China to Boost Dairy Investment Overseas Yashili, one of China's top dairy producers, recently announced that it will invest $210 million in building a mil...
Articles
Immigration Reform and Agriculture
President Obama has promised to take up immigration reform during this session of Congress, and post-election -- especially after all the slicing and dicin...
Court Vacates Cellulosic Ethanol Volume for 2012
A federal court today rejected a key part of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) mandate for cellulosic fuels, but it also ruled against a complaint...
From the Horse’s Mouth
Everyone understands that world weather in 2013 will be critically important to commodity suppliers and prices. World feed grains supplies are hovering aro...
Southeast Europe Regional Analysis
Milling Wheat The Black Sea wheat market has been quiet this week and no major trades were reported. The EU allocated 364,000 MT of export licenses, bringi...
Market Commentary
General Comments Markets were mixed overnight in relatively light volume. Trading volume in the last hour today was pathetically small. Yesterday's late re...
Closing Futures Prices
WPI provides a summary of the week's futures price activity and the gains/losses experiences by grain, oilseed, and livestock markets. Additionally, today'...
Wrong and Righteous
We Were Wrong: A U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) study in the Journal of the Academy of Nutrition and Dietetics found that people were best at comp...
Market Commentary
General Comments On a day in which fresh news or market inputs were very limited to nonexistent, traders were forced to turn to South American weather fore...
Mercosur Regional Analysis
Corn ARGENTINA Both the old crop and new crop corn markets in Argentina have remained pretty quiet. Several sellers are still holding parcels or cargoes to...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
TPP Yes, Delusions and Death
LDP Chooses TPP: Reports indicate that Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has instructed his cabinet ministers to begin more proactively pursuing trade neg...
Oilseed Highlights
India Doubles Benchmark Vegoil Import Prices The Indian government today raised the minimum taxable price for vegoil imports as expected. The minimum impor...
Where’s the Beef, or Pork, or Chicken?
Where's the Beef, or Pork, or Chicken? It is probably unfair to delve too deeply into the meaning of the menu at the presidential inaugural luncheon, but t...
Common Thread: Perception and Reality
It has been nearly two weeks since USDA released the quarterly stocks report, final U.S. corn and soybean production estimates, planted winter wheat acreag...
Market Commentary
General Comments Overnight trade in grains and the soy complex began with mixed results. Corn and wheat seemed to want to move lower, but the continued cha...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 16-22 January 2013 Grain Market Interventions The intervention fund put up 64,793 MT of grains for exchange trading on 16 January 20...
Ignore USTR; Meat Tax and Doublespeak
USDA Ignores USTR: Part of the Obama government is upset about the growing number of government requirements around the world that goods and services be pu...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
Oilseed Highlights
Big Increase in China's Soymeal Exports in CY 2012 Since China built about twice as much soybean crush capacity as its actual crush volume, there has been...
Middle East and Mediterranean Regional Analysis
News Updates EGYPT COMMENTS The European Union last week announced that it could provide Egypt with $6.5 billion in loans, grants and credit lines. As expe...
Market Commentary
General Comments After the Monday holiday, the first trading of the week opened last night with wheat, corn and soybeans prices moving higher. There seemed...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
Will Hurricane Sandy “Reign” on the Farm Bill?
The weather in 2012 was dramatic, to say the least. The U.S. had a record drought in its heartland and a hurricane, dubbed Superstorm Sandy, on the East Co...
Unusual Trade Flows
Shifting trade flows for major agricultural commodities are usually directed by prices and comparative values. When it comes to agricultural trade, it has...
Southeast Europe Regional Analysis
Milling Wheat The wheat market in the Black Sea was very quiet this week. Apart from a rumor that a cargo of Ukrainian wheat traded at $350 FOB, there were...
Are Gridlock and Growth Key to Fiscal Future?
As Washington -- and the U.S. economy -- has been looking out over the fiscal cliff, some perspective has been lost on the economic landscape traversed in...
Market Commentary
General Comments Markets were generally firm overnight with soybeans showing more strength than corn or wheat. That changed about the time the U.S. came to...
February is Crop Insurance Month
Every year, and often several times a year, we are obliged to write about the U.S. crop insurance program. It is a very important piece of the acreage puzz...
Closing Futures Prices
WPI provides a summary of the week's futures price activity and the gains/losses experiences by grain, oilseed, and livestock markets. Additionally, today'...
Mystery Meat Ingredient: Horse Burger
Mystery Meat Ingredient: Horse Burger Last week Sweden discovered that exports of meat labeled "Argentine beef tenderloin" from Hungary were in fact dyed p...
Mercosur Regional Analysis
Soybeans: More Activity in Brazil and PNW, Little Movement in Argentina Soybeans had good movement last week in the PNW for spot positions. This origin was...
Skeptical Experts, Differences and Selfishness
Experts a Skeptical Lot: WPI surveyed 32 top level experts in the Washington agriculture and trade community, several with direct trade negotiation experie...
Oilseed Highlights
U.S. Soy Export Sales Much Higher Than Expected Market analysts surveyed by Dow Jones this week expected today's USDA export sales report to show that last...
Common Thread: Fundamentals, Cash and Spreads
We hesitate to belabor the series of reports from USDA last week. Yet we cannot stay away from them because of the changes forced upon the prevailing conve...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
Record Hot Weather, Catastrophic Fires in Australia
Australia is experiencing record fire danger and, at the time of writing this report, has over 100 wildfires. Firefighters have struggled to cope with doze...
Market Commentary
General Comments Grain and soy futures were generally weaker in overnight trading. When March soybeans could not hold above their four-week high, technical...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 8-15 January 2013 Grain Market Interventions The intervention fund put up 64,978 MT of grains for exchange trading on 15 January 201...
Russian Trade Policy
Useful Data: WTO Director General Pascal Lamy announced jointly with the OECD a new database calculating the value-added aspects of traded goods and servic...
Market Commentary
General Comments Following the bullish reports from USDA, grain and soy futures prices strengthened as the need to slow down the domestic use of corn and b...
This Week in WPI History
The soy complex dominated the markets as a "star performer" on Wednesday, 15 January 1997, and set a "firm tone" for the corn market. According to WPI's ma...
Confounding Quarterly Stocks
Well, USDA's January 2013 reports lived up to the reputation that the January reports have for being exciting. The increased final production estimates for...
Farm Policy and Schizophrenia
Vilsack Needed on Farm Bill: Previous administrations have been highly engaged with Congress in the writing of new farm bills. The Reagan Administration ha...
Oilseed Highlights
USDA Report Shows Predicting Soybean Yields Not Easy Last Friday's USDA NASS final crop production report indicated the U.S. soybean crop in 2012 totaled 3...
Middle East and Mediterranean Regional Analysis
News Updates EGYPT COMMENTS There was a great deal of discussion this week regarding financing for Egypt, much of it in hopes of supporting the Egyptian po...
Market Commentary
General Comments Prior to the 11 January reports from USDA, grain and soy markets slumped because of a sense that prices had already gone high enough, that...
Fiscal Timeline, Debt Perspective and the Farm Bill
Congress will be preoccupied with fiscal matters this year. The following is a short look at the fiscal timeline that will dictate the upcoming schedule fo...
Closing Futures Prices
Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
Market Commentary
General Comments Asia and Europe came back to work last night for the first time since USDA's reports were released last Friday. Markets opened very firm a...
China In-Country Analysis
China to Boost Biotech Industry The State Council, China's national cabinet, on 8 January announced that the government will provide further support to the...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Indian Wheat Poised For Better Price Recovery Following up on the story from 7 January 2013, the current weather conditions in North India are optimal for...
Vilsack to Make History; Farm Bureau Focuses on the Positive
USDA Secretary Tom Vilsack is in Nashville to address the American Farm Bureau Federation (AFBF). Back in Washington, USDA Director of Communications Matt...
More Interesting Points from USDA’s Reports
The markets have responded to last Friday's bullish corn and wheat reports as expected. Today's steep rally in the soybean market was perhaps a little stro...
The UnCOOL and the Useless
UnCOOL Damage: The Canadian Pork Council released the results of its study proclaiming $500 million in damages annually as a result of the U.S. Country of...
Bullish Corn and Wheat, Neutral Soybeans
Today's USDA reports were very bullish corn, somewhat bullish wheat and neutral for soybeans. Here are the key issues: Corn 1 December corn stocks more th...
TPA Fight, GSP and Commodity Shocks
TPA Moves Up: Trade Promotion Authority (TPA), the U.S. president's ability to ask Congress for an up or down vote on trade agreements, thus barring them f...
Closing Futures Prices
WPI provides a summary of the week's futures price activity and the gains/losses experiences by grain, oilseed, and livestock markets. Additionally, today'...
Southeast Europe Regional Analysis
Milling Wheat The market in the Black Sea had a quiet start after the holidays. The Russian and the Ukrainian old crop wheat positions are practically unsp...
Defining Fiscal Objectives and Framing a 2013 Farm Bill
Lost (so far) in the debate over the federal deficit and debt ceiling is perhaps the most basic question: What is the goal of federal deficit reduction? Th...
Market Commentary
General Comments It was a particularly vicious day across the agricultural markets today. Everything was weak most of the night, and that weakness turned i...
Stop Losses in Production and Marketing
Postharvest Attention: The Institution of Mechanical Engineers received media attention for its somewhat self-serving report on the post-harvest food losse...
Oilseed Highlights
Moderate Soy Export Sales Last Week Today's USDA FAS export sales reports showed moderate soy export sales last week. Total soybean export sales for 2012/1...
Closing Futures Prices
Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
Chicken Profits Fly Higher on Wings
Chicken Profits Fly Higher on Wings The holidays (and maybe more importantly, the college football bowl season and professional football playoffs) have com...
Market Commentary
General Comments There is not a lot to say about the markets during the last full trading day before the key USDA reports. Traders were working on position...
Common Thread: Genetic Modification and Wheat
The ability of scientists to introduce genetic traits from outside sources into common agricultural crops (GMO crops) has caused more controversy during th...
Market Commentary
General Comments NOAA's National Climatic Data Center released its report on 2012 which declares that the average U.S. temperature for 2012 was 55.3 degree...
This Week in WPI History
Like it or not, USDA's January reports can take their toll on the markets. Ben Beneke on Thursday, 11 January 2001 observed that a "great deal of anticipat...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain and Oilseed Markets: 24-28 December 2012 Due to the holidays (31 December – 7 January), information on the Russian grain and oilseed markets...
Lots of Interesting Stuff
Farm Bill Hurdle: Lobbyists are paid to make things happen in Washington, but ultimately their power is derived from the size and importance of the clients...
Mercosur Regional Analysis
A New Year Begins: How About Logistics? By the end of 2012, many companies were looking forward to the New Year. It had not been a good campaign in general...
Market Commentary
General Comments Trading during the overnight session was quiet and without much direction as prices chopped about narrow ranges. Fresh input was lacking,...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
Peterson Wants Farm Bill Schedule
In a letter to House Speaker John Boehner (R-Ohio), House Agriculture Committee Ranking Member Collin Peterson (D-Minnesota) has asked that the speaker and...
Oilseed Highlights
Indian Soymeal Exports Fall Sharply in December The Solvent Extractors' Association (SEA) of India this week reported that Indian soymeal exports in Decemb...
Middle East and Mediterranean Regional Analysis
News Updates EGYPT COMMENTS A meeting between Egyptian leaders and senior IMF staff is expected to be held this week in Cairo to discuss details of the $4...
More Odds and Ends
As markets and market participants make ready for the important bevy of USDA reports on Friday (11 January), we thought we should make way for them by clea...
Cliff II: Damn the Torpedoes
There was a bearish lean in everyone's outlook for 2013 agricultural commodity markets (see graph below). Presumably, there is a bearish and volatile view...
Very Important USDA Numbers to Be Released Friday
USDA will release a series of reports at 11 a.m. this Friday, 11 January that could have a major impact on markets' directions. These reports -- which incl...
Damn Imports and “Reform”
Partial Food Safety: The Obama Administration finally issued part of the proposed regulations for implementing the Food Safety Modernization Act approved...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Wheat Export Possibility: Can the 10 MMT Mark Be Reached? The government of India (GOI) and its agencies are very much concerned about the huge wheat stock...
Market Commentary
General Comments The trading pattern of the markets was reversed from the recent "norm" last night and today. That might have been a slight disturbance in...
China In-Country Analysis
Corn Sales Pick Up in Northeast China Before the New Year After the cash corn market's low trading volume trend prevailed for a couple weeks, corn sales in...
Cabinet Shake-Up
Congress is back in session, and one of the first orders of business will be to confirm several new Cabinet members, including the following: Senator Joh...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
Durum Might Become the Next “Forgotten” Grain
The durum market has done absolutely nothing over the past several months, while prices for nearly every other agricultural commodity were setting new all-...
Closing Futures Prices
WPI provides a summary of the week's futures price activity and the gains/losses experiences by grain, oilseed, and livestock markets. Additionally, today'...
2013 Farm Bill Could Be a Whole New Ball Game
The fiscal cliff legislation that brought about the nine-month extension of the 2008 Farm Bill could mean that what nearly accomplished in terms of a new f...
Market Commentary
General Comments The grain and oilseed markets continue to repeat the daily pattern we have seen since the fund liquidation started at the tail end of 2012...
Foolish Rushes and Green Urban Myths
Where Fools Rush In Twice In yesterday's report, WPI's Bob Kohlmeyer provided his commodity market prognostications for 2013 entitled, "Where Fools Rush In...
Reactionaries’ Commentary
Contrasting Reactions to Technology: New York Times food bloviator Mark Bittman's New Year's toast accuses "hyper-industrial" agriculture of causing a half...
Market Commentary
General Comments In December the Fed's FOMC voted to buy $85 billion of Treasury notes and mortgage bonds each month for an indefinite period of time. This...
Oilseed Highlights
Retroactive Biodiesel Blenders' Credits Congress and the White House ultimately worked out a legislative fix that avoided the fiscal cliff scheduled to tak...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
Where Fools Rush In
Long ago an old trader friend once told us that predicting the future is a harmless game unless one actually bets real money on his predictions. After all,...
Beef Feed Efficiency
Beef Feed Efficiency The U.S. cattle herd is at its smallest in more than 60 years and at a point where rebuilding is paramount for the future. In the near...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
This Week in WPI History
Commodities might have been the best performing asset class in 2010, but that soon changed in the following year. According to WPI's Bob Kohlmeyer on Tuesd...
2013: A Year to Rumble
Part 1 of Tax Battle Done, Longer War Ahead: There was no grand bargain in Washington over the New Year holiday, and that means more political rumble for w...
Mercosur Regional Analysis
Soybeans: Big crops in South America The last soybean campaign in South America was very disappointing. In November 2011, everyone was predicting productio...
Market Commentary
General Comments Most financial and commodity markets enthusiastically greeted the Congress's passage of a last minute fix that avoids (at least for now) t...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain and Oilseed Markets: 24-28 December 2012 Due to the holidays (31 December – 7 January), information on the Russian grain and oilseed markets...
Market Commentary
General Comments The markets started steady to higher in extremely light volume Sunday evening, with soybeans trading as much as 7-8 cents higher. Volume w...
Farm Bill Extension (Of Some Sort) Likely Today
Both House and Senate Agriculture Committee leaders have agreed to an extension (i.e. until 30 September 2013) of certain provisions of the current farm bi...
China In-Country Analysis
Illegal Drug in China's Poultry Production Raises Public Concerns China Central Television (CCTV), the nation's largest media outlet, recently reported tha...
Closing Futures Prices
Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
How Will We Start the New Year?
The New Year will get off to a very nervous start with three major factors set to impact at the least the first few weeks of trading in 2013. Those factors...
Outlook: Fantastic
Meat and Veggie Outlook: Food fashion prognosticators are saying that participants in meatless days will increase in 2013. This is likely due to a variety...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Government Increases Assured Wheat Price The Indian government (GOI) last week increased the minimum support price (MSP) for wheat by $11.81/MT, an increas...
Market Commentary
General Comments The markets today repeated the pattern of the past several sessions. They were all firm overnight led by 12- to 14-cent gains in soybeans,...
Another Very Good Year for Farmers
No matter how you cut it, 2012 was a very good year to be a famer in the U.S. Not drought, pestilence or fiscal cliff could slow the juggernaut of rising n...
Closing Futures Prices
WPI provides a summary of the week's futures price activity and the gains/losses experiences by grain, oilseed, and livestock markets. Additionally, today'...
Livestock Traceability Now in Place
Livestock Traceability Now in Place USDA is scheduled to publish the final rule on livestock traceability today after last week announcing its completion...
Oilseeds: A Look Back at 2012 and a Glimpse at 2013
As we approach the end of 2012, it is worth taking a look back at the year's major events in the oilseeds sector and what may be in store in 2013. Perhaps...
Market Commentary
General Comments Overnight trade was quiet in the absence of new inputs. Wheat was weaker with some traders trying to run ahead of index funds that are lik...
Maytagged in Washington
Fiscal Cliff: Maytagged But Not Ended The fiscal cliff will be breeched. This is inevitable given that politicians in Washington during these final days ar...
EPA Administrator Resigns
Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Administrator Lisa Jackson today announced her resignation. She is the second member of the Obama Cabinet to do so; S...
Common Thread: Kicking the Can
Kick the can is, or perhaps we should say was, a children's game, a version of hide and seek. We can recall playing it when we were very young, but our sen...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 17-21 December 2012 Grain Market Interventions The intervention fund put up 64,935 MT of grains for exchange trading on 19 December...
Market Commentary
General Comments Futures markets opened at 10:30 ET this morning for the first time since the Christmas holiday, but judging from today's very light tradin...
Outlook for Commodities; Coals to Corn
Animal Ag Beefs: For too long governments have resigned themselves to incurring the illegal trade practices of others on the basis that negotiation is bett...
Closing Futures Prices
Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
This Week in WPI History
'Twas the day after Christmas (on 26 December 2003), and all through the markets it was anything but quiet during another shortened trading session. WPI's...
Mercosur Regional Analysis
Corn Market Gains Strength Basis levels in the Argentine new corn market had been dropping slowly because of a lack of demand. Nevertheless, as FAS prices...
New House Ag Committee Democrats
Seven new Republicans were appointed to the House Agriculture committee: two farmers, a large animal vet and four others who have not been so steeped in th...
Market Commentary
General Comments Markets were firm overnight and this morning in extremely light Christmas Eve trading. In fact, trade volume was much lighter than expecte...
2012 Phenomenon: Foolish Foodies
Picking One's Battles: FDA is seeking 60 days of public comment on its proposed approval of AquAdvantage's genetically modified salmon. The environmental a...
Closing Futures Prices
Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Food Security Bill Update The much anticipated national food security bill aims to provide and distribute 24 kilograms of food grains at a subsidized price...
What I’d Really Like for Christmas
The older you get, the shorter your Christmas list gets. And so it is with me. The list not only becomes shorter but also simpler. And so it is with my mar...
Details on Cellulosic Ethanol Development
The Advanced Ethanol Coalition (AEC) this week issued an industry progress report for cellulosic biofuels that shows "a detailed look at the progress made...
Market Commentary
General Comments The world survived the end of the Mayan calendar myth. Now we must see if we survive the fiscal cliff. The failure of the House Republican...
Southeast Europe Regional Analysis
Milling Wheat The offers for Ukrainian and Russian wheat practically have disappeared due to the lack of farmers selling and bad weather in ports. Part of...
Some More Things to Keep You Up at Night
Here are a few more things to keep you up at night as we head home for the long holiday weekend. It appears we survived the end of the world according to...
Pivot, Angst, Dilution and Cliff Diving
Japanese Pivot: They were against it before they were for it. The new Japanese coalition government (LDP/New Komeito) announced post-election policy change...
Closing Futures Prices
WPI provides a summary of the week's futures price activity and the gains/losses experiences by grain, oilseed, and livestock markets. Additionally, today'...
Livestock Disaster Dropped; Farm Bill Uncertain
An amendment to the Hurricane Sandy relief bill that would have extended livestock and specialty crop disaster assistance into next year failed in the Sena...
Government Gamed and Hazed
Government Markets Typically Gamed The EU member states voted to impose a 9.6 percent tariff on ethanol imported from the U.S. over the next five years, as...
Common Thread: Grading the Crystal Ball
Back on 5 January 2012 we found our crystal ball that we had misplaced tucked in the back of a closet. We dusted it off, and looked to see what it had to s...
Change Coming to Japanese Feed and Animal Sectors
I am in Japan this week meeting with a wide array of individuals involved in Japan's trading, animal feed and animal production sectors. The meetings have...
Market Commentary
General Comments The proposed acquisition of NYSE Euronext by the InterContinental Exchange (ICE) is a continuation of the pattern of consolidation among d...
Closing Futures Prices
Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
This Week in WPI History
It's almost that time of year when markets seem to embrace the holiday mood. Looking back, the markets on Thursday, 19 December 1996 were lightly traded. F...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
Contradictions All Around
USDA, USTR Out of Sync: USDA has been at the forefront of encouraging consumption from local sources (Know Your Farmer, Know Your Food) and has had to be d...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 13-18 December 2012 Grain Market Interventions The intervention fund put up 64,990 MT of grains for exchange trading on 18 December...
Market Commentary
General Comments Overnight trading in grain and soy futures was quiet and without much direction. Dalian soybean futures posted losses following yesterday'...
Mercosur Regional Analysis
Wheat Argentina's Domestic Commerce Secretary Guillermo Moreno recently met with exporters to inform them of the 20 percent cut in export licenses. It was...
U.S. Soybean Outlook for the Next Nine Months
The first quarter (September-November) of the 2012/13 U.S. soybean year has flown by, and we are into the early weeks of the second quarter. That the first...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
Oilseed Highlights
Higher Prices Needed to Ration Soybean Demand Last week's export sales report and this week's NOPA crush report shows the pace of U.S. soybean use is quick...
Middle East and Mediterranean Regional Analysis
News Updates EGYPT COMMENTS The IMF loan agreement with Egypt has been postponed until January 2013 at the request of the Egyptian government due to the cu...
Market Commentary
General Comments Grains and the soy complex opened mixed in overnight trading, but the complex soon came under pressure from slumping soymeal prices on Chi...
Deal or No Deal
News coverage of the nation's fiscal cliff dilemma has become something akin to a game show. Just as an audience roots for contestants, the press is now ch...
House Energy Committee Prepared for RFS Reform
We have long maintained that the math behind the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) is unsustainable. As previously asserted, 2013 will be the year that RFS ref...
Policy in the News
WTO Litigation Up: The number of dispute settlement cases filed at the WTO has skyrocketed, forcing the organization to reassign staff to deal with the wor...
Argentina Struggles to Get Crops Planted
It is almost the end of December and it is still raining across much of Argentina. The forecast this week still looks wet. Over the weekend 1-2 more inches...
Market Commentary
General Comments Today was another disappointing day for the bulls. Markets opened very firm yesterday afternoon with soybeans showing double-digit gains m...
China In-Country Analysis
Soybean Crusher Operation Rate Rises in China Because China's soybean crushing margin improved in the first half of the month, the crusher operation rate h...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Egg Production to Increase in India The growth of India's egg sector in the last few years has been impressive. Even with high feed costs, production grew...
Truth and Hollow Threats
Speaking Truth to Power In an interview with the Nikkei, Japanese Foreign Trade Council Chairman Shoei Utsuda astutely explained why his country should joi...
Closing Futures Prices
WPI provides a summary of the week's futures price activity and the gains/losses experiences by grain, oilseed, and livestock markets. Additionally, today'...
Middle East Worries
This week I am in Dubai, United Arab Emirates to participate in a regional conference for the Middle East and North Africa organized by the U.S. Soybean Ex...
Sugar Versus Ethanol in Brazil
Earlier this week (see WPI 11 December) we wrote that the potential reinstatement of the biodiesel blenders' tax credit could impact Brazilian sugar ethano...
Market Commentary
General Comments Markets were trading higher across the board most of the day led by strong gains in the soy complex. Demand for soybeans and soy products...
Rationing? Where?
This week's soybean story was one of unbridled demand. Weekly U.S. soybean export sales set an all-time high for this marketing year at 1.3 MMT (47.7 milli...
WTO Cases; Standards Problems
Farm Bill Angst The House and Senate Agriculture Committees are moving closer to an agreed compromise on the farm bill's new commodity, which would accommo...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
Cattle Efficiency
Cattle Efficiency It's been said that a statistician can have his feet in a bucket of ice and his head in an oven and declare that "on average" he feels fi...
Common Thread: Some Ideas Never Die
We note with interest that a bill has been introduced in the U.S. House of Representatives that would merge the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), w...
Market Commentary
General Comments There was a reasonable volume of trade in grains and the complex overnight, and prices traded both sides. Soybeans were the strongest foll...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
Mercosur Regional Analysis
Weather and Crops Between 28 November and 5 December, soil moisture levels greatly increased in Argentina. Between 25-100 millimeters of rain fell over the...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 3-12 December 2012 Grain Market Interventions The intervention fund put up 64,880 MT of grains for exchange trading on 11 December 2...
This Week in WPI History
It was the best of times, it was the worst of times. According to WPI's Emily French, during the week ending Friday, 10 December 2004, wheat was the story...
Market Commentary
General Comments The December meeting of the Federal Reserve's FOMC was expected to be pro forma, but it developed into something more. The Fed redefined a...
Blaming Ethanol; Gut Insurance
USG Blames Ethanol A report by the U.S. government's National Intelligence Council entitled "Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds" this week brought medi...
Middle East and Mediterranean Regional Analysis
News Updates EGYPT COMMENTS The state of the Egyptian government and economy seems to change daily, adding a great deal of insecurity to the business envir...
Biodiesel Blenders’ Credit Could Help Corn Ethanol
As we have reported in the past, the disparity in Renewable Identification Number (RIN) prices for conventional versus advanced ethanol has been a de facto...
Oilseed Highlights
Pushing High-Oleic Soybeans The United Soybean Board (USB) last week committed to a five-year multimillion-dollar effort to expand the production of high-o...
Market Commentary
General Comments There is not much to say about today's grain and soy markets except that wheat reacted to bearish numbers, and the other markets reacted t...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
USDA’s December WASDE
The December WASDE met everyone's expectations, which is to say that without fresh production estimates for U.S. corn and soybeans, it was broadly unexciti...
Fiscal Cliff Outcome Predicted
Ag Secretary for USDA USDA Secretary Tom Vilsack's heavily reported comments at last week's Farm Journal Forum were at once instructive and disappointing...
Fiscal Cliff Diving
The news is saturated with talk about the fiscal cliff and its impact on the economy. What if -- just for argument's sake -- the cliff is not as big as we...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Sugarcane and Sugar Pricing Deficient monsoon rains have negatively affected sugarcane crop yields, according to an Indian Ministry of Agriculture report...
China In-Country Analysis
China Purchases 30 MMT of Grain for Reserves As previously reported, the Chinese government began its state reserve purchase program in early November. By...
Market Commentary
General Comments Markets were basically steady during much of the overnight trading hours with soybeans trading back and forth while corn and wheat were ge...
Talk, Talk, Sue
Price of Non-Enforcement U.S. officials have warned Russia that its announced ban on imports of beef and pork with residues of the lean muscle enhancing dr...
No Surprises in Tomorrow’s USDA Reports
USDA tomorrow will release its December WASDE numbers at 7:30 a.m., and the open outcry session will start trading at 7:20 a.m. as a result. This will be t...
Closing Futures Prices
Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
Closing Futures Prices
WPI provides a summary of the week's futures price activity and the gains/losses experiences by grain, oilseed, and livestock markets. Additionally, today'...
Greed, Milking for Drugs
Greed and Climate Change: Greed will cause UN climate change negotiations to end this weekend in Doha, Qatar without agreement. The negotiations were made...
Market Commentary
General Comments It was another quiet session in the markets overnight. Soybeans were steady to slightly higher while corn and wheat were steady to slightl...
More Things to Keep You Up at Night
Bob Kohlmeyer and John Baize both wrote about the U.S. and world soybean situation this week. It is indeed fascinating, and it is almost a certainty that i...
Tea Partier Booted From Ag Committee
Gary Blumenthal yesterday wrote about the newest Republican members of the House Agriculture Committee and the controversy surrounding the removal of Tim H...
Southeast Europe Regional Analysis
Milling Wheat Some limited offers for Ukrainian and Russian wheat can still be found for December/January, but buyers are very reluctant because of the ris...
Closing Futures Prices
Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
FDA Sued Over Antibiotics Data
COOL Deadline in May A World Trade Organization (WTO) arbitrator on Monday decided that the United States has until 23 May 2013 to bring the country of ori...
Mercosur Regional Analysis
Weather and Crops Rain continued to fall across Argentina last week, especially over the central-northern part of the agricultural region. More rain in the...
Common Thread: A Tale of Timing
USDA will release the December WASDE next Tuesday, 11 December. This will be the last WASDE scheduled to be released at the traditional 8:30 a.m. ET. Start...
Oilseed Highlights
Expanding DETs Paraguay's national Senate approved legislation imposing a 10 percent export tax on unprocessed soybeans as well as on wheat and corn. The m...
Market Commentary
General Comments Unexciting and low volume characterized the overnight Globex trading. Markets are still starved for something on which to trade. At least...
DSP Slugfest; Farm Bill Hope
Dispute Settlement Slugfest: Trade lawyers this week find themselves up to their keisters in WTO dispute settlement cases. For too long trade litigation ha...
Ice, Ricecapades and Nusantara Games
COOL on Ice It will be more than four-and-a-half years after the U.S. implemented an intentionally discriminatory country of origin labeling (COOL) require...
Closing Futures Prices
Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
This Week in WPI History
With USDA set to release the WASDE next Tuesday, 11 December, it's worth remembering that while the December supply and demand revisions typically do not s...
Market Commentary
General Comments Once again, traders had nothing new to go on during the overnight session other than the ability of yesterday's market to defend its recen...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 26-30 November 2012 Grain Market Interventions The intervention fund put up 64,935 MT of grains for exchange trading on 4 December...
The Soybean Oil Show
It has been a strange 12 months for the soybean complex to say the least. The drought in Brazil and Argentina that stretched from December 2011 through Feb...
Oilseed Highlights
Update on Global Sunseed Supply Periodically it is worthwhile to take a look at each of the main oilseed sectors other than soybeans and rapeseed. In this...
Ag Review: Silver Bullets from Food Science
Silver Bullets from Food Science Researchers and industry are on a path where food will solve some of the largest risks to human health: non-communicable d...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
Middle East and Mediterranean Regional Analysis
News Updates EGYPT COMMENTS Not much specifically pertaining to grain from Egypt this week, other than the GASC tender details shown further down in the re...
Market Commentary
General Comments Markets feed on what can be loosely defined as news, and when fresh supplies of news are limited, markets can grow tired and head for the...
Holiday Shopping Shows Signs of Recovering Economy
While Washington is locked in high stakes negotiations over the fiscal cliff, the economy is doing just fine, thank you. It's not flourishing, but it is no...
Senator Vitter Fights Carbon Tax
With all the talk about new taxes and their potential role in deficit reduction, Senator Bruce Vitter (R-Louisiana) and Representative Mike Pompeo (R-Kansa...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Different Takes on India's Economy India's economic growth slipped to a nine-year low of 6.5 percent for 2011/12 and to 5.5 percent for the quarter ending...
China In-Country Analysis
Economic Slowdown Curbs China's Meat Consumption China's economic growth has shown signs of slowing down, falling from 8.1 percent (Q1) to 7.6 percent (Q2)...
Closing Futures Prices
Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
Market Commentary
General Comments If you have grown tired of the "risk on, risk off" analysis, so have we. But today we were back to "risk on." World financial markets were...
Egypt Buys U.S. Wheat
Wheat has been the topic of conversation for the past few weeks. We have pointed out that U.S. and world supplies continue to decline as production levels...
The Farm Bill and the Fiscal Cliff
It is hard to handicap the progress of the farm bill. There is growing momentum to attach the bill to a "grand compromise" fiscal-cliff averting package. T...
U.S. HRW Wheat Yield Potential Shrinking Fast
The U.S. drought continues to worsen, particularly across the central Southern Plains where the HRW wheat crop is produced. The weekly crop ratings have co...
Closing Futures Prices
WPI provides a summary of the week's futures price activity and the gains/losses experiences by grain, oilseed, and livestock markets. Additionally, today'...
Market Commentary
General Comments Markets leaked lower overnight, this time led by weakness in the soy complex. It was first notice day for deliveries against the December...
Southeast Europe Regional Analysis
Milling Wheat Offers for Ukrainian and Russian wheat are difficult to find, especially for January onwards. The Ukrainian government still has not declared...
Job Killers; Hail EFSA
Farm Bill Movements If a deal can be reached on the fiscal cliff, it looks likely that a new farm bill could be part of the plan following that signal from...
Common Thread: Supply and Demand and Mother Nature
"Everyone talks about the weather, but no one does anything about it." This is an old cliche, the truth of which has never been more evident than during th...
Oilseed Highlights
Large U.S. Soymeal and Soyoil Exports Sales, Soybean Sales Slump Today's USDA Export Sales report indicated U.S. exporters last week had net export sales o...
Pork Getting Grilled by Interest Groups
Pork Getting Grilled by Interest Groups First, the Humane Society of the United States (HSUS) filed a complaint with USDA alleging that the National Pork B...
Closing Futures Prices
Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
Mercosur Regional Analysis
Weather and Crops More rain fell across most of Argentina's agricultural area during the past week. The map below indicates the amount received as of 26 No...
Policy Machinations Abound
Trading Dysfunction: Usually Brussels appears to be dysfunctional and Washington efficient by comparison, but it seems to be the opposite at the moment. Wh...
Market Commentary
General Comments Overnight trade in grains and the soy complex opened slightly lower, and then slightly edged above the previous closes. Volume was light...
Search for Frank Politicians
Frankness When Abroad: EU Parliament President Martin Schultz made clear in Washington this week that Brussels greatly desires a Trans-Atlantic trade agree...
Market Commentary
General Comments Overnight grain and soy futures activity basically involved traders stepping back and taking deep breaths after yesterday's big rally. Vol...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 19-23 November 2012 Export Update Russia has exported 11.38 MMT of grains since 1 July 2012, according to the Russian Ministry of Ag...
This Week in WPI History
A little over four years ago (see WPI Wednesday, 26 November 2008), China and the EU announced their respective economic stimulus packages, prompting WPI's...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
Old Crop Corn Versus New Crop Wheat
Wheat markets finally have begun to focus on the continued severe drought covering the Plains HRW production area. USDA's weekly crop condition report for...
Oilseed Highlights
EU Biodiesel Imports Will Reach Record High Level in 2012 Oil World indicates the EU is likely to import a record volume of biodiesel in CY 2012. During th...
Middle East and Mediterranean Regional Analysis
News Updates EGYPT COMMENTS There was quite a bit of news on the IMF $4.8 billion loan to Egypt this week, but unfortunately not all of it was good. Midwee...
Wayward Agendas
Brazil's Currency War: The major players shot down Brazil's effort to create teeth in the global trading rules (WTO) for countering intentional currency ma...
Market Commentary
General Comments Grain and soy markets have plenty of things to chew on these days. On the macro side there is the on again-off again-on again Greek debt r...
Closing Futures Prices
Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
Farm Bill and Budget Deal
Lawmakers are resigned to the likely eventuality that the farm bill will be subject to an extension -- possibly up to a year, maybe shorter. The one hope o...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
E-Mails from Southern Hemisphere Farmers
Over the weekend I received e-mails from three Southern Hemisphere farmers whom I have known for many years. I thought their comments were worth sharing in...
China In-Country Analysis
China to Suspend Soybean State Reserve Auction China's National Grains and Oil Information Center (CNGOIC) recently announced that starting from the week o...
Congressional Ag Committees Musical Chairs
Congress is back for the lame duck session, and the Representatives- and Senators-elect are in Washington for orientation. Wherever there is a group of pol...
Market Commentary
General Comments Some people expected fireworks when markets opened Sunday afternoon following the long holiday weekend, but they were disappointed. Corn,...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Ethanol Blending Program in India Takes Off The Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs (CCEA) has finally approved a new ethanol blending program, making it...
Collusion, Moral Hazard, and Miscellany
Un-Free and Unfair Trade As previously noted (see WPI 21 November), the U.S. Commerce Department is allowing tomato growers in the U.S. and Mexico to collu...
Back to the Future
Today felt like the good old days in many respects. The most important one is that no markets opened until 9:30 a.m. this morning and they closed at noon...
Market Commentary
General Comments Markets were dark from 2:00 p.m. last Wednesday until 9:30 a.m. this morning. It was one of those rare days when it felt like the "good ol...
Closing Futures Prices
WPI provides a summary of the week's futures price activity and the gains/losses experiences by grain, oilseed, and livestock markets. Additionally, today'...
AFPM Wants 2013 Biodiesel RVO Reconsidered
While the market awaits the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) to set the 2013 "renewable volume obligations" (RVOs) for all biofuels except biodiesel (...
Mercosur Regional Analysis
Wheat Market The old crop wheat market has disappeared. New crop wheat is being harvested and the first shipment will take place in December. No trades wer...
This Week in WPI History
With Thanksgiving nearly upon us, it is time to see if the "turkey trend" holds true once again. As WPI's Bob Kohlmeyer once described (WPI 21 November 200...
Market Commentary
General Comments Today's price action reminds me of an observation a friend once made about prices within a trend. My friend, a Chinese commodity trader, n...
Ignoring the Payers
Consumers Missing in Tomato Spat: U.S. Commerce Undersecretary for International Trade Francisco Sanchez told reporters that the antidumping dispute on tom...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 12-16 November 2012 Grain Market Interventions The intervention fund put up 64,899 MT of grains for exchange trading on 14 November...
Middle East and Mediterranean Regional Analysis
News Updates EGYPT COMMENTS GASC, Egypt's main government wheat buyer, has officially dropped Ukraine from its list of approved suppliers. However, it was...
Common Thread: Food for Thought
Being involved in agriculture and agribusiness, being once a farm owner, and being a long time consumer of food, we watched with more than just passing int...
Market Commentary
General Comments The CME markets are beginning to recognize that the problem of low water in the Mississippi River and probable restrictions on draft are l...
Closing Futures Prices
Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
Extortion, Distortion and Irony
Trade Negotiation Indicators: A 'round the globe update ... Regional/FTAs: Trade negotiations are alive and well. The newly announced Asia-Pacific center...
Oilseed Highlights
Noble Group to Build Soybean Crush Plant in Paraguay An official with a Paraguay industry group (CAPPRO) today said Noble Group plans to build a soybean cr...
RFA Seeks USTR Assistance With Ethanol Exports To Brazil
The Renewable Fuels Association (RFA) sent a letter last Friday to Ron Kirk, the U.S. Trade Representative, regarding U.S. ethanol exports to Brazil. The l...
Closing Futures Prices
Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
Market Commentary
General Comments It was one of those rare "risk on" days today following what seems like weeks of fear-related selling. The fiscal cliff suddenly has becom...
China In-Country Analysis
Significant Amount of New Rapeseed Crop Left Unprocessed in China Recent statistics show that about 5.9 MMT of rapeseed in China are being purchased by gra...
Thoughts From Wheat Conferences
I participated in two large wheat conferences over the past two weeks. One was the ALIM conference in Merida, Mexico, and the other was for wheat buyers an...
Fiscal Cliff Framework
This weekend, Republican congressional leaders sat at the White House to discuss how to avoid the fiscal cliff. The media covered the meeting with great en...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Corn Exports from India to Continue The world grain situation remains tight amid speculation about India's wheat business. There are questions about wheat...
Market Commentary
General Comments There were all sorts of factors affecting the grain and oilseed markets today, none of which were supportive. The worries included: The...
EPA Denies RFS Waiver Request
The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) today denied requests from several governors and the livestock industry to waive the Renewable Fuel Standard...
Southeast Europe Regional Analysis
Milling Wheat The Ukrainian government warned Egypt's GASC that Ukrainian wheat exports would be banned starting 1 December. This news did not come as a su...
A Few More Things to Keep You Up at Night
There has been no shortage of things to keep us awake at night, but here are a few more to worry about: Fiscal cliffs. They seem to be everywhere. Keep s...
Closing Futures Prices
WPI provides a summary of the week's futures price activity and the gains/losses experiences by grain, oilseed, and livestock markets. Additionally, today'...
Oilseed Highlights
Korea Starts Buying New Crop South American Soymeal Two Korean feed manufacturing groups today bought one cargo each of South American soymeal for delivery...
Era of Agreement
Environment for Legislation Earlier this year so many in the U.S. Congress deemed passing permanent normal trading relations (PNTR) with Russia to be such...
Market Commentary
General Comments As dire as the U.S. soybean and corn supply situation may prove to be, futures markets can trade on them only so long before turning to so...
Taxes, Chicken and Welfare Gains
Broken Organic Window The Union of Concerned Scientists (UCS) has frequently proven its ignorance of both science and economics. Once again, it was economi...
Mercosur Regional Analysis
Weather and Crops The Buenos Aires Grain Exchange released its Weekly Agricultural Outlook last Thursday, 8 November. During that week (1-8 November), week...
Common Thread: Waiting for Exports
A friend, whose two passions in life, aside from his family, are commodity futures markets and the theater, recently likened the corn and wheat markets to...
Cattle on Feed Down, Hamburger Up
Last month's feeder calf placements data points to a changing supply situation for the beef market next quarter. Similarly, feedlots' fed cattle marketings...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
The Poor and Kicking the Can
Farm Income Fails Poor William Savedoff of the Center for Global Development notes that evaluations of farmer training programs funded by the Millennium Ch...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 5-9 November 2012 Export Updates Last month Russia exported 350,037 MT of barley, down 1.5 percent from October 2011. Of that amount...
Factors for Asian Corn Buyers to Consider
The prospect of locking in multiple months of corn futures in a clock contract that has an average price somewhere between $6.75-7.25 should not be neglect...
This Week in WPI History
WPI's Dan Basse observed that single-minded liquidation was the theme at the start of the week of 12 November 2007. Especially concerning was slowing...
Market Commentary
General Comments Overnight futures trade saw a modest bounce in grain and soybean prices following yesterday's open outcry session that saw corn, soybeans...
Updated Corn Market Outlook
Following the November WASDE released last Friday, the market's attention was primarily focused soybeans and USDA's increased yield and production estimate...
Killing Social Agriculture
Farm Bill Angle Aggies are trying every angle feasible for getting a five-year farm bill through the lame duck Congress. The latest is offering up the cuts...
Middle East and Mediterranean Regional Analysis
News Updates EGYPT COMMENTs The Egyptian government said that the amount it pays out to farmers for wheat will increase by 5.2 percent for the 2013 wheat s...
Oilseed Highlights
DETs Under Attack The EU Commission will undertake an anti-dumping investigation into biodiesel imports from Argentina and Indonesia. The investigation was...
Market Commentary
General Comments Grain and soy futures markets tried to rally in overnight trade, and prices moved modestly higher mostly due to profit-taking, although en...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
Lame Duck: Did Obama Set Precedent in 2010?
Congress is back in session today after a brief campaign recess (even though the campaigns weren't so brief). One of the first orders of business is the pe...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
Ethanol and a Potential Obama Energy Bill
We've been predicting for about a year that Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) reform will ripen as an issue in 2013. We stand by that. There will be a controve...
Wheat Could Take the Lead
Last Friday's USDA reports have clearly removed the soybean and oilseeds markets from the leadership position -- at least for now. The big soybean producti...
Market Commentary
General Comments The U.S. government and the banking system were closed today for the Veteran's Day holiday. There were no USDA reports. The weekly export...
China In-Country Analysis
China Rice Imports Increase Sharply in 2012 According to the latest data from China Customs, China's first nine months of rice imports reached 1.87 MMT, a...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Will India's Economic Growth Keep Pace? India's economic growth may stagnate anywhere between 5-6 percent this fiscal year, and may continue to fall below...
Market Commentary
General Comments Markets were lower most of the overnight period as traders anticipated that the USDA reports would be at least bearish soybeans and at bes...
Post-Election Scuttlebutt
The political class is the chattering class. With the election over, most denizens in Washington cannot help but spread -- or even create -- some informed...
EU Sings U.S. Ag Song
De Gucht Sings U.S. Ag Song U.S. agriculture groups are insisting that any Trans-Atlantic trade negotiation must include improved access for their products...
USDA Report Bearish Soybeans
Today's USDA crop production estimates and WASDE revisions confirmed what the market has been expecting (and trading) for the past week or longer. The U.S...
Closing Futures Prices
WPI provides a summary of the week's futures price activity and the gains/losses experiences by grain, oilseed, and livestock markets. Additionally, today'...
Southeast Europe Regional Analysis
Milling Wheat Ukraine's wheat export ban has yet to be made official. The government has been criticized by both the EU and the IMF after last month announ...
Mercosur Regional Analysis
Weather and Crops No rains fell in Argentina's agricultural area during the past week. In fact, most areas received sunny, hot weather that helped dry the...
Market Commentary
General Comments The December corn contract basically has been forming a consolidating-wedge pattern since the middle of October. Normally, the formation o...
Animal Elections: Feed Costs Weren’t the Only Expense in 2012
Animal Elections The most expensive presidential election in U.S. history is over. How did the animal agriculture industry fare with who/what they backed a...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
Fight Fire With Fire
One day after losing their bid in California to require labeling of foods produced with biotech, antagonists are saying they will "out" foods with such con...
Common Thread: Food Prices, Food Security and Foodies
In yesterday's WPI report, Gary Blumenthal and Dave Juday gave their assessments of the effect of the U.S. election results on various issues related to U...
Oilseed Highlights
China to Buy New Crop Soybeans from Farmers Reports out of China indicate China's National Development and Reform Commission next week will send a proposal...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 29 October – 2 November 2012 Grain Market Interventions The intervention fund put up 64,935 MT of grains for exchange trading on 6 N...
Post-Election Predictions
It was a status quo election from the standpoint of political control in Washington, but that does not mean that things stand still or can now move forward...
Changes for Ag in Otherwise Status Quo Election
If there is one thing for which the Congressional Agriculture Committees historically have been known for, it is their bipartisan cooperation. A prime exam...
This Week in WPI History
As Greece readies itself for a crucial vote on new austerity measures, it seems appropriate to look back and see how European sovereign debt problems weigh...
Market Commentary
General Comments After the costliest election ever, President Obama won a second term, the Democrats increased their margin of control in the Senate (thoug...
Closing Futures Prices
Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
Oilseed Highlights
Soybean Plantings in Argentina Delayed by Flooding Last year Argentina suffered a severe drought that sharply cut its soybean production. This year the pro...
Market Commentary
General Comments Today is Election Day, and most U.S. markets closed higher. The Dow was up 133 points several minutes before the stock markets close. The...
Closing Futures Prices
Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
Slumping Derivative Volume
The Futures Industry Association (FIA), the principal trade association for the derivatives industry, periodically publishes a variety of information on de...
Money and Beef
Years of Missing Beef A Japanese Health Ministry panel approved the age increase from 20 months to 30 months for cattle supplying imported beef. The 20-mon...
Ag Review: The Future of Food II
The Future of Food II Foodies are working hard to return the food system to the good old days, but actual consumer choices make high-technology food the li...
Middle East and Mediterranean Regional Analysis
News Updates EGYPT COMMENTS IMF officials are now in Cairo to negotiate the $4.8 billion loan that has been discussed for several months now. The IMF group...
Ag Committee Elections Preview
Today is Election Day in the United States. Up for grabs are the presidency, all House seats and one-third of the Senate. Since we last wrote about the sta...
China In-Country Analysis
China's January-September Wheat Imports Reach Seven-Year High China's January-September wheat imports reached a seven-year high at 3.21 MMT. Though it is t...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
India Increases Support Prices In a politically motivated decision that is going to cost government of India more, the Cabinet Committee on Economic Affair...
Closing Futures Prices
Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
Market Commentary
General Comments The soy complex started the week on a lower note Sunday with corn and wheat markets steady. Overnight volume was moderate. Soybeans were s...
2013 Acreage Race is Underway
Last week I was in central North Dakota along with 40 or 50 farmers at a meeting sponsored by the Carrington Area Farm Business Management group. Certainly...
GSP and Sustainability
GSP and the 21st Century The European Union has announced a revision to its Generalized System of Preferences (GSP) that grants duty-free access for goods...
Closing Futures Prices
WPI provides a summary of the week's futures price activity and the gains/losses experiences by grain, oilseed, and livestock markets. Additionally, today'...
Fiscal Cliff: Estate Tax on Farms
In terms of agriculture, the estate tax is one of the bigger concerns in the potpourri of issues that make up the impending fiscal cliff. If left unaddre...
Aussie Wheat Production Declines from Previous Record Levels
The Australian wheat harvest has all but begun, with deliveries in Western Australia and Queensland. Harvest is not expected to begin in earnest for anothe...
Market Commentary
General Comments Markets were soft overnight and this morning with soybeans showing the greatest weakness. Corn, soybean and wheat futures did not close we...
Common Thread: Autumn Trends
Two months certainly do not make a crop year, but for corn and soybeans this past September and October have provided plenty of interesting things to consi...
Will U.S.-Iran Nuke Confrontation Affect SoAm Ag Trade?
Soybean production in Brazil has been spilling over into Brazilian pasture land, forcing more confinement feeding of Brazilian beef. This corresponds with...
Closing Futures Prices
Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
Oilseed Highlights
EPA Meeting with Industry on Fake Biodiesel RINs Officials from the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) will be meeting with industry representatives ove...
Market Commentary
General Comments Yesterday's price rally carried into the overnight session and then into the day session this morning. There may have been some first-of-t...
EU Budget Cuts
CAP Reform At the insistence of the net contributors to the budget in Brussels, the EU's Council of Ministers issued a recommendation for at least 5.65 bil...
Mercosur Regional Analysis
Weather and Crops More rain fell over a majority of Argentina's agricultural area in the past day. The map below shows the rainfall received during 1-22 Oc...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 22-26 October 2012 Harvesting Update As of 26 October, Russian farmers have harvested 72.2 MMT of grains and grain legumes: 39.6 M...
Market Commentary
General Comments With the NYSE open and East Coast banks and funds back in operation, grain and soy futures markets seemed to spark up not only in terms of...
This Week in WPI History
Market observers certainly have had their fill of excitement during these last few months. That is a marked change from Friday, 29 October 1999, when WPI's...
War on Ag Update
Battle Over Scale Catherine Badgley, a University of Michigan ecologist, says she envisions a U.S. shift from fewer large farms to many small farms -- and...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
Middle East and Mediterranean Regional Analysis
News Updates EGYPT COMMENTS The end of Ukrainian wheat exports has been a source of worry in Egypt. Egypt's GASC has several lots of the wheat pending, as...
Sandy’s Aftermath
About the time Hurricane Sandy roared ashore near Ocean City, New Jersey, meteorologists decided that it had lost its status as a tropical system. Sandy co...
Oilseed Highlights
New Canola Plant to Be Built in Oklahoma Traditionally, canola is not a crop that has been grown in Oklahoma. However, producers have been experimenting wi...
Free Fatty Acids and Other Advanced Pathways for Biofuels
The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) last month approved the "advanced" categorization for a new process that creates biodiesel from biogenic waste oi...
Ag Subsidy Cuts Expected
U.S. Senator Charles Grassley (R-Iowa) says he doesn't believe next week's election will have much impact on the farm bill debate and the legislation's cou...
Market Commentary
General Comments After Superstorm Sandy crimped both trading volume and risk tolerance yesterday, grain and soy markets returned to the real world today. S...
Subsidies and Male Pattern Baldness
Slowing Urban Sprawl American urban consumers are in a rage over eating local. Somehow the undocumented benefits include slowing the rise of the oceans and...
China In-Country Analysis
Meat and Poultry Production Up 5 Percent China's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) recently announced that the country's pork, beef, mutton and poultry p...
Market Commentary
General Comments Today was a very strange trading day for a number of reasons: The superstorm now blitzing the East Coast has closed most of the governme...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
U.S. Soybean Outlook Can Still Be Interesting in 2013/14
Last Friday we took a peek at the potential U.S. corn outlook for the 2013/14 marketing year and how it might be quite bearish if weather and yields shift...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Voices Against GM Moratorium A Technical Expert Committee (TEC) appointed by India's Supreme Court has recommended a 10-year moratorium on any field trials...
The 2012 Election
This may be one of the most difficult presidential elections to predict in modern history -- or at least the history of polling. The election is one week a...
Market Commentary
General Comments Today was one of the quietest and more boring days for anyone watching the markets in a long time. Soybeans were weak all night and throug...
2013/14 Corn Outlook Can Easily Be Bearish
Old crop corn and soybean market direction will now be determined by demand. We might see small changes to the U.S. crop production estimates in the Novemb...
Southeast Europe Regional Analysis
Milling Wheat Ukrainian and Russian wheat are not competitive anymore. Some offers for Ukrainian wheat were still available earlier this week. After the ex...
Closing Futures Prices
WPI provides a summary of the week's futures price activity and the gains/losses experiences by grain, oilseed, and livestock markets. Additionally, today'...
Speculation: Commodities and Politics
Farm Policy Scheduled Both U.S. and European leaders are indicating new farm policy will be moving forward under their respective jurisdictions. The Commis...
Sugar Ethanol in the U.S.
There has been a lot of attention focused on the possibility of Brazilian sugar ethanol entering the United States this year, but a quick read of USDA's Oc...
House Ag Committee Fails Foodie Agenda
Beef Feedlots North and South America USDA's latest Cattle on Feed report showed the total number of cattle on feed at 10.89 million head, down 3 percent c...
Market Commentary
General Comments Overnight trade in grains and the soy complex was mixed in terms of price action, although trading volume held up well in the face of a de...
Common Thread: Prop Trading
One of the most contentious parts of the massive and controversial Dodd-Frank financial market reform legislation passed by Congress in 2010 is the so-call...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
Europe Loses Oilseed Clout
This week I have been attending a conference in Spain organized by the U.S. Soybean Export Council to discuss issues related to soymeal, sustainability and...
Post-Election Planning and Grease
Election Economic Impacts With the U.S. presidential race neck and neck, policy planners have begun mapping out scenarios for fiscal management and trade p...
Market Commentary
General Comments The Fed's FOMC closed its regular two-day October meeting without changing any of its policy initiatives or adding any new ones. This incl...
This Week in WPI History
Corn started and ended the week of 24-28 October 2011 as the lead grain, and according to WPI analyst David Poe, the rally "seem[ed] to have presented an o...
Mercosur Regional Analysis
Draft Survey Some analysis has appeared regarding a new dispute between the Argentine government and exporters about a draft survey. The Customs Office is...
Closing Futures Prices
Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
Who’s the Fool? Pediatricians Versus EPA
Pediatricians or EPA the Fool? The American Academy of Pediatrics (AAP) has caused a stir with its charge that the federal standards for pesticide residues...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 15-19 October 2012 Harvesting Update As of 19 October, the Russian farmers harvested 71.8 MMT of grains and grain legumes: 39.5 MM...
Market Commentary
General Comments In typical "Turnaround Tuesday" fashion grain and soy prices weakened in overnight trade with yesterday's rally attracting some early prof...
Lies, Damn Lies and Statistics
Ag Productivity On the one hand, agricultural productivity has been terrific. It moves along at a 1.67 percent annual rate, which by one estimate accounts...
Overview of Global Soyoil Consumption by Country
The driving force for soybean demand and prices in the last couple of years has been continued strong soymeal demand, particularly in Asia. The soybean sup...
Middle East and Mediterranean Regional Analysis
NEWS UPDATES EGYPT COMMENTS Egypt's Agriculture Minister has said that the country will be able to grow sufficient wheat for all subsidized bread pr...
Advanced Biofuels Research for Northeast
In Secretary Tom Vilsack's words, USDA is reacting to the "challenge of meeting the Renewable Fuel Standard" and the 36 billion gallons of renewable fuel b...
U.S. Wheat and Corn Exports
Futures markets seem to be taking a schizophrenic view of the supply/demand situation facing U.S. corn and wheat. Traders are well aware that the worst dro...
Closing Futures Prices
Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
China In-Country Analysis
China to launch new legislation on green food label China's Ministry of Agriculture (MOA) recently revised the 1993 version of the Measures for the...
Some More Things To Keep You Up At Night
ADM is making a move to acquire GrainCorp, Ltd., the major grain handler in eastern Australia. It was reported last week that ADM had increased i...
Closing Futures Prices
Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
Market Commentary
General Comments Markets were firm to strong in the Sunday evening session, and continued that strength through most of this morning before backing off aro...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
India's milk production high, quality low India has been the world leader in milk production in recent years, and will continue to be thanks to the large n...
Fiscal Cliff On Main Street
Creighton University's October 2012 "Mid-American Money Report", which is a survey of bank Presidents and CEO's across 10 central states from Minnesota and...
Closing Futures Prices
WPI provides a summary of the week's futures price activity and the gains/losses experiences by grain, oilseed, and livestock markets. Additionally, today'...
Market Commentary
General Comments Grain and soy futures markets generally tapered down today to end a choppy up-and-down week with spurts of heavy trading volume interspers...
Southeast Europe Regional Analysis
Milling Wheat Ukraine announced a wheat export ban beginning 15 November. Since the start of the campaign, about 3.5 MMT have been exported from Ukraine. W...
China Currency Manipulation
If President Obama were of the mind to label China a currency manipulator, this week would have been the perfect opportunity. The Treasury Department was t...
U.S. Winter Wheat Acres Will Expand in 2013
Last Monday's crop progress report showed that 71 percent of the U.S. 2013 winter wheat crop has been planted. That is exactly on the five-year average for...
Common Thread: Changing Times
Yesterday's announcement of the sale of the Kansas City Board of Trade (KCBOT) to the CME Group is another reminder of just how much the grain business in...
Market Commentary
General Comments Markets started steady to slightly better yesterday afternoon and the momentum higher continued to build throughout today's session. The b...
Traceability for Antibiotics in Feed
Traceability for Antibiotics in Feed Energy and Commerce Committee Ranking Member Congressman Henry Waxman this week announced that he will introduce...
Policy Contrasts and New Directions
U.S.-EU Contrast on Biofuel The EU announced its new policy is to limit biofuel made from food to 5 percent, end its subsidies by 2020, and mandate a 60 pe...
Closing Futures Prices
Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
Oilseed Highlights
USDA Releases Final 2011/12 Export Sales Report for Soymeal and Soyoil USDA today released the final export sales reports for soymeal and soyoil for the 20...
Mercosur Regional Analysis
Corn The corn market in Argentina continues to be relatively quiet. Offers for old crop corn are scarce, with sellers asking for 15 October and November sh...
This Week in WPI History
"Nothing is certain except that nothing is certain." The same can be said about the markets' often unpredictable nature. Bob Kohlmeyer commented on this ca...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 8-12 October 2012 Harvesting Updates The Russian Ministry of Agriculture on 12 October updated its total grain harvest forecast for...
Closing Futures Prices
Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
Market Commentary
General Comments The CME Group has agreed to buy the Kansas City Board of Trade (KCBOT) for $126 million, according to news reports today. The KCBOT wheat...
What You Won’t Hear About in Tonight’s Debate
The second presidential debate will be held tonight in New York City, and a group of undecided voters will be posing the questions. It is unlikely that the...
Oilseed Highlights
Scientists Discover Gene Controlling Resistance to Cyst Nematode in Soybeans The cyst nematode is the most costly pest that impacts soybean yields in the U...
Market Commentary
General Comments Grain and soy futures traded higher overnight, and they tried to maintain that momentum today. It worked for a time, but the momentum was...
Insulted and Confused
Geography and Politics The farm bill may be an issue in some political contests this year (see Dave Juday's piece on 15 October), but it does not define mo...
Middle East and Mediterranean Regional Analysis
News Updates EGYPT COMMENTS In order to control the fuel shortage problems in the country and attack the expensive fuel subsidy programs, the Egyptian gove...
What Now?
During the last several weeks, investment/speculative money has been fleeing long positions in commodity markets for agriculture, energy and metals. Lookin...
Closing Futures Prices
Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
India's Economic Growth Are India's economic woes over, and could there be an economic turnaround? Experts believe that a turnaround could happen in the ne...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
Market Commentary
General Comments There was no letup in the selling pressures across the soy complex when markets opened Sunday evening. The selling in soybeans spread over...
Farm Bill in the Election
Mitt Romney last week blamed the lack of a completed farm bill out of Congress on the lack of leadership from the White House (see Gary Blumenthal, WPI 9 O...
2013 Crop Insurance Price Guarantees
Price levels for the federal crop insurance programs have been a crucial ingredient in the net farm income levels of farmers, and the crop revenue insuranc...
China In-Country Analysis
High Expectations for New Corn Price This is the time of the year when the Chinese government's procurement price for new crop corn becomes a hot topic amo...
Markets Muffled Despite Bullish USDA Reports
Yesterday's USDA supply and demand estimates should be considered at least somewhat bullish. U.S. ending supply estimates for corn, wheat and soybeans sugg...
Market Commentary
General Comments Markets opened weak yesterday afternoon. That weakness continued to build throughout the night and accelerated at 9:30 a.m. when the open...
Food Fight IV
Food Fight IV Foodie Michael Pollan wrote in The New York Times that California's Prop 37 requiring labeling of boiotech foods is not about food safety or...
Southeast Europe Regional Analysis
Milling Wheat Wheat prices in the Black Sea remained about unchanged this week. The liquidity is shrinking as the offered volume is decreasing significantl...
Closing Futures Prices
WPI provides a summary of the week's futures price activity and the gains/losses experiences by grain, oilseed, and livestock markets. Additionally, today'...
Automakers on E15
The status of E15 has been overwhelmed by the drought and the subsequent requests to waive the Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS) for 2012/13, but automakers re...
Market Commentary
General Comments Prior to today's October crop estimates and the WASDE, money managers who were actively paring down their long futures positions in the so...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
Oilseed Highlights
USDA Boosts U.S. Soybean Production and Usage To no one's surprise, USDA today raised its forecast for U.S. soybean yields, production and consumption in 2...
Better Facts, Please
Hunger for Better Facts There were some odd side notes with the International Food Policy Research Institute's (IFPRI) release of its Global Hunger Index a...
Cattle Feeding Isn’t for Sissies
Cattle Feeding Isn't for Sissies Feedlots are facing a challenging year. Thus far in 2012, cattle supplies are about 2.455 times under feedlot capacity and...
Common Thread: The October WASDE
Following is an ad hoc summary of some of the important numbers from USDA's October WASDE.In a year of drought and tight supplies, every month's fresh esti...
Market Commentary
General Comments When a federal judge threw out CFTC's arduously constructed new regulations setting position limits for commodity futures markets on 28 Se...
Mercosur Regional Analysis
Corn Market This week the corn market in Argentina continued to be relatively quiet. A significant volume of export licenses for old crop corn were approve...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 1-5 October 2012 Harvesting Updates Russian Ag Minister Nikolai Fedorov on 9 October changed the 2012 grain harvest forecast in net...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
Dairy Debate Stirs Up Again
The Dairy Security Act provisions in the 2012 Farm Bill continue to be a point of controversy in the industry even though both congressional Agriculture Co...
This Week in WPI History
Four years ago, amid a global economic crisis and a presidential race, the markets certainly were not boring to watch. "Every day brings its own set of fac...
Mismatched Definitions and Policy Solutions
Rich versus Poor The IMF/World Bank meetings in Tokyo this week are providing some geopolitical and policy drama. China's refusal to send a top level offic...
Oilseed Highlights
Palm Oil Prices Near Bottom? Anyone who has been watching the palm oil market knows palm oil prices have plummeted in recent months. Weighed down by expand...
Market Commentary
General Comments The IMF lowered its already anemic forecasts of world economic growth for this and next year, and by implication, raised its view of the c...
Farm Bill Spin
Proving that spin and perception are the politician's friend, Mitt Romney told an Iowa farm audience today that the lack of a completed farm bill out of th...
Middle East and Mediterranean Regional Analysis
News Updates EGYPT COMMENTS The effect of Egypt's wheat purchases recently and the amount of power GASC has in world markets has been a widely covered topi...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
Wheat Market Stealth
USDA's October WASDE with revised estimates of 2012 U.S. corn and soybean production estimates will be released Thursday (11 October) morning. In this year...
iPhones and Slow Money
The Fed's decision to move into round three of quantitative easing (QE3) was a bit of a surprise -- at least it wasn't expected to happen during the Fed's...
All Eyes on Thursday’s USDA Reports
USDA will release its October crop production updates and WASDE revisions Thursday at 7:30 a.m. CT. There is little question that most -- maybe all -- eyes...
Petroleum Politics
Politicons The petroleum industry gets a politically inspired federal investigation every time gasoline prices rise above consumer comfort levels. This yea...
Closing Futures Prices
Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Rupee is Stronger Post Reforms The Indian rupee was stronger by almost Rs. 3.17 (5.37 percent) in a 30-day period, down from Rs. 55.35 on 9 September to Rs...
Market Commentary
General Comments The U.S. government was on holiday today. There were no USDA reports, including weekly export inspections, weekly crop progress numbers, o...
Closing Futures Prices
WPI provides a summary of the week's futures price activity and the gains/losses experiences by grain, oilseed, and livestock markets. Additionally, today'...
Southeast Europe Regional Analysis
Milling Wheat The Black Sea wheat market is firmer. The domestic market in Russia has rallied to levels that are above the export parity. This is logical c...
Agriculture Losing the War
Agriculture Losing the War Modern agricultural practices will never obtain approval from their philosophical antagonists; the goal is to explain agricultur...
Novel Methods of Price Discovery
The new era of extreme price volatility coupled with very high prices and equally high crop insurance revenue guarantees have made it tough for the minor o...
More Crude Oil Than Corn
The old adage that high prices cure high prices is being proved again by the energy sector. U.S. petroleum output has been growing since 2008, based largel...
Market Commentary
General Comments It was a quiet session overnight with soybeans firmer and corn and wheat slightly weaker. That was the pattern throughout much of the day,...
Mercosur Regional Analysis
Corn Market The Argentine corn FOB market continues to be pretty similar to what was reported last week. Some trading houses are running out of corn export...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
Oilseed Highlights
Canada's Canola Crop Forecast Well Below Analysts' Expectations Statistics Canada today released its estimates for that country's 2012 crops and the foreca...
Market Commentary
General Comments The Turkish attack on a Syrian military installation may be part of the reason for today's increase in gasoline and crude oil prices, but...
Rats, Weeds and Offshoring U.S. Agriculture
No American Rats Dying Unsurprisingly, the European Food Safety Authority (EFSA) opined that the rat study carried out by anti-biotech researcher Gilles-Er...
Protein versus Protein
U.S. Economy for the Birds The U.S. Poultry and Egg Association, National Chicken Council, National Turkey Federation and United Egg Producers have issued...
Cash is King
Farmers Pick Cash Some EU member states are pressing for budget reductions in Brussels, and that could factor into the current effort at reforming the Comm...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
This Week in WPI History
The CBOT day session opened one hour late on Tuesday, 2 October 2007 due to technical problems. According to WPI's Bob Kohlmeyer: It was clear that profess...
Black Sea Regional Analysis
Russian Grain Markets: 27-30 September 2012 Harvesting Updates As of 28 September, Russia harvested grains and grain legumes on 36 million hectares, or 91...
Market Commentary
General Comments China is on holiday and market conditions are similar to when parents are gone or when the boss is out of the office: the market is free t...
Closing Futures Prices
Activity in the Chicago SRW wheat market spilled over into those for HRW and HRS wheat futures. Changes in the soybean, soyoil, and soymeal futures point t...
Middle East and Mediterranean Regional Analysis
News Updates EGYPT COMMENTS The government of Egypt is making every effort to reduce subsidies on some major food items. As reported a few weeks ago, the g...
Wackiness in the Agrifood Sector
Activists Kick Butt The attack on conventional agriculture by activists is getting stranger by the day. Now it is reported that activist investor Carl Icah...
Quacking About the Lame Duck
The farm bill expired on Sunday, and by Monday the anticipated recriminations were flying. Various statements and tweets from the Democratic leadership tar...
Common Thread: The Numbers Game
The corn and soybean harvests are going full blast in the United States. Those of us with long -- though not necessarily accurate -- memories can recall fa...
Ag Review: Commodities and Elections, the Farm Bill and the Election
Commodities and Elections Financial and commodity indicators correlate with elections, but there is a more important conclusion. Soy Prices Fail to Ration...
Oilseed Highlights
Taiwan Crushers Tender for Soybeans Encouraged by the recent sharp drop in soybean futures prices, Taiwan's Breakfast Soybean Procurement Association (BSPA...
Market Commentary
General Comments As Dave Juday noted yesterday, in response to a suit filed against the CFTC by two swaps and financial market trade associations in the U...
Market Commentary
General Comments The start of the new quarter brought buying to financial markets but not to commodity markets. Corn futures were firmer on, as one trader...
Indian Subcontinent Regional Analysis
Food Grain Production Down, Rainfall Deficit at 7.6 Percent The government of India (GOI) last week released its first 2012/13 crop and grain production es...
Just How Bearish Was the USDA Soybean Stocks Number?
Last Friday's USDA quarterly stocks report found about 40 million bushels more soybeans than expected. That news started the soybean market lower and it wa...
Court Vacates CFTC Position Limit Rule
Back in January, the International Swaps and Derivatives Association (ISDA) and Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association (SIFMA) filed a lawsu...
Keeping Transaction Costs Low
Trade Liberalization Wow Doha is dead, long live Doha; and Africa is a continental backwater -- all no more! Largely given up for dead, apparently the true...
China In-Country Analysis
Chinese Government Likely to Raise the Purchasing Price for Corn Recently, market discussions suggest that the Chinese government is likely to raise the 20...
Closing Futures Prices
Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
Yes on Biotech Labeling
Yes on Biotech Labeling Comedian/commentator Bill Maher's comment on the American people is that "[t]hey're not very bright." The real problem is that ther...
Bullish Corn and Wheat Stocks, Bearish Soybean Stocks
This morning's USDA quarterly stocks numbers threw bullish corn and wheat numbers at the market. The soybean number was slightly bearish. Needless to say,...
Market Commentary
General Comments A bullish USDA quarterly stocks report following two weeks or so of big time fund liquidation caught corn and wheat markets too short with...
Unemployment Taxes in a Bull Market
The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) today released a report on the Self-Employment Contributions Act (SECA), or unemployment taxes. CBO in its report con...
Closing Futures Prices
WPI provides a summary of the week's futures price activity and the gains/losses experiences by grain, oilseed, and livestock markets. Additionally, today'...
Southeast Europe Regional Analysis
Milling Wheat Russian and Ukrainian wheat prices are increasing sharply. It's difficult to find offers for October, and there are no offers at all for Dece...
More Gestation Stall Bans, Plenty of Bacon
Fewer and Heavier Cattle Mean Less Feed Last week's Cattle on Feed report showed an 11 percent drop in placements despite industry expectations of placemen...
Mercosur Regional Analysis
Corn Market By the end of last week after some trades were made, Argentine corn premiums became firmer. This week the FOB market remained the same. Main is...
Closing Futures Prices
Today's closing prices for the first six listed futures contracts for major grain, oilseed, and livestock contracts are shown along with their price change...
Tomato Pain and False Claims
Broad Pain from Tomatoes The Commerce Department has preliminarily suspended a tomato antidumping agreement with Mexico that was negotiated back in 1996. T...
Oilseed Highlights
China Sells More Reserve Soybeans The Chinese government today sold an additional 400,001 MT of soybeans from its reserve stocks. The soybeans were sold to...
Market Commentary
General Comments In anticipation of tomorrow's Grain Stocks report, market participants may have reversed the old adage, "buy the rumor, sell the fact," in...
This Week in WPI History
Friday, 28 September 2001 was a "day of getting clobbered" in the markets, according to WPI's Ben Beneke. It is unclear what started it: "the general neutr...
Wrong-Way Trade Policy
Wrong-Way Trade Policy Trade policy remains a wreck with countries concurrently practicing their own protectionism while complaining vehemently about that...
Market Commentary
General Comments Consumers can be more flexible with gasoline consumption than food consumption, so it does not make a lot of sense that European economic...