean h...
PM Post - New Lows Being Set
THE OPEN July beans: 3 lower July meal: .30 lower July soyoil: 34 lower July corn: 5 1/2 lower July wheat: 4 1/4 lower Prices...
Clobbered by Currency
The change in the exchange rate relative to the dollar is currently greatest for the Brazilian real and the Argentine peso. The only other currency that co...
European Market Analysis
Regional News Warm, moderately dry conditions were featured across Europe this week with southern parts of the continent receiving better precipitati...
Technical Views - Test and Cover
SPREADS July crush trades to 83.21c/bu, while oilshare trades to 30.19%. Jul/Dec corn weakens back out to 15 1/4c from 13 1/2c, and levels that were...
AM Outlook - Looking for Value Points
GOOD MORNING, Trading ranges continue as the mission of the market is to now establish value levels that make sense given the bearish environment brought o...
Cattle on Feed; Restaurants Not Feeding; Slaughter Bottlenecks
USDA released its cattle on feed report today; as expected placements were down dramatically to 1.56 million head, the lowest total for March on record. To...
Gaming 2020
The U.S. primary system may need revision based on the recent voting in Wisconsin, but the national election will and must occur on 3 November. The questio...
Future of EU Wheat
Parts of Europe are again too dry this spring raising worries that the wheat crop will be suboptimal. Indeed, some forecasters say this is the new normal i...
Market Commentary
The CBOT was mixed/slightly lower overnight with soybeans finding some support from this week’s Chinese purchases while corn sagged under the weight...
CFTC COT Report Analysis
The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity marke...
Summary of Futures
Jul 20 Corn closed at $3.23/bushel, down $0.03 from yesterday's close. Jul 20 Wheat closed at $5.305/bushel, down $0.1425 from yesterday's close.&nbs...
Cattle on Feed
• USDA Estimates – U.S. Cattle on Feed 5 percent below April 1, 2019 • Cattle and calves on feed for the slaughter market in the United Sta...
PM Post - It was a Dead Cat Bounce
THE OPEN July beans: 2 3/4 lower July meal: .50 lower July soyoil: 7 lower July corn: 3/4 lower July wheat: 1/4 lower Prices...
Technical Views - Chopping Along
SPREADS July crush trades down to 86c/bu while oilshare dips back below 31.0% to 31.71%. July/Dec corn trades weaker from 12 1/2c to 13 1/2c.&n...
AM Outlook - Retrenchment
GOOD MORNING, Prices are slightly lower to begin the session after reaching temporary highs on a market bounce off contract lows. Seasonally co...
Enforcing WTO Limits; Notifying the WTO
Enforcing WTO Limits In this extraordinary time of global market turbulence, governments are taking measures to protect industry sectors including ag...
Market Commentary
The market bounced off new contract lows from earlier this week and while it usually would buy on a rumor it took reports of Chinese buying interest with a...
Livestock Round-Up: What CDC Said about Sioux Falls and More; Cattle on Feed
The Centers for Disease Control (CDC) issued their report on the Sioux Falls Smithfield plant inspection. It was pretty much as expected based on our discu...
Summary of Futures
Jul 20 Corn closed at $3.26/bushel, up $0.0125 from yesterday's close. Jul 20 Wheat closed at $5.4475/bushel, up $0.01 from yesterday's close. ...
Oilseed Highlights: China Purchases; U.S. Soy Export Sales; U.S. Drought in 2020?; Parana River
Chinese Back to Buying U.S. Soybeans, May Buy Large Amount for Reserves USDA announced a total of 470,000 MT of soybeans has been sold to a Chinese buyer f...
PM Post - Largely a Technical Day
THE OPEN July beans: 12 higher July meal: 1.40 higher July soyoil: 50 higher July corn: 5 higher July wheat: 5 higher The mar...
The Wild and Crazy Crude Oil Market
Can commodities actually be worth less than $0.00? After Monday’s wild trade in the CME May Crude Oil futures contract, we guess they can. As anyone...
Technical Views - Sideways Bounce
SPREADS July crush trades to 87.93c/bu, while oilshare trades to 30.96%. Spreads firm with July/Dec narrowing into 11 1/4c from 12 3/4c, and vs...
Export Sales
Wheat: Net sales of 244,700 metric tons for 2019/2020 were up 37 percent from the previous week, but down 22 percent from the prior 4-week average. C...
AM Outlook - Higher Despite Export Sales
GOOD MORNING, Prices are higher this morning led by beans and soyoil. Soyoil follows higher palm and firmer energies. China has been buying beans thi...
Market Commentary
With yesterday’s trade showing reversal signals in soybeans and soymeal, the CBOT was called to open higher this morning, which is largely what happe...
March Cold Storage Report
The attached PDF shows WPI's summary analysis and intrepretation for the latest Cold Storage report, published 22 April 2020 by the USDA. Briefly...
Summary of Futures
May 20 Corn closed at $3.175/bushel, up $0.0825 from yesterday's close. Jul 20 Wheat closed at $5.4375/bushel, down $0.025 from yesterday's close.&nb...
Green Dream
Proponents of stark structural changes are trying to use the current COVID-19 crisis as leverage to achieve their policy goals, but it is unlikely to succe...
Biblical Proportions
International organizations are warning that COVID-19 and the associated economic recession will increase hunger in poorer countries. To quote World Food P...
China In-Country Analysis
Public Health Recurring Cases, Unanswered Questions Continue to Linger With China gradually returning to a state of normalcy, questions about recurri...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 13-17 April 2020 Two factors influenced development of prices on the domestic market: sales from Public Intervention Fund were pushi...
PM Post - As Called
THE OPEN July beans: 4 1/2 higher July meal: .50 higher July soyoil: 25 higher July corn: 5 1/2 higher July wheat: 1 3/4 lowe...
Technical Views - Higher Trade
SPREADS July crush is lower at 89.12c/bu, while oilshare trades at 30.45%. Bean spreads are firmer with July/Nov narrowing into 5 1/2c from 8 1/2c, w...
AM Outlook - Key Reversals
GOOD MORNING, After placing new contract lows or low -end prices for ranges, prices are firmer this morning, (except for wheat), on a combination of bargai...
Similar Transatlantic COVID-19 Impacts
According to the latest Short-term Outlook from the European Commission, the agrifood sector on the Continent has been impacted by the economic shock, lock...
Summary of Futures
May 20 Corn closed at $3.0925/bushel, down $0.05 from yesterday's close. Jul 20 Wheat closed at $5.4625/bushel, down $0.0125 from yesterday's close.&...
Market Commentary
Trade at the CBOT was marked by early steep declines that eventually gave way to a short covering/profit taking bounce. Corn, soybeans, and soymeal all pos...
Farmer Friendly Trump; Farmer Friendly GI’s
Farmer Friendly Trump There is no industry hurt more by President Donald Trump than agriculture, and there is no modern president that has embraced agricul...
Packing Plant Hot Spots; Post COVID-19 Marco Outlook
Packing Plant Hot Spots As Matt Herrington reported last night, meat packing plants are the new COVID-19 hotspots. The CDC is expected to issue its report...
PM Post - Blow-off Low
THE OPEN July beans: 11 1/4 lower July meal: 2.70 lower July soyoil: 77 lower July corn: 8 lower July wheat: 1/4 higher The c...
Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis
Regional Updates MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA The first day of the Muslim holy month of Ramadan begins 24 April. Business is always more difficul...
Technical Views - Testing New Bottoms
SPREADS July crush trades down to 91.78c/bu while oilshare falls to 30.69%. Spreads are weaker with July/Dec trading out to 17c from 14 1/2c, and val...
AM Outlook - It's Wheat Again
GOOD MORNING, Prices are lower across the board to begin the morning as funds continue to put on new short positions in lieu of weaker macros, lack of dema...
Market Commentary
The biggest news of the day is the fact that May crude oil futures traded to negative prices, posting a daily low of negative $40.34 (-$40.32) before settl...
Imperfect Petroleum Relationship; CFTC’s Missed Opportunity
Imperfect Petroleum Relationship The assertion has been that petroleum is a finite resource whereas agricultural commodity production can always increase t...
Brazil – USA Trade Impacts
Washington and Brasilia have agreed to expedite negotiations under the Brazil-U.S. Commission on Economic and Trade Relations with the goal of completing a...
Summary of Futures
May 20 Corn closed at $3.1425/bushel, down $0.08 from yesterday's close. Jul 20 Wheat closed at $5.475/bushel, up $0.1375 from yesterday's close.&nbs...
Mercosur Regional Analysis
Corn Despite the fact that farmers are still primarily focused on the soybean harvest, the corn harvest advanced 6 percent last week. The progress was larg...
PM Post - Notable for Wheat Only
THE OPEN July beans: 5 3/4 lower July meal: 1.00 lower July soyoil: 31 lower July corn: 3 1/2 lower July wheat: 18 higher The...
European Market Analysis
Regional News The dryness across Europe is easing with showers falling across Spain, western France, and Eastern Europe last week. For most of Europe, the...
Details on the New Coronavirus Food Assistance Program
On Friday as part of the daily White House COVID19 briefing, Secretary Perdue announced the Coronavirus Food Assistance Program (CFAP). It will come...
Technical Views - Only Wheat Has Strength
SPREADS July crush trades top 96.08c/bu while oilshare trades to 31.09%. Corn spreads are weaker with July/Dec trading out to 15c from 13 1/2c. ...
AM Outlook - Mixed; Going Short
GOOD MORNING, The markets are mixed this morning as wheat is sharply higher against lower prices elsewhere on the board. Wheat prices are highe...
Market Commentary
CBOT grains and livestock markets were mostly higher today with short covering the dominant theme in corn. Wheat futures sold off early in the day but foun...
CFTC COT Report Analysis
The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity marke...
Summary of Futures
May 20 Corn closed at $3.2225/bushel, up $0.025 from yesterday's close. Jul 20 Wheat closed at $5.3375/bushel, up $0.0325 from yesterday's close.&nbs...
Meat of the Matter
Coming out of the food shortages of WWII, Roger Waters asks in the Pink Floyd album Another Brick in the Wall, “How can you have any pudding if you d...
Agricultural Demand Crisis
Macroeconomic trends have always had some impact on agricultural production, demand, trade and values, but usually much less so than on other commodities s...
Dollars versus Disease; Long-term Impacts of COVID-19
Dollars versus Disease Part of the debate over action against the coronavirus has always been health versus economics. The decision to err on the side of h...
COVID-19 is a Reminder to Livestock and Meat Industry of the Role of Traceability
A friend of WPI’s and a former colleague to some of us, Hanns Kuttner is a health policy analyst and senior fellow at the prestigious Hudson Institut...
PM Post - Profit-taking
THE OPEN July beans: 1 3/4 higher July meal: 1.10 higher July soyoil; 2 higher July corn: 2 higher July wheat: 1 lower...
Technical Views - Sideways to Mostly Lower
SPREADS Crush firms to 99.91c/bu, while oilshare trades to 31.0%. Spreads are generally firmer with July/Dec corn narrowing into 13 3/4c from 15c.&nb...
AM Outlook - Low Volume Bear Market
GOOD MORNING, The markets are mixed as we head into the weekend, mostly higher on short-covering, wheat lower on long liquidation. Higher markets nee...
Rare Policy Initiatives
Extraordinary policy initiatives are being deployed in these rarest of times. New York City has reportedly sought charitable contributions toward keeping i...
Livestock Round-Up: COVID Meat Impact Recovery - Processing, Retail, Restaurants and Exports
The idling of several packing plants is now having a trickledown impact through the value chain. After Smithfield closed its Sioux Falls pork packing plant...
Summary of Futures
May 20 Corn closed at $3.1975/bushel, up $0.005 from yesterday's close. May 20 Wheat closed at $5.2975/bushel, down $0.105 from yesterday's close.&nb...
Market Commentary
Markets are rational and amid all the uncertainty the current bearishness is reasonable. There are also fundamental reasons for the current selloff. It mak...
Oilseed Highlights; March Soybean Crush Record; Parana River Problems; Disappointing U.S. Soy Export Sales
Larger Than Expected NOPA Soybean Crush Total in March Yesterday’s NOPA soybean crush report for March came in well above the average estimate of ana...
PM Post - New Lows Set
THE OPEN July beans: 2 lower July meal: steady July soyoil: 16 lower July corn: 1/4 lower July wheat:&nb...
Export Sales
Wheat: Net sales of 178,300 metric tons for 2019/2020 were down 31 percent from the previous week and 49 percent from the prior 4-week average. ...
Technical Views - Meal to Bounce
SPREADS July crush firms again to 98c/bu, while oilshare tests 31.0%. May/July meal widens out to $4.60 from $3.80, while July/Dec trades from...
AM Outlook - New Lows
GOOD MORNING, The markets are mixed this morning and haven't moved much from yesterday's settlement. Theme of the markets is continued selling...
Market Commentary
Today’s CBOT trade was dominated by poor retail sales and the weekly EIA ethanol and gasoline production/stocks report that proved bearish for both m...
Covid Recovery; Independent Dependence
Covid Recovery About one-tenth of American workers have lost their jobs including at least 475,000 in New York City alone. Some believe the actual number i...
Summary of Futures
May 20 Corn closed at $3.1925/bushel, down $0.0675 from yesterday's close. May 20 Wheat closed at $5.4025/bushel, down $0.085 from yesterday's close...
4-5 Million Fewer Corn Acres
Today’s U.S. Energy Information Agency (EIA) report verified the downward direction of ethanol production and thus corn demand in the wake of COVID-1...
China In-Country Analysis
Public Health Routine Temperature Checks, Social Monitoring Define New Normal Life in China’s mega coastal cities continues to inch back to a n...
PM Post - Needing a Weather Shock
THE OPEN July beans: 1 3/4 lower July meal: 2.90 higher July soyoil: 22 lower July corn: 1 3/4 lower July wheat: 11 3/4 lower...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 6-10 April 2020 Wheat prices on the domestic Russian market increased in the European part of Russia but decreased in Siberia. Meanw...
Technical Views - Mostly Lower
SPREADS Crush is firmer this morning with July trading up to 94c/bu, and oilshare correcting down to 31.23%. July/Nov beans trades out to 10 1/4c fro...
AM Outlook - Mixed, with Notables
GOOD MORNING, Prices are mixed this morning with a larger break in wheat, and a bounce in meal as traders unwind previous buy soyoil/sell meal spread trade...
Market Commentary
Weakness in soymeal and the soy complex was the major feature at the CBOT today. The soy complex is increasingly worried about the demand implications of t...
Pandemic Predictions on Food
Many are calling for paradigm shifts in most societal functions and a lot of changes are already happening, but government will slow farming’s abilit...
FAPRI Farm Income Forecast
Yesterday we wrote about the forthcoming relief funds for COVID-19; today’s press stories are laying out the same scenario based on reports of what i...
Summary of Futures
May 20 Corn closed at $3.26/bushel, down $0.055 from yesterday's close. May 20 Wheat closed at $5.4875/bushel, down $0.0625 from yesterday's close.&n...
PM Post - No Turnaround Tuesday
THE OPEN July beans: 1 lower July meal: 1.60 lower July soyoil: 5 lower July corn: 1/4 higher July wheat: 6 1/4 lower The fea...
Recession and Farm Income
The Purdue University/CME Group’s Ag Economy Barometer survey of farmers in March showed their economic sentiment dropping 47 points (28 percent), th...
Middle East, Mediterranean and Africa Regional Analysis
Regional Updates MEDITERRANEAN/MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA Corn and wheat imports in the region could find sourcing more difficult with Romania banning...
Technical Views - Corn Solo
SPREADS July crush trades to 83c/bu, while oilshare is a steady 31.59% item. Corn spreads are slightly firmer, with July /Dec trading into 13 1/2c fr...
AM Outlook - Taking Out Bottoms
GOOD MORNING, Prices are mixed this morning with some short-covering activity in corn, and continued long liquidation in beans and meal. Weathe...
Market Commentary
The markets were called mostly lower after the long holiday weekend with funds continuing to be net sellers and coronavirus news remaining bearish for comm...
Future of Ag Trade
There have been plenty of concerns voiced over the future of the global trading system post-COVID-19. The Trump Administration receives plenty of ink for s...
Summary of Futures
May 20 Corn closed at $3.315/bushel, down $0.0025 from yesterday's close. May 20 Wheat closed at $5.55/bushel, down $0.015 from yesterday's close.&nb...
Mercosur Regional Analysis
Logistics Truck movements have normalized since the first few weeks of the quarantine when uncertainty and divergent local regulations slowed the arrival o...
COVID-19: Pork Plant and Policy Uncertainties Continue
The responses and repercussions of the COVID-19 spread continue at a breakneck speed, one of the latest being the indefinite shut down of the JBS pork plan...
Dreaming of Shortfalls
The stay at home orders and fear of a pandemic caused a run on groceries. Several countries-imposed food export restrictions and collectively this elicited...
PM Post - Setup for Turnaround
THE OPEN July beans: 1 1/2 lower July meal: 1.40 lower July soyoil: 30 lower July corn: 2 1/2 lower July wheat: 5 higher Pric...
European Market Analysis
Regional News Food security continues to be the primary market driver for Europe and most other regions around the world. Efforts to increase (at least per...
CFTC COT Report Analysis
The attached PDF offers graphical depiction and seasonal analysis of managed money and commercial traders' net position in key agricultural commodity marke...
Technical Views - Mostly Lower
SPREADS July crush falls to 84.65c/bu while oilshare remains a firm 31.73%. July/Nov bean spread is slightly weaker trading from 4 1/4c to 5 1/2c car...
AM Outlook - All to Think About
GOOD MORNING, Prices are mixed to begin the morning. Wheat is higher this morning with the USDA reporting a sale last Friday of 165,000 mt of H...
Good Friday
Tomorrow, 10 April is a holiday for the CBOT/CME markets in observance of Good Friday. Please note that our office will also be closed. The next Ag Perspec...
Silver Lining; Economy and Long-term
Silver Lining It is easy to be depressed amid the COVID-19 crisis. Predictions include: Global agricultural trade will shrink 12.7 percent this year. G...
WASDE Soyoil
USDA’s soyoil outlook – is for U.S. soybean oil price projected at 30.0 cents per pound, down 1.5 cents reflecting increased production and end...
Market Commentary
The April WASDE report has been described historically as a non-event. Today’s report was bearish, but prices rose for the most part because it merel...
WASDE Soymeal
USDA’s soymeal outlook – is for increased U.S. soybean crush on higher soybean meal exports and increased domestic disappearance. Domesti...
WASDE Soybeans
USDA’s soybean outlook - U.S. soybean supply and use changes for 2019/20 include lower exports, seed use, and residual use, higher crush, and higher...
Summary of Futures
May 20 Corn closed at $3.3175/bushel, up $0.0175 from yesterday's close. May 20 Wheat closed at $5.565/bushel, up $0.0825 from yesterday's close.&nbs...
WASDE Corn
USDA’s corn outlook – is for reduced U.S. imports, greater feed and residual use, lower food, seed, and industrial use, and corn larger stocks...
Livestock Round Up: Bearish WASDE for Livestock and Poultry
Today’s WASDE showed red meat and poultry production down 1.1 percent from the March WASDE estimates, but still 3.3 percent higher than 2019. &n...
WASDE Wheat
USDA’s wheat outlook – is for lower U.S. exports, reduced domestic use, and increased ending stocks. The NASS Grain Stocks report, issued...
Oilseed Highlights: Export Sales; USDA WASDE Report
Soy Export Sales Highlights The week ending 2 April had to be a disappointing one for exporters of U.S. soybeans and soyoil, but not so much for soymeal. T...
PM Post - Already Factored In
THE OPEN July beans: 1 3/4 higher July meal: .80 lower July soyoil: 13 higher July corn: 2 1/2 higher July wheat: 5 3/4 highe...
As Goes Russia, So Goes Wheat
In 2019/20 Russia will again be the world’s largest wheat exporter. This will be the third year in a row that Russia can claim that title. For those...
Technical Views - Mixed into the Report
SPREADS July crush falls to 94.65c/bu while oilshare trades to 31.70%. July/Dec corn slightly weaker today, traidng out to 14 1/4c from 13 3/4c...
AM Outlook - WASDE Report Day
GOOD MORNING, Prices are mostly higher heading into the April WASDE report to be released at 11:00 Am Chicago time. Expectations include reduced worl...
Market Commentary
The CBOT opened higher with some mild, continued short covering that eventually gave way to more bearish pressure. Position squaring heading into the April...
Drinking the Kool-Aid
U.S. ethanol production is plunging, and producers are demanding a fix. Some sources say that this week was the lowest ethanol output and highest stocks on...
Summary of Futures
May 20 Corn closed at $3.3/bushel, down $0.015 from yesterday's close. May 20 Wheat closed at $5.4825/bushel, down $0.01 from yesterday's close. ...
Meat of the Matter
Animal protein prices are mostly declining even though there was a consumer rush to hoard supplies ahead of COVID-19 lockdowns. An economic recession gener...
China In-Country Analysis
Public Health City of Wuhan Reopened for Business China’s central government, with much fanfare, lifted the more than two-month long lockdown o...
PM Post - Low Volume/Energy
THE OPEN May beans: 1 1/2 higher May meal; 1.50 higher May soyoil: 10 lower May corn: 2 higher May wheat: 2 1/2 higher The ma...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 30 March – 3 April 2020 Grain prices on the domestic Russian market increased but at a slower rate, except for Siberia where p...